Markets

19 November 2014

Australia’s Abbott Reaches out to Jinping – Twice

Forget shirt-fronting Russian President Vladimir Putin. Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s most challenging task in the summit season was breaking an uncomfortable silence with Chinese president Xi Jinping. And he had to do it twice: first at the APEC meeting...

18 November 2014

Did Cameron’s Comments Portend Another Financial Crisis?

Taken at face value, David Cameron’s warning this week about risks in the global economy sounds like it might be wonderfully prescient. Here’s the country’s economic chauffeur, carefully checking his instrument gauges, and sure enough, sees the same signs today...

18 November 2014

The Stock Connect Link Between China and Hong Kong

A direct link has been established between Hong Kong and Shanghai’s stock exchanges. The so-called Stock Connect means investors in Hong Kong can now buy shares listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange via their local brokers and vice versa. This...

18 November 2014

Will Abe’s Momentum Carry Over to the Next Japanese Leader

On 17 December 2013, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe issued Japan’s first National Security Strategy (NSS). The document declares that Japan will make a more ‘proactive contribution to peace’ based on the principle of international cooperation. It also outlines three basic...

18 November 2014

International Forces Leave the Dollar Mixed

The overall theme today appears to be one of consolidation, encouraged by European data, which included a slightly higher than expected UK CPI and a considerably better German ZEW survey.  Japan's Prime Minister Abe has not disappointed the market, delaying...

17 November 2014

The Successes of the G20 Summit

Overall, the economies of Asia are a bull element in global recovery and long-term development. The advanced countries, although less so now the United States, remain a drag on the world economy with no sign that Europe is likely to...

17 November 2014

2014 has been a Big Year for APEC

The APEC summit has only just ended, but like the return of hazy skies over Beijing, clouds of uncertainty surrounding the regional forum have again drifted overhead. This is familiar weather for APEC, a grouping that has faced questions about...

17 November 2014

Even More Economic News and Currency Reaction

The US dollar is mostly higher to start the week, with two exceptions. The first is the yen. The unexpected contraction in Q3 GDP triggered a stock market slide (Nikkei off 3%, giving back around 40% of this year’s gains)...

14 November 2014

India Looking Beyond the end of QE in the U.S.

India was one of the hardest hit of the emerging markets after the US Federal Reserve first hinted it would cut back its quantitative easing program in May 2013. There were three reasons for this. First, global markets over-reacted. Second,...

13 November 2014

The Latest in the Emerging Markets

1) Hong Kong indicated it would lift the CNY20k limit for daily currency limit for Hong Kong residents 2) Moody's upgraded the outlook on Hungary’s Ba1 rating from negative to stable 3) South African politics are heating up 4) Moody's downgraded South Africa...

12 November 2014

Defining the Asian ‘region’ a Challenge at APEC

With considerable pomp and circumstance – and at considerable expense – it fell to China to host the annual APEC summit this year. If it lives long in the memory at all, the meeting will probably be remembered for a...