India PM Modi’s Reforms are Gaining Traction, but the Road is Long
There is no doubt that Modi works hard and drives his government at a similar hectic pace. Midnight oil is burnt regularly in the Prime Minister’s Office, which now resembles an omnipotent and omnipresent command station. Under Modi, the economy...
Greater Integration Through Crisis
The pre-Socratic Heraclitus was the philosopher of change. He wrote, "no man steps in the same river twice; for it is not the same river and he is not the same man." Truth that. The pre-Socratic Heraclitus was the philosopher...
Chinese Equities Turn Lower and the Reasons Rush In
The US dollar is mixed after making new multi-year highs against the yen near JPY124.30 in Asia, while month-end positioning appears to have helped fuel an extension of the euro's recovery that began in the North America yesterday. The lack...
Short-term Memory Loss is Dangerous in the Financial Markets
Something happens between the bubbles, bailouts, boom and bust cycles that we can’t afford to ignore, and it’s happening right now in the US and Europe. It is a kind of collective amnesia that lulls investors into forgetting exactly what...
Federal Reserve Comments and Greece’s Next Debt Payment Highlight a Busy Market Week
The strong upside momentum for the US dollar seen last week is carrying into today's activity. It was firm in the holiday-thinned trading yesterday but has jumped higher today. There are two chief drivers. The strong upside momentum for the...
Monday’s International Events that will Help Shape the Week
While the markets in the United States and parts of Europe were closed on Monday, four things took place that global investors need to know. While the markets in the United States and parts of Europe were closed on Monday,...
Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew’s Life and Passing Resonates in the West
Seldom has the death of a great Asian leader commanded as much appreciation in the West as the passing of Lee Kuan Yew. The mind numbs at the number of well-earned tributes to the man who led Singapore to become...
A Preview of the Emerging Markets
Emerging markets currencies are somewhat directionless at the moment, caught between an unclear trend for the dollar and oil prices in a broad yet volatile range since the start of the month. Moreover, the uncertainty about the timing of the...
Australia, Iron Ore, Bad Economics, and Twiggy
As Australia moves away from a decade of resource-driven prosperity, it is even more important that it avoid mistakes that previously might have been papered over by the boom times. Yet there are loud voices calling for the mistakes of...
The Importance for Australia to get Trade and Economic Integration Right
Australian federal government policymakers need to have broader and more robust consultations with business, consumers and state governments when it comes to trade treaties. As an open economy that is heavily dependent on trade for its well-being, it is important...
The Divergent Dollar Trend Roared Back
The US dollar had a good week. Indeed, the Dollar Index's 3.3% rise was its best weekly performance since last September. After looking rather bleak, the divergence theme struck back with a vengeance. The US dollar had a good week....
An Emerging Markets Status Update
1) Petrobras reported stronger than expected Q1 earnings, 2) A Colombian court ordered a delay to the sale of the government’s 57.6% stake in hydropower company Isagen, 3) The Mexican government cut its growth forecast for the year by a...
The Corporate Response to a ‘Brexit’ is Complicated
The die is cast: British people have voted for a government that has promised to hold a referendum on the UK’s EU membership by 2017. This week, business has intervened to liven up the debate. The country’s main industry lobby...
The Political and Economic Plight of China’s Minorities
Grigvovan / Shutterstock.com Grigvovan / Shutterstock.com In recent years, Uyghur and Tibetan issues have captured most of the national and international attention granted to China’s minorities. Yet Uyghurs and Tibetans account for less than 15 per cent of China’s minority...
The U.S. FOMC Minutes Signal a Likely Rate Hike Delay
The US Dollar Index advanced in the first three days of the week but is under some pressure today. The FOMC minutes confirmed what the market had already known, which is a rate hike next month is highly unlikely. Meanwhile...