South Africa, China and Brazil Make Emerging Markets’ Headlines This Week
1) South African President Jacob Zuma fired Finance Minister Nene and replaced him with little-known ANZ lawmaker David Van Rooyen; 2) S&P revised the outlook on South Africa’s BBB- rating from stable to negative; 3) People’s Bank of China announced...
Emerging Markets with Compromised Political Situations Particularly Vulnerable
The US dollar is confined to narrow ranges against the euro and sterling after pushing higher yesterday. The greenback is staging stronger upticks against the yen but is struggling to resurface above previous support in the JPY122.25 area. Weak commodity...
Australia’s MYEFO Could be Ugly
With the Turnbull government’s innovation package now out of the way, we will soon get the official update on the government’s budget position, the so-called Mid-year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO). And it is unlikely to be pretty. The budget...
Trying Not to Waste a Good Crisis
It is a common refrain of political strategists that, you should not let a good crisis go to waste. Seven years on from the beginnings of the global financial crisis, we can make an assessment whether one followed that maxim....
Can Australia Innovate Itself Away from the Resource Sector?
The major big business lobby groups have largely welcomed this week’s innovation statement, getting behind its support for entrepreneurs. One wonder why they care since it primarily focuses on research institutes and startups, with which they hardly interact. “Australia’s innovation...
Congo’s Civil War and…the SEC?
A civil war has raged in the Democratic Republic of Congo for more than 15 years, resulting in the deaths of millions and displacing millions more. A civil war has raged in the Democratic Republic of Congo for more than...
Socioeconomic Barriers are Redefining Marriage in Japan
Discussions of sex in Japan typically spotlight the extremes of the social landscape: from the hypersexualised (2D girlfriends, hug cafes, erotic manga) to the sexless. Gender is skimmed with reference to ‘herbivore men’ and ‘parasite singles’. However, beyond the salacious...
China’s Yuan Tactics Seem to Take Cues from the Fed
The US dollar continues its mixed performance. The fragile stability of commodity prices today is not lending much support to the Australian and New Zealand dollars though the Canadian dollar is flat after yesterday's slide. The euro has pushed above...
China’s Migrants Show Great Economic Potential
China’s economy has entered a ‘new normal’, slower growth pattern. In addition, consumption is touted to play a more significant role in boosting economic development. The potential is large. However, if it has to be achieved, the Chinese government needs...
Emerging Markets: Same Conditions, Different Day
EM starts the week off in the familiar position of coming under pressure. The strong US jobs report has all but cemented a Fed lift-off this month, helping the dollar to claw back some of its post-ECB losses. Meanwhile, commodities...
When $87 Billion is not a lot of Money
Economists expected China's reserves to fall by around $33 bln in November. Instead, they fell by a little more than $87 bln. This is the third largest decline it has recorded, and a little below the $94 bln drop reported...
It was a Big Week for China and Brazil
1) The Chinese yuan will be in the SDR. 2) Brazil had one of the most important weeks of the year, and possibly of its history. 3) Russia enacted sanctions against Turkey, while Turkey got a deal from the EU....
US-style Retirement Fund Governance Gets Kicked to the Curb
The federal government has hit a major roadblock in its plan to bring in new rules governing superannuation funds, with four independent senators refusing to support the related bill. The proposed legislation was widely seen as targeting industry super funds,...
Looking In on China’s ‘Going Out Policy’
Chinese firms have invested in natural resources in low- and middle-income countries on a global scale. These include mining operations and large hydropower dams. Often these projects have environmental and social implications. There are a range of reasons for these...
Maybe not Flying Cars, but Australia’s Transport Could Use a Lift
When the public thinks of innovation, it’s usually in the realm of blue-sky thinking and new inventions. In the world of transport, innovation evokes images of 600 kilometre per hour trains in Japan, or two-person aerial transit pods in Israel,...