Markets

24 May 2016

What’s Really Going On in Africa’s Middle Class?

Since the turn of the century, the middle classes of the global South have taken centre stage in economic policy circles. Animated by diversification of some countries’ economies, a handful of economists from international agencies and think-tanks began a discourse...

24 May 2016

Philippine President Duterte Walks the Walk

There may be more to the Philippines’ new president Rodrigo Duterte than his tough guy image indicates. In the populist theatrics that are Filipino politics, the overwhelming election of Duterte should not have come as a surprise, even with common,...

23 May 2016

The Brexit and Vector Autoregressive Analysis…What?

Over 90 pages, the British Treasury’s latest referendum attempts to identify the short-term economic effects of a vote to leave on June 23 – aka Brexit. When the Treasury tweeted the publication late on the morning of May 23 it was...

23 May 2016

U.S. Interest in India’s Defense Needs is Way Up

On 10–13 April, US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter paid his third visit in just 30 months to India — the seventh by a US Defense Secretary since 2008. The frequency of high-level visits reflects the prominence accorded to New Delhi...

23 May 2016

Emerging Markets’ Rocky Road

EM had another rocky week, but managed to end on a slightly firmer note Friday.  Market repricing of Fed tightening risk was the big driver last week, and that could carry over into this week.  There are several Fed speakers...

17 May 2016

Africa (not exactly) Rising

Self-congratulatory rhetoric keeps springing from the lips of World Economic Forum elites – at the expense of reality.  Software executive Brett Parker claims “Africa will probably remain natural resources-driven for the next two decades at least.” African Leadership University’s Fred Swaniker ...

17 May 2016

India’s Job Creation Data not Reflective of Good Times

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s promise of ‘good days’ that underpinned his 2013 election campaign is premised on moving India away from its dole-and-entitlement development model to one that empowers youth by generating large-scale employment. In that context, recently released employment...

17 May 2016

China’s Economy: Mostly Planned or Mostly Market

There is a recurring question on the nature of China’s economy — is it mostly planned or mostly market? This question has become more concrete this year as China’s partners are scheduled to decide on whether or not to grant...

13 May 2016

Investigating Another Olympic Bid’s Cleanliness

MOTOKO / Shutterstock.com MOTOKO / Shutterstock.com Say it ain’t so, Tokyo. Those were my thoughts when I saw the Guardian’s allegations over the Japanese capital’s winning bid for the 2020 Olympic Games: French police are reportedly investigating an alleged €1.3 million (£1m)...

12 May 2016

India is Giving its Trade Strategies a Rethink

India’s approach in negotiating regional and bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs) is again in sharp focus. Concern is rising over long delays in concluding a number of major agreements of which India is a part. Foremost among these is the...