Markets

11 May 2015

A Preview of Emerging Market News and Events

EM assets are again being pulled in two directions.  EM equities are getting a boost from the PBOC rate cut over the weekend, while EM currencies are starting soft this week as the strong US jobs report puts Fed lift-off...

8 May 2015

Having a ‘Big Government’ Depends on the Definition

In the lead-up to the federal budget the government has made it clear, it sees the long-term task of fiscal management in terms of cutting expenditure rather than raising revenue. We have been repeatedly told the Rudd-Gillard government let spending...

8 May 2015

The Nascent Digital Business Revolution in Australia

Digital disruption is a phrase increasingly bandied about when it comes to the Australian economy, but how deeply do digital technologies really penetrate our industry. Digital disruption is a phrase increasingly bandied about when it comes to the Australian economy,...

8 May 2015

An Emerging Markets Status Update

1) The Brazilian central bank indicated less FX swaps and additional monetary tightening, 2) After a delay, Israel has a new government, 3) Saudi Arabia will open up its stock market to foreign investment, 4) The Argentine political outlook has...

8 May 2015

The Australia-China FTA a ‘Shot in the Arm’ for the Aussie Economy

Australian politicians often say ‘Australia-China relations are crucial to Australia’s development and prosperity’. Many hope the China–Australia FTA, due to be signed later this year, will be the shot in the arm Australia’s economy needs. Australian politicians often say ‘Australia-China...

7 May 2015

Is Thailand’s Current Economic Growth Rate Sustainable?

Thailand’s current development model may not be able to sustain growth in the long term. Thailand needs to make the shift to a knowledge-based, innovative economy — and this means that policy settings will need to change. Thailand’s economic development...

6 May 2015

Breaking the EU’s Crisis to Crisis Cycle

Just months since taking power in January, Greek’s Syriza coalition faces obstacles at every turn, from an intransigent European Central Bank to an unyielding European Council.  The ECB in particular has rejected Greek proposals for short-term bridge financing to allow...

6 May 2015

An EU without a UK?

“We would be substantially better off not being in the EU because the opportunity cost of us not being able to make our own trade deals with the emerging economies of the world is holding back British business. In terms...

4 May 2015

Is a “bad bank” Italy’s Answer to Economic Reform?

Italy's third successive unelected Prime Minister is pushing through electoral reforms that make for stronger government's going forward.  There are two elements of the reform.  Previously, Italy was proud of its "perfect bicameralism", where Chamber of Deputies and the Senate...