Markets

22 June 2015

A Preview of the Emerging Markets

EM assets are starting the week off on a firmer footing.  Sentiment has been helped by optimism over a Greek compromise, as well as perceptions of a less hawkish Fed.  Both of these factors could turn negative very quickly.  Besides...

19 June 2015

Labor Migration is but One Hurdle for African Sport

The Egyptian government recently took steps that have led to labeling football fans as terrorists. The arrest and detention of alleged members of the Ultras White Knights (UWK), a highly politicised supporters group associated with Cairo club Al Zamalek SC,...

19 June 2015

An Emerging Markets Status Update

1) The EU sanctions on Russia will be extended for another six months, 2) Lawmakers in Hong Kong voted down a Beijing-backed plan to change the political system, 3) Argentine presidential candidate Scioli of the ruling alliance has picked Zannini...

18 June 2015

Australian Coal’s Death Has Been Greatly Exaggerated

Talk of the demise of Australian coal production is largely political, not economic. The problem for the countries that presently mine and burn coal is that there are currently few low cost alternatives. Most countries in the world today are...

18 June 2015

Indonesia’s Jokowi Winning Hearts and Minds in Papua

President Joko Widodo (popularly known as Jokowi) has affirmed giving special attention to the Papua region, comprising the two provinces of Papua and West Papua. The region has endured a low-level guerrilla insurgency from a militant Papuan independence movement since...

18 June 2015

Turkish President Erdoğan Faces Uncertain Future

Turkish President Recep Tayyip ErdoÄŸan received a rapturous reception in his early days in power, but a series of political errors has sullied his public image and undermined his power. Since his Justice and Development Party (AKP) attained power in...

17 June 2015

The Experimental Economy of China

China’s economy has always played a very unique role in challenging the global markets. China’s approach to establish two of its own banks, namely BRICS led National Development Bank and Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (better known as AIIB) has made...

15 June 2015

The EU “AG” (After Greece)

Critics of the Greek government repeatedly claim that its radicalism prevents a resolution to the crisis.  Yet the EC has indicated that the difference between the creditors’ proposal and Syriza's plans amounts to 2 bln euro a year in government...

15 June 2015

A Preview of the Emerging Markets

In a familiar refrain, EM starts this week on a soft note.  Most EM currencies are softer against the dollar.  MSCI EM is having trouble gaining traction, and appears headed for the March lows.  EM bond yields are rising in...

15 June 2015

Australia’s Selective Foreign Investment Rules

Once you start picking away at something, it can be hard to stop. Australia’s foreign investment regime is a case in point: successive free trade negotiations have seen welcome liberalisation, but only for selected countries. And without a clear guiding...