Africa is in Need of a Unified Voice in the Global Arena
One of the challenges facing African countries is that the global environment is rather unfriendly. This hampers their efforts to tap into global markets. Additionally, African economies are hindered by them still depending heavily on external assistance. Domestic revenue mobilisation...
Theories Abound Explaining Economic Failures in Africa, but not Successes
There has been a chronic failure among economists to explain growth in Africa. The methods and analytical angles they have used to explain relative failure in Africa came in the 1990s, but these were unsuitable for explaining growth in the...
If Indonesia’s Jokowi Wants to Demonstrate His Leadership Skills, He Should Hurry
The higher they rise, the harder they fall. No politician in post-Suharto Indonesia has risen higher and faster than Joko Widodo (Jokowi), whose win in the 2014 presidential elections was considered a breath of fresh air for a vibrant but...
Draghi’s ‘Whatever It Takes’ Pledge Turns Three Years Old and Comes with New Warnings
Three years ago this month, ECB President Draghi issued his now-famous pledge to do "whatever it takes" to save the euro. Indeed, it has done its part. The ECB has a negative deposit rate, something that even with a protracted...
Investor Focus Remains on Europe
The markets remain off-kilter. The dollar has recouped a little of the ground lost yesterday. Reports in a Greek paper that Tsipras may be reconsidering Juncker's proposal may prevent a deeper pullback in the euro, which found a bid near...
It Will Take More Than a Village in Indonesia
Nearly 15 years after embarking on its large-scale decentralisation initiative, Indonesia has decided to extend its efforts to the village level. Decentralising to the nearly 74,000 villages is intended to improve service delivery performance at the lowest administrative tier and...
A Preview of Emerging Market News and Events
EM assets start the weak on a soft note, driven by risk off sentiment stemming from Greek developments. The weekend PBOC easing measures had little impact, with China stocks adding to their recent losses. With another strong US jobs report...
An Emerging Markets Status Update
1) The Brazilian congress passed a new measure that will hurt the fiscal outlook, 2) Brazil central bank kept the inflation target for 2017 the same at 4.5%, but narrowed the tolerance band to +/ 1.5 percentage points, 3) Israel...
Forecasting China’s Future
Forecasts of China’s future run the gamut. I do not endorse either extreme. There is no significant chance that in the foreseeable future the Communist government will follow the fate of the Soviet Union. Nor do I share the view...
The African Development Bank Could do Great Things but Needs the Proper Resources
Africa’s only regional bank, the African Development Bank Group (AfDB), has come a long way since its near collapse in 1995. It now reflects its mandate to fight poverty by aiding public and private investment projects that promote socioeconomic improvement....
Australia’s Port Privatization Plan is a Mess
Recent plans to privatise a number of Australian ports have become very messy. In Victoria, both sides of government were committed to privatising the Port of Melbourne Corporation (PoMC), intending to use the proceeds to remove a number of level...
Life After ChAFTA for Australia
The landmark Australia–China Free Trade Agreement (ChAFTA), signed sealed and delivered, completes a trifecta of trade deals since last year with Australia’s three Northeast Asian neighbours — China, Japan, and South Korea. The landmark Australia–China Free Trade Agreement (ChAFTA), signed...
The Underpinnings of the China Equity Market’s Meteoric Rise
Not so long ago, China’s A-share index lingered around 2,000. Before last week’s plunge, it closed at 5,200. In the short-term, the market will remain volatile, but just as China’s economy has not emulated typical market fluctuations, its potential should...
Japanese PM Abe’s New Fiscal Initiative
Investors have been more focused Japan's aggressive monetary policy and the structural reforms promised under Abenomics than fiscal policy. However, the Abe government is taking a new fiscal initiative. It has taken on a new more ambitious goal, which was...
Overcoming Challenges to Achieve Modi’s Optimism
A visionary new leader, Narendra Modi, has recently come to power in India. He seeks to realise India’s huge growth potential and make it a major global player. This has generated enormous optimism nationally, and internationally, about an Indian resurgence....