Economics

15 February 2016

Maintaining Focus should Help Prevent an ASEAN Split

Despite its economic and strategic importance, the United States has not given priority to ASEAN until recently. There was hope that this would begin to change with the US pivot to Asia in 2009. However, up to November 2015, the...

14 February 2016

When the Market’s Pendulum Swings too Far

Investors have become unhinged. The increased volatility and dramatic market moves challenge even the most robust investment strategies. This sets off a chain reaction of money and risk management that further amplifies the price action, like an echo chamber. Then...

12 February 2016

Outnumbered by Unorthodox Monetary Policies

In response to the global crisis, central banks have adopted unorthodox policies.  They expanded their balance sheets and broken the zero bound of interest rates.  Many investors have been critical of the central bank action on principle, but what has...

12 February 2016

Enjoy the Weekend, China Returns to the Fray on Monday

After another difficult Asian session that saw the Nikkei fell 4.8% (12.3% on the week), the capital markets against have stabilized in Europe.  Equity markets are mostly higher, with the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 up nearly 2% led by energy...

11 February 2016

Fed Sees Fear in Markets, Risks in Economy

The Federal Reserve warned that continued market volatility was threatening America’s economic recovery.  Janet Yellen said before markets opened that the Fed continues to look closely at market volatility and would raise interest rates gradually, with the pace depending on...

11 February 2016

Everybody in, Going Down, No Waiting

The continued sell-off in global equities is the main driver of the capital markets.  It, along with the push lower in oil prices, is pushing core bond yields sharply lower. The continued sell-off in global equities is the main driver...

10 February 2016

OECD Economist: Central Banks Jeopardizing World Economy

William White is a senior adviser to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), and heads the OECD's Economic and Development Review Committee. He is making waves with a recent, fairly scathing, critique of various nations' central banks. According...

9 February 2016

Returning to the Fed’s Transitory Dollar Effect Argument

Investors and policymakers continue to wrestle with the economic impact of the dollar's rise.  The Federal Reserve has argued that the dollar's appreciation acts as a headwind on exports and dampens imported inflation.  At the same time, despite the dollar's...