Markets

6 November 2014

APEC and the Trans-Pacific Partnership

The race is on between the United States and China to dominate the rules-setting game for trade by being the first to be able to announce plans for a free trade area in the Pacific Rim. China hopes to use...

5 November 2014

The Free Trade Challenges Facing APEC

If the APEC meeting can agree on the proposed regional free trade plan and a reasonable implementation schedule, it would take a leap into faster regional growth and prosperity.The Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum on November 10-11 will take place...

5 November 2014

Can India’s Modi Strengthen the Relationship with Japan?

Since taking office, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has made efforts to entice foreign investment into India and to establish closer ties with Japan. Warm diplomatic gestures between Modi and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe have garnered considerable attention, with some...

5 November 2014

Draghi Operating a Divided ECB

Three companions enjoyed a midday meal.  The first says, “I’m satiated.  The food and drink have done the trick.  I'm ready to return to work."  The second says he still has room for a dessert to top off the wonderful...

4 November 2014

Further Ramifications of Low Oil Prices

The drop in oil prices since mid-year has been a significant development even though the broader ramifications for world growth, prices and policy are only now being worked out.  Just as the inflation predicated in the US as a consequence...

3 November 2014

The Current State of the Global Investment Climate

There are three elements to the investment climate:  The divergence between the US on one hand and Europe and Japan on the other, the drop in many commodity prices, including oil, and the slowing of the Chinese economy.  Last week,...

3 November 2014

The APEC Summit Looms Large for Asian Geo-politics

Regional economic cooperation in Asia and across the Pacific was developed around the idea of open regionalism and building the capacity for regional development in the global, multilateral trading system. Global institutions — the GATT and then the WTO —...

1 November 2014

Japan Impresses with its FIT (Feed-In-Tariff)

The effects of Japan’s feed-in tariff (FIT) for renewable energy have been impressive. Since 2011, Japan has seen a massive expansion of solar photovoltaics (PV). The size of the domestic market increased from 1GW in 2010 to almost 7GW in...

30 October 2014

An Update on the Emerging Markets

1) Indonesian Finance Minister Bambang Brodjonegoro said the government will probably raise subsidized fuel prices before year-end 2) Dilma Rousseff was re-elected as President of Brazil 3) Brazil’s central bank delivered a hawkish surprise too on Wednesday, hiking rates by 25 bp...

30 October 2014

How Important to China is the WTO Ruling on Rare Earths?

In August, the Appellate Body of the WTO ruled that China’s export duties, quotas, and administration of rare earths, tungsten and molybdenum products violated various provisions of the GATT and the Accession Protocol that China promised to implement when it...

29 October 2014

The ECB and BOJ Will Each Meet with New Inputs

The market is generally expecting a dovish FOMC statement. We have argued that it will most likely be little changed, except for modification relating to the asset purchases. Keen interest will be on its references to inflation.   The market...