Economics

12 April 2016

Is a U.S.-led Asia Order Outmoded?

In numerous essays, Hugh White has argued that the US-led Asia Pacific order, which he rightly views as a source of peace and growing prosperity over the past seventy years, is increasingly outmoded. As daily events in the South China...

11 April 2016

Fallout of a Slowing China on Emerging Asian Economies

With its rapid economic growth and integration into the global economy over the last 3 decades, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has emerged as a major economic power and an important source of growth for the world economy. Now...

11 April 2016

A Weak U.S. Q1 is Par for the Course

Over the past three months and the past month, the dollar has fallen against all the major currencies but the British pound.  Sterling's underperformance can largely be explained by uncertainty created by the Tory government's sponsored referendum on continued EU...

10 April 2016

Technically Speaking…Here is Your Indicator Update

Although there is no convincing technical evidence that dollar's retreat in Q1 is over, we suspect it is nearly complete.  We will be especially sensitive to reversal patterns, divergences with technical indicators, and other signs that the move is exhausted....

6 April 2016

Is China the Missing INF Treaty Ingredient?

Russia’s apparent and recent violation of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Force (INF) Treaty suggests it may be time for Russia and the United States to make the Treaty multilateral — and, most importantly, include China. Russia’s apparent and recent violation of...

5 April 2016

How Long Should Election Campaigns Last?

There’s increasing speculation there will be a July 2 election in Australia this year, called shortly after the May 3 budget. Or will it be later in the year? If so when will it be called? Well, who knows? Perhaps...

4 April 2016

ASEAN’s Best Defense against U.S.-China is a Good Offense

Many features of the US–Soviet cold war are present in contemporary US–China relations: ideological competition, struggles over the control of natural resources, and old-fashioned rivalry for leadership of the global community. Many features of the US–Soviet cold war are present...

4 April 2016

Japan’s Support of Ukraine is Slipping

Times of crisis are a chance to discover who your true friends are. Ukraine learned this lesson two years ago. While it was largely Euro–Atlantic nations that spoke out against Russia’s actions in Crimea, Ukraine also found a supporter in...

4 April 2016

Nepalese Generally Positive about Relations with China

One concerning aspect of China’s rising prominence is its troublesome relations with its neighbours. It has fought both real and legal battles on territorial and ideological grounds on several fronts including in India, Vietnam and on the Korean peninsula in...

4 April 2016

Germany Pledges Aid for Kyrgyzstan during Tough Times

German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier visited Kyrgyzstan and praised the government for its commitment to democracy, according to Deutsche Welle. Germany pledged additional money to Kyrgyzstan to combat the Islamic State’s growing influence in the region. Kyrgyz Foreign Minister Erlan...