Japan’s Conspiring Demographics
Japan’s economy is stagnant and has been so for quite some time now. It looks as if Japan is now in the ‘upper income trap’. In comparison with its 10 percent real GDP growth rate between 1950 and 1960 and...
Act East, but Hurry
Since the turn of the 21st century, the Asia-Pacific region has become central to Indian strategic thinking. The Act East policy, unveiled by the Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in late 2014, reinforced this objective. Moreover, during his visits to...
Australia Spells Out South China Sea Policy
Australia’s 2016 Defence White Paper (DWP) directs Australia’s strategic attention towards maritime Southeast Asia. While the 2009 and 2013 Defence White Papers also focused on this region, the 2016 DWP bluntly expresses Australia’s concerns in the South China Sea. In...
The European ‘Union’?
As the Eurozone is amid secular stagnation, its old fiscal, monetary and banking challenges are escalating, along with new threats, including the Brexit, demise of Schengen, anti-EU opposition and geopolitical friction. According to Dan Steinbock, Brussels can no longer avoid...
The UK Economy is Benefiting from EU Migrants
Migration and the principle of free movement within the EU is one of the main issues in the debate over whether Britain should remain in the EU. Polls suggest that the public is very sympathetic to the idea that the...
Probably Not The Best British Budget
After a rollercoaster week for Britain’s chancellor, his eighth budget has been approved. George Osborne will be breathing a sigh of relief. After proudly announcing his budget on March 16, things began to unravel just 48 hours later, thanks in...
South Korea’s Government Tries to Get Ahead of Demographic Challenges
South Korea is undergoing rapid demographic ageing. Only 551,000 Koreans or 2.9 percent of the population were aged 65 or above when the Korean War broke out in 1950. However, according to the United Nations World Population Prospects (UNWPP), 6.4...
Self-nominated Candidates Put a New Spin on Vietnam’s Upcoming Election
Vietnam will hold its parliamentary election in May 2016. The three key positions of president, prime minister and chairperson of the National Assembly will all be elected. However, perhaps the most interesting aspect of this election is the emerging group...
The Aussie Way to a Realistic Defense Budget
The Hobbesian tones of Australia’s new Defence White Paper of 2016 (DWP16) have been noted already and most have come to see the concepts and capability proposals outlined in DWP16 as being reasonable and relatively balanced. There are those who...
Indonesia’s Unhealthiness is Biased Toward the Poor
New ADBI research (Aizawa and Helble, forthcoming) studies how overweight and obesity have become major threats to public health in Indonesia. The evidence shows that obesity, which was previously a problem among high-income groups in the country, has spread across...
Checking in on China’s Rustbelt
Northeast China is under heavy pressure to reduce overcapacity. As the economy is rebalancing, so must “China’s Rustbelt.” But how? In the next five years, China's steel sector should reduce capacity by 100-150 million metric tons, while the coal mining...
China Real Estate Policies Should Not Be One Size Fits All
While some observers claim China is heading for another property bubble, the big picture is more complex. There are signs of bubble formation in some cities and excessive inventory in others, but there is solid growth in many. A few...
Unlikely Malaysian Dynamic Duo Team Up to Oust Najib
The unthinkable is happening in Malaysian politics. Former Prime Minister Mahathir Mohammad and his jailed former deputy Anwar Ibrahim have joined hands in a seemingly impossible alliance to unseat Prime Minister Najib Razak. Never before in Malaysian history have such...
Australia Should Pounce on Indonesian FDI Opportunities
It has been more than 20 years since former Australia Prime Minister Paul Keating declared that ‘no country is more important to Australia than Indonesia. If we fail to get this relationship right, and nurture and develop it, the whole...
The Brexit Club
An ill-conceived strategy undermined by mismanagement and bad fortune is increasing the risks that the UK votes to leave the EU in June. Nearly everything that could go wrong has gone wrong for UK Prime Minister Cameron. An ill-conceived strategy...