Economics

17 July 2015

Survey Says: September Rate Hike

The latest Wall Street Journal survey found that 82% of economists expect a Fed hike in September, completely dismissing a July hike, as this Great Graphic illustrates.  A December hike is more likely to occur as noted by 15% of...

17 July 2015

The Week in Review: Rate Hike, China Demand, Greece

Major developments spanned three continents this week as the U.S. looks set to see a rise in interest rates, China’s imports continue to shrink, and European policymakers finally make a deal with Greece. In the U.S., Federal Reserve Chairperson Janet...

16 July 2015

Using the Power Bestowed Upon You for Good

It may seem that after several recent electoral defeats of prominent national dynasts, Asia’s ‘ruling families’ are in decline. However, a closer look suggests that reports of their political deaths are premature. The most prominent recent setback was the crushing...

16 July 2015

The ECB Leaves Policy Unchanged, but Greece Gets More ELA

The ECB left policy unchanged.  The economic assessment was unchanged, in line with the staff forecasts made last month.  The asset purchases continue to go smoothly.  Inflation bottomed earlier this year, and it expects to remain low over the next...

16 July 2015

Janet Yellen Affirms 2015 Rate Hike

At her semiannual report to Congress, Yellen said that the American economy was showing signs of persistent strength. “Prospects are favorable for further improvement in the U.S. labor market and the economy more broadly,” she said, adding that low oil...

16 July 2015

Central Bank Monetary Policies Going Their Own Way

The US dollar remains bid.  Yellen's comments and the Beige Book signal that the Federal Reserve is still on track to raise rates this year.  In contrast, as the Draghi will make clear today, the ECB is committed to completing...

15 July 2015

Yellen Moves Yields

Those regional Federal Reserve banks that want to hike the discount rate are gradually increasing.  Last month, the Richmond Fed joined four other regional Fed banks (Dallas, Kansas City, Philadelphia, and Cleveland).  Those regional Federal Reserve banks that want to...