Markets

13 October 2014

Lessons from Japan’s ‘Abenomics’

One of the striking things about the past few decades of Japan’s economic history has been the fact that textbook macroeconomics could have predicted most of it. Back in the late 1990s, this was a controversial point of view. Many...

10 October 2014

India Needs to Pursue Meaningful Free Trade Agreements

When India began negotiations with ASEAN in 2004 for a free trade agreement (FTA) covering the goods sector, it marked a major step in the evolution of the country’s engagement with the global economy. When India began negotiations with ASEAN...

9 October 2014

Emerging Markets Over the Last Week

(1) The second round of the Brazilian elections is off to an exciting start(2) The situation in Turkey is becoming tenser as ISIS advances on Kurdish towns in Syria near border(3) The ruble continues to push through all-time highs(4) The...

7 October 2014

The Latest on Uridashi Bond Issuance

Weekly MOF data shows that Japanese investors have remained net buyers of foreign bonds in recent months.  After a weak start to the year that saw Japan investors shed nearly $58 bln of foreign bonds in the 16 weeks through...

6 October 2014

Global Currency Movement and other Economic News

The main theme in Asia and Europe has been a somewhat heavier dollar tone, against the major and emerging market currencies.  There has not been much of a fundamental driver as perhaps a bit of caution in a stretched-market ahead...

2 October 2014

Changes Abound Throughout Emerging Markets

1) USD/HKD traded at its highest level since May 2012.2) Russian officials confirm that capital controls are not on the cards.3) The Turkish central bank started to push bank against currency weakness – albeit slightly.4) Dilma’s chances of re-elections increased...

2 October 2014

Draghi’s Comments End Up Rather Anti-Climactic

This seems to be the first time in several months that ECB President Draghi has been rather anti-climactic.   The disappointment or the "sell the rumor buy the fact" scenario we suggested is, in fact, unfolding, and the euro is...