Sri Lanka Turns (a good) Corner Toward the Future
It is no exaggeration to say that 2015 will be remembered as a major turning point for Sri Lanka as a nation. The Sri Lankan people made a decisive choice towards democracy and good governance, towards communal reconciliation and for...
Australia’s Win is ISDS’s Gain
Christmas has come early for advocates of tobacco control, with tobacco giant Philip Morris’s lawsuit against Australian plain packaging legislation ruled invalid. Australia will not have to pay any damages to Philip Morris. Indeed, it is likely that there will...
China’s Global Leadership Litmus Test
The sixth Forum on China–Africa Cooperation (FOCAC), held on 4–5 December 2015, set in motion a deeper pattern of exchanges with its partners that could drive economic transformation across the continent. In ‘scaling-up’ measures to ease African bottlenecks in infrastructure,...
South and Central America Lead Emerging Markets Headlines
1) Argentina eliminated capital controls and allowed the peso to float, 2) Argentina also eliminated export taxes on agricultural goods that include beef, wheat, and corn, 3) Fitch joined S&P in cutting Brazil to sub-investment grade BB+ with a negative...
Thailand’s Democracy, We Hardly Knew Ye
This year was a year of stillness in Thailand, at least in the political realm. The military staged a coup that ousted Yingluck Shinawatra’s elected government in May 2014. Throughout 2015, the military regime of General Prayuth Chan-ocha — Thailand’s...
Are Chinese Monopolies Merging to be Competitive?
China’s state monopolies survive alongside a cutthroat private sector. China’s state monopolies survive alongside a cutthroat private sector. The recent announcement of China Minmetals merger with MCG and this year’s mergers of China North Rail with China South Rail have...
China’s Wuzhen Summit (World Internet Conference) is on Deck
The second World Internet Conference (WIC), also known as the Wuzhen Summit, will take place Dec 16 -18, in Wuzhen, Zhejiang. Chinese President Xi Jinping will attend the conference and address the opening ceremony. It takes place amid dramatic expansion...
Rising Interest Rate Tide will Sink Emerging Markets’ Boats
All eyes are on the US Federal Reserve, which is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. Since the financial crisis in 2008, the US, along with the Eurozone, UK and Japan have held...
Why is U.K. Productivity Lower Than Its Peers?
We all know by now that Britain has a productivity problem. The average British worker simply doesn’t make as much stuff as those from other major countries and for all the agreement that something must be done, there is little...
Managing Abenomics’ Expectations
There is still optimism that the Japanese economy will prevail. Projections are that the economy is rebounding and Japan will achieve reasonably good growth for the next several years. Some progress has been achieved in the three years of Abenomics,...
Indonesia’s Reform Bar is Set Very High
As 2015 draws to a close, the Indonesian government is trying to convince the jury on two counts — first, that it has turned the corner towards more constructive economic policy, and second, that it has the political leadership and...
The Global Backdrop for Emerging Markets Remains Negative
EM starts the FOMC week off on a soft footing. Besides the prospects of Fed liftoff Wednesday, oil prices are making new cycle lows. Uncertainty about China’s FX policy is also making markets nervous, though we think this concern is...
Living a Little Dangerously (Politically) May Help Indonesia’s Jokowi
The year in Indonesian politics began with a novice president in Joko Widodo (Jokowi) who, while struggling with day-to-day politics, still inspired hope that he would pursue the unfinished business of democratisation. After putting some early blunders behind him, Jokowi...
Australia Pro-Competition Laws Miss the Mark
How can two words create so much confusion? The government has released its options paper on Australia’s misuse of market power laws. However, all the options miss the key point. The law is section 46 of the Competition and Consumer...
Indonesia’s Jokowi Tackles Extractive Sector Reform
Investment in Indonesia’s extractive sectors has languished for years, hurt by regulatory confusion, low commodity prices and endemic corruption. With hydrocarbon and mineral industries, constituting over 40 percent of Indonesia’s exports, and energy consumption rising at home, reform is important...