Economics

31 March 2016

Labor Market Bias Goes Beyond Unemployment Data

When we think about disadvantages and challenges in the labor market, unemployment generally takes center stage, clearly exemplified by the monthly jobs report hype over one stat: the unemployment rate. Is it up or down? What will it be next...

31 March 2016

Catchy Development Metaphors Need Substance to Work

There is nothing more compelling than a catchy metaphor to attract attention and garner support for policy prescriptions. ‘Engines’ and ‘traps’ are two of the most popular metaphors in the development literature. Both have been used repeatedly to advance various...

31 March 2016

Federal Reserve Mulls Further Economic Stimulus

Seeing a weak economy and struggling middle class, the Federal Reserve is considering measures to stimulate the economy.  In a speech earlier this week, Janet Yellen, Chair of the Federal Reserve, said the Fed has "considerable scope" for stimulating the...

30 March 2016

OECD and IMF Actually Want to Cause Inflation

To many, the word “inflation” causes a knee-jerk reaction and a cringe. Most associate inflation with a negative trend for economies and buying power. Some inflation, however, can actually be a good thing, and that is why the Organization for...

30 March 2016

Who to Blame for Economic Inequality?

Economic inequality is now firmly on the public agenda as candidates and voters alike look for someone to blame for stagnant wages, entrenched poverty and a widening gap between rich and poor. Bernie Sanders blames Wall Street. Donald Trump points...

29 March 2016

Mekong Damns Leave Vietnam and Cambodia High and Dry

As Vietnam suffers its worst drought in nearly a century and Cambodia faces a water shortage that could jeopardise the livelihoods of 1.5 million people, debates have been reignited over the mega dams built along the Mekong. As Vietnam suffers...

28 March 2016

The Stakes are High for a New Asian Order

Asia’s recent decades of economic growth have depended, among other things, on a remarkable period of regional peace and stability. The region will only keep growing if that can be sustained. We cannot take this for granted. The peace we...

28 March 2016

Trade Stories Traveling Under the Radar

It is widely recognized that the sharp depreciation of the Japanese yen has not lifted Japanese export volumes.  In December 2015, Japanese export volumes had fallen 4.4% year-over-year after rising 3.9% in December 2014 and 2.5% in December 2013. These...

28 March 2016

U.S. Data Could Help Set the Week’s Tone

The US dollar is mostly lower as the North American session is set to begin.  The holiday in many centers, especially in Europe, has limited activity, and a few orders seemed to drive prices, which remain within the recent ranges....

25 March 2016

Australia and Mongolia are Closer Than You Think

In February 1987, a pair of junior American diplomats arrived in pre-democratic Mongolia to lay the groundwork for establishing a US embassy — no simple task in Ulaanbaatar, the world’s coldest capital. When the embassy opened a year later, its...

25 March 2016

A Light Data Day Still Contains some Nuggets

The holiday shutters most markets today.  Several Asian markets were open, and equities were narrowly mixed, with Japan and China posting small gains.  Most of the other local markets, including Australia, Korea and Taiwan slipped. The US dollar is trading...