Markets

13 May 2015

How Significant is Indonesia’s Economic Slowdown?

The slowdown in Indonesian growth to 4.7 percent for the first quarter of 2015 follows a steady quarterly slowdown since the 6.8 percent peak just over four years ago. Is this slowdown simply a post-commodity boom cyclical downturn, or is...

11 May 2015

A Preview of Emerging Market News and Events

EM assets are again being pulled in two directions.  EM equities are getting a boost from the PBOC rate cut over the weekend, while EM currencies are starting soft this week as the strong US jobs report puts Fed lift-off...

8 May 2015

Having a ‘Big Government’ Depends on the Definition

In the lead-up to the federal budget the government has made it clear, it sees the long-term task of fiscal management in terms of cutting expenditure rather than raising revenue. We have been repeatedly told the Rudd-Gillard government let spending...

8 May 2015

The Nascent Digital Business Revolution in Australia

Digital disruption is a phrase increasingly bandied about when it comes to the Australian economy, but how deeply do digital technologies really penetrate our industry. Digital disruption is a phrase increasingly bandied about when it comes to the Australian economy,...

8 May 2015

An Emerging Markets Status Update

1) The Brazilian central bank indicated less FX swaps and additional monetary tightening, 2) After a delay, Israel has a new government, 3) Saudi Arabia will open up its stock market to foreign investment, 4) The Argentine political outlook has...

8 May 2015

The Australia-China FTA a ‘Shot in the Arm’ for the Aussie Economy

Australian politicians often say ‘Australia-China relations are crucial to Australia’s development and prosperity’. Many hope the China–Australia FTA, due to be signed later this year, will be the shot in the arm Australia’s economy needs. Australian politicians often say ‘Australia-China...

7 May 2015

Is Thailand’s Current Economic Growth Rate Sustainable?

Thailand’s current development model may not be able to sustain growth in the long term. Thailand needs to make the shift to a knowledge-based, innovative economy — and this means that policy settings will need to change. Thailand’s economic development...