Economics

4 November 2015

Tensions Between South Asian States Threaten SAARC

South Asian states established the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) in 1985 to enhance a peaceful co-existence. SAARC includes eight member countries, namely Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Maldives, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Afghanistan and Bhutan. According to its charter, the...

4 November 2015

Buddhist Nationalism Changes Course in Myanmar

The upcoming general elections in Myanmar raise the question of religion’s role in democratisation processes. Previously Buddhism has been an important force in favour of democracy, but in the 2015 election campaign strong Buddhist forces are supporting the military-aligned Union...

4 November 2015

Manufacturing Rout as U.S. Factory Orders Weaken

Fewer buyers are interested in American-made goods even as factories find it more expensive to hire workers. Factory goods saw declining demand, with new orders down 1% in September after falling 2.1% in August, according to the Commerce Department. That...

3 November 2015

Ending Income Poverty through Financial Inclusion

The concept “financial inclusion” in mainstream business and development circles means an all-encompassing term for innovation in financial services for the poor. Financial inclusion is part of an important economic development programme to solve the lack of access to formal...

3 November 2015

Following the Crowd to the City

The world’s population is becoming increasingly urban. Sometime in 2007 is the turning point when city dwellers formed the majority of the global population for the first time in history. Today, the trend toward urbanisation continues: as of 2014, about...

3 November 2015

The Economy is not Enough

Will increasing economic interdependence between Japan and China increase or reduce the risk of conflict? The conventional liberal wisdom is that economic interdependence between states enhances peaceful relations — as in the saying attributed to the early 19th century French...

3 November 2015

Not All are Convinced of a December Rate Hike

The US-German 2-year interest rate differential (swap rate) is a useful directional guide to the euro-dollar exchange rate.  At about 105 bp, it is the highest since 2005.  The US premium had peaked in late 2004 near 185 bp.  In...

2 November 2015

Diverging Monetary Policy Expectations

A critical driver in the foreign exchange market and the global capital markets more generally, is the continued preparation by the Federal Reserve for a rate hike, while many other central banks, including the ECB, warn investors that more accommodative...

1 November 2015

Investors Look to the End of Week U.S. Jobs Report

The US dollar recorded mixed performance last week.  Consolidative technical pressure, after it spurted higher at the end of the previous week with the help of a dovish ECB and rate cuts by the PBOC, and month-end pressures dominated.  There...

29 October 2015

GOP Debate: Someone Has to Win, Right?

Republican presidential candidates debated a range of economic issues in their third debate, from what to do about Medicare and social security to tax policy and even a brief exchange on daily fantasy sports. The moderators became part of the...

29 October 2015

Which Trade Scenario Has the Most Potential to Succeed?

While the U.S.-led Trans-Pacific Partnership has potential to split Asia Pacific, it could be a foundation for truly free trade, along with other free trade plans in the region. While the U.S.-led Trans-Pacific Partnership has potential to split Asia Pacific,...

29 October 2015

Federal Reserve Keeps Rates on Hold

The Federal Reserve is leaving low interest rates in place as it sees weak job growth and moderate economic improvement throughout America. The decision by the Federal Open Market Committee comes a month after a previous decision to keep interest...

29 October 2015

Still a Long Way to Go for the TPP

After more than five years of missed deadlines, trade ministers from the 12 participating Asia-Pacific countries that met in Atlanta finally concluded the negotiations surrounding the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) on 5 October 2015. So is the TPP settled? The short...