Global Challenges

15 December 2014

Will the Lima Conference Break the Climate Change Stalemate?

For quarter of a century, global climate change talks have suffered from a stalemate between major advanced nations and large emerging economies. Since Lima’s climate conference could not resolve it, it deferred the divide to Paris 2015.Recently, world’s leading nations...

12 December 2014

Global Challenges are Mounting as Oil Continues to Slip

The US dollar is trading within yesterday's ranges against the major currencies. The Canadian dollar is the main exception. It is pushing lower still, with the greenback pushing a little beyond CAD1.1550. The main development today is the continued drop...

6 December 2014

Complicated Geopolitics Challenge an Asian FTA

The fifth round of the China–Japan–South Korea Free Trade Agreement (CJK FTA) negotiations concluded in Beijing on 5 September. The three countries hope the negotiations will finish in 2015, but this partly depends on the progress of the Trans-Pacific Partnership...

4 December 2014

Oil, Junk Bonds, and Maybe the Next Financial Crisis

The oil and gas boom in the United States was made possible by the extensive credit afforded to drillers. Not only has financing come from company shareholders and traditional banks, but hundreds of billions of dollars have also come from...

1 December 2014

OPEC Forced to Change its Tactics

OPEC is a cartel but it is a strange species in the sense that it only accounts for about 40% of oil production.  In the past exerted its influence by cutting production, as in 2008, and driving up prices.  Now...

28 November 2014

OPEC’s Meeting Results and Eurozone Inflation Numbers

Two developments are important for investors to know about before the markets open on Friday to close the month.  First, and most importantly, the results of the OPEC meeting are the most negative outcome for prices.  OPEC, which over-produced in...

25 November 2014

China Aims High

This geopolitical summit season has consolidated ongoing trends in international affairs. A still-rising China with global leadership aspirations, a resurgent Russia bent on restoring its superpower status, and sclerosis and dysfunction in Western countries is likely to dominate international politics...

22 November 2014

Global Summits, Global Hopes

For global governance watchers, this was the big week of the year. Between 7 November and 16 November, the world witnessed an APEC meeting in Yanqi Lake near Beijing complete with a bilateral China–Japan ‘breakthrough’ and a major US–China climate...

17 November 2014

Factors Explaining China’s Engagement on Climate Change

The joint Chinese–American announcement of emissions targets brings the world a big step closer to meaningful post-2020 action on climate change. Barack Obama in his Brisbane speech made it clear where the two superpowers see things going: ‘If China and...

17 November 2014

A Proposed Framework Could Help Asia Deal with an Ebola Outbreak

Southeast Asia is no stranger to epidemics and is a hotspot for emerging disease threats. There have been serious economic and health-sector impacts from zoonoses including Nipah virus infections, SARS and highly pathogenic avian influenza (commonly known as bird flu)....

12 November 2014

U.S.-China Move on Climate Change Critical to Asia

A set of reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the last of which was released on November 2, 2014, sets the scene for governments to renew their efforts on the issue through ambitious commitments for a comprehensive...

12 November 2014

The Latest Step in Improving U.S.-Vietnam Relations

The United States partially lifted its decades-old ban on weapons sales to Vietnam on 2 October 2014. This was one of the most significant steps in improving relations between the two former enemies since they normalised diplomatic ties nearly two...

1 October 2014

ISIS manipulates President Obama into military response

Before he took office, President Barack Obama predicted that war in Iraq would recruit more terrorists to the jihadist cause. Now he is US leader, Obama has neglected to heed his own warnings.  Before he took office, President Barack Obama...

29 May 2013

The Economics Of The Illegal Wildlife Trade

The illegal trade of animals or animal parts has become one of the most lucrative black market activities in the world. Driven by the promise of high profit margins, poachers in Africa – namely militias, armed groups, and insurgent groups...