Markets

3 July 2015

Africa is in Need of a Unified Voice in the Global Arena

One of the challenges facing African countries is that the global environment is rather unfriendly. This hampers their efforts to tap into global markets. Additionally, African economies are hindered by them still depending heavily on external assistance. Domestic revenue mobilisation...

30 June 2015

Investor Focus Remains on Europe

The markets remain off-kilter.  The dollar has recouped a little of the ground lost yesterday.   Reports in a Greek paper that Tsipras may be reconsidering Juncker's proposal may prevent a deeper pullback in the euro, which found a bid near...

29 June 2015

It Will Take More Than a Village in Indonesia

Nearly 15 years after embarking on its large-scale decentralisation initiative, Indonesia has decided to extend its efforts to the village level. Decentralising to the nearly 74,000 villages is intended to improve service delivery performance at the lowest administrative tier and...

29 June 2015

A Preview of Emerging Market News and Events

EM assets start the weak on a soft note, driven by risk off sentiment stemming from Greek developments.  The weekend PBOC easing measures had little impact, with China stocks adding to their recent losses.  With another strong US jobs report...

26 June 2015

An Emerging Markets Status Update

1) The Brazilian congress passed a new measure that will hurt the fiscal outlook, 2) Brazil central bank kept the inflation target for 2017 the same at 4.5%, but narrowed the tolerance band to +/ 1.5 percentage points, 3) Israel...

25 June 2015

Forecasting China’s Future

Forecasts of China’s future run the gamut. I do not endorse either extreme. There is no significant chance that in the foreseeable future the Communist government will follow the fate of the Soviet Union. Nor do I share the view...

24 June 2015

Australia’s Port Privatization Plan is a Mess

Recent plans to privatise a number of Australian ports have become very messy. In Victoria, both sides of government were committed to privatising the Port of Melbourne Corporation (PoMC), intending to use the proceeds to remove a number of level...

24 June 2015

Life After ChAFTA for Australia

The landmark Australia–China Free Trade Agreement (ChAFTA), signed sealed and delivered, completes a trifecta of trade deals since last year with Australia’s three Northeast Asian neighbours — China, Japan, and South Korea. The landmark Australia–China Free Trade Agreement (ChAFTA), signed...

23 June 2015

Japanese PM Abe’s New Fiscal Initiative

Investors have been more focused Japan's aggressive monetary policy and the structural reforms promised under Abenomics than fiscal policy. However, the Abe government is taking a new fiscal initiative. It has taken on a new more ambitious goal, which was...

23 June 2015

Overcoming Challenges to Achieve Modi’s Optimism

A visionary new leader, Narendra Modi, has recently come to power in India. He seeks to realise India’s huge growth potential and make it a major global player. This has generated enormous optimism nationally, and internationally, about an Indian resurgence....