Economics

2 March 2016

Healing Wounds with a Recovery

The angst that characterized the first several weeks of the year continues to dissipate.  Major equity markets are extending their two-week recovery into a third week. Immediate concerns about the US falling into a recession have eased. The angst that...

1 March 2016

Finding Value in Sunnylands

Since ASEAN’s creation in 1967, it has contributed enormously to regional stability and prosperity. It consists of 10 countries whose populations total over 600 million people. In addition, its economy ranks collectively as the third largest economy in Asia and...

1 March 2016

Weak Demand Yes, but What of Capacity?

Many economists argue that the key challenge is that of insufficient aggregate demand.  That is why world growth is slow.  Hobbled with debt, households have pulled back.  Business investment is weak.  Household and business savings have offset government dissavings.  The...

1 March 2016

Singapore, Iran Sign Investment Treaty

Following its landmark agreement with the international community regarding halting its nuclear weapons development programs, Iran has exploded onto the world stage. In what is the most recent in a series of new economic treaties and alliances, Iran and Singapore...

1 March 2016

Solid Ground, or So It Seems

It could have been a disaster.  US faltered yesterday, with the S&P 500 again struggling in the 1945-1950 area, and China's PMIs were weaker than expected.  However, after initial weakness Asian shares turned higher.  The nearly 0.9% rise allowed the...

29 February 2016

India can be China’s Land of Opportunity

The topic of China dominates almost every economic and foreign policy discussion in India. Yet the concept of a rising India is still a foreign concept in the circles of Chinese elites. Many Chinese are often surprised or amused by...

29 February 2016

G20 Meeting Disappointment Trickles In

It seemed that it was only after Asian equity markets fell did reports begin suggesting disappointment with the G20 meeting.  The narrative followed the price action rather than the other way around.  Before that, at least, one newswire claimed China...

28 February 2016

Global Economic Event Report: Inundation Version

The year has begun on a tumultuous note.  The Nikkei, DAX and S&P 500 all gapped lower the first day of the year. However, heightened anxiety has calmed as the fire appears to have burnt itself out, and equities have...

26 February 2016

UN Security Council to Japan: Not Yet

January 2016 marked the beginning of Japan’s most recent two-year term as an elected, non-permanent member of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC). This is Japan’s 11th term, the most of any nation in the world. Japan’s dream is to...

26 February 2016

U.S. Wins WTO Solar Panel Case against India

On Wednesday, the World Trade Organization (WTO) announced its ruling in a case brought by the United States against India. In the case, the U.S. argued that India imposed unfair trade restrictions designed to deny foreign manufacturers from equal access...

26 February 2016

Can the Markets End the Week Glass Half Full?

The US S&P 500 closed above 1950 for the first time since January 6.  Global equity markets are broadly higher in response.  At the same time, ahead of the G20 meeting, the world's second and third-largest economies have signaled additional...

25 February 2016

On the G20 Agenda, A Sense of Urgency for Some

The G20 finance ministers and central bankers will meet in Shanghai starting tomorrow.   From some quarters, there is a sense of urgency.  The IMF, for example, is likely to cut its world GDP forecast of 3.4% this year. That forecast...

24 February 2016

When Global Events Align, and not in a Good Way

A confluence of factors is raising anxiety levels among investors, expressed in heightened volatility. The S&P 500 was turned back yesterday from the key 1945 level, and global equities are falling today.   The over-production of oil is set to continue. ...