Will August Be A Decisive Turning Point For The Eurozone Crisis?: Kemal Dervis
August has been a dangerous month in European history, but this year it could be the turning point for the eurozone – and perhaps for the world economy. That depends on whether – and how – the European Central...
The Search for America’s Growth Engine: Stephen S. Roach
America has typically relied on its domestic market for economic growth, with consumer spending accounting for some 70 percent of annual GDP growth. Given the strong likelihood that US consumers will remain weak for years to come, America’s growth agenda...
Will Austerity Make Inequality Worse? : Ortiz & Cummins
The latest international data show that unaffordable food, pervasive unemployment, and dwindling social support threaten global recovery and the world's population. Yet the world remains fixated on austerity and cost-cutting measures to boost recovery, which in turn has disproportionately affected...
The Trouble With Market-Less Bubbles: Robert Shiller
Speculative bubbles, or market bubbles, have often been seen as the cause of financial crises. But, before we conclude that we should rein in the markets, we need to consider the alternative: that bubbles are actually social epidemics that could...
Is The Great State Debate Outdated? : Kemal Dervis
Throughout history, economists and policy makers have often clashed over the role of the government in the economy. Even today, this debate continues; but despite the realities of twenty-first-century technology and globalisation, it is still conducted largely as if governance...
America’s Economic Recovery Is A ‘Fairy Tale’: Nouriel Roubini
Though many optimists now believe that a combination of lower oil prices, rising auto sales, recovering house prices, and a resurgence of U.S. manufacturing can refuel America’s economic recovery, the reality is the opposite: For five key reasons, the U.S.’s...
London 2012: Has Money Killed The Olympic Spirit?
The Olympics is no longer all about sport, but rather a corporate jamboree for the elite super-rich. The same pattern repeats itself every time as host nations are forced to follow the International Olympic Committee’s rulebook. Ever since French baron...
Fiscal Fallacies – How Developed Economies Got Stuck In A Policy Trap: Jeffrey Frankel
Over the years, politicians in advanced economies have tended to favour fiscal expansion during economic booms and austerity during recessions. But while a pro-cyclical policy is understandable from a political perspective, it also explains why these economies are rarely prepared...
Why Global Economic Growth Is Not A Zero Sum Game: Michael Spence
All countries cannot gain a greater share of global aggregate demand at the same time. But what may look like a zero-sum game is not: if countries increase productivity with the aim of boosting their tradable sectors' relative productivity and...
The Eurozone Exposed – How Europe Can Avoid A Prolonged Depression: Stefano Micossi
At their meeting at the end of June, European leaders acknowledged for the first time the multiple dimensions of the crisis, accepting that austerity – putting everyone’s house in order – will not suffice. What is still missing, however, is...
Rethinking The East Asian Miracle: Andrew Sheng & Xiao Geng
Almost two decades ago, the World Bank published its landmark study “The East Asian Miracle,” analyzing why East Asian economies grew faster than emerging markets in Latin America, Africa, and elsewhere. But it is necessary to re-assess economists' focus on...
Winners & Losers In The New Global Economy: Dani Rodrik
The current economic climate is likely to produce deep disparities in economic performance over the long-term. Ultimately, while some countries will be far more adversely affected than the other, those that do (relatively) better will share three key characteristics: relatively...
Why Merely Addressing Inequality Will Not Restore Growth: Raghuram Rajan
As a reformed Europe starts growing, parts of it might experience US-style inequality. But Europe would be far worse off if it were to avoid serious reform and lapse, Japan-like, into egalitarian and genteel decline.CHICAGO – To understand how to...
The Curse Of The Treasure Islands: How Tax Havens Are Sinking Europe’s Economy
EU states lose an estimated €1 trillion in potential revenue every year from tax evasion and avoidance activities. Much of this amount, it turns out, has been squirreled away to offshore tax havens – known otherwise as “treasure islands”. Can...
The Euro’s Silver Lining – Why The Doomsayers Are Wrong: Norbert Walter
Crises are usually defined by sustained economic decline, high and long-term unemployment, poverty, rampant inflation, a precipitous fall in the exchange rate, fiscal deficits, high borrowing costs, and political dysfunction. But only a handful of "misery indices" are present in...