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Author : Marc Chandler
About Marc Chandler PRO INVESTOR
Head of Global Currency Strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman.
Stories by the author
Decoding the R* (R-Star) Mystery
The market recognizes that the indication by the FOMC at the end of last year that four rates hikes in 2016 may be appropriate was far from the mark. ...
Odds of a September Rate Hike Move Higher
The US dollar is trading firmly, largely within yesterday's ranges. The odds implied by the September Fed fund futures eased to 36% from 42% before the weekend, but ahead...
Wages, albeit the Lowest, Appear to be on the Rise
This Great Graphic comes from the Wall Street Journal. It shows what is happening to the pay of the least compensated in the US. Their pay is going up...
The Divergent Monetary Policy Theme is Back
The US dollar staged a strong pre-weekend rally on hints that the Fed will raise rates before the end of the year. There was initially follow through dollar buying...
Setting Up Your Emerging Markets Week
EM ended last week on a soft note, as Fed tightening expectations ratcheted up. The December Fed funds futures contract has an implied yield of 0.5%, the highest since...
Yellen is Part of a Larger Equation
With 17 simple words and the help of clarification from her deputy, Yellen changed the near-term dynamics in the capital markets. By saying that "...I believe that case for...
CFTC: No Highlight Reel for Currency Speculators
The summer lull for speculators in the currency futures market continued in the CFTC reporting week ending August 23. Of the 16 gross currency futures positions we track, speculator...
Summer goes On, but not the Market Doldrums
The US dollar had spent the last full week of August mostly confined to narrow trading ranges against the major currencies until the Yellen spoke as at the end...
India, South Africa and Colombia Lead the EM Headlines
Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor Patel has been named to succeed outgoing Governor Rajan; political risk is back in South Africa; the Colombian government and the FARC rebels...
Playing the Central Bank Odds
Yellen's presentation at Jackson Hole today is the highlight of the week. It also marks the end of the summer for many North American and European investors. It may...