Markets

24 May 2015

The Divergent Dollar Trend Roared Back

The US dollar had a good week. Indeed, the Dollar Index's 3.3% rise was its best weekly performance since last September.  After looking rather bleak, the divergence theme struck back with a vengeance. The US dollar had a good week....

22 May 2015

An Emerging Markets Status Update

1) Petrobras reported stronger than expected Q1 earnings, 2) A Colombian court ordered a delay to the sale of the government’s 57.6% stake in hydropower company Isagen, 3) The Mexican government cut its growth forecast for the year by a...

21 May 2015

The Political and Economic Plight of China’s Minorities

Grigvovan / Shutterstock.com Grigvovan / Shutterstock.com In recent years, Uyghur and Tibetan issues have captured most of the national and international attention granted to China’s minorities. Yet Uyghurs and Tibetans account for less than 15 per cent of China’s minority...

20 May 2015

Joko Widodo’s First 100 Days in Office

Distinguishing the first 100 days of President Joko Widodo (Jokowi) and his government are historic reforms to fuel subsidies, social assistance to the poor, streamlined investment licensing and virtually no new restrictive regulations on foreign trade. Fuel subsidy reform has...

19 May 2015

The Last Round of UK Deflation was Pre-Beatles

The rate of inflation has turned negative for the first time in 55 years in the UK. The phenomenon of deflation in economic jargon means consumers will see a drop in prices, with essentials like petrol and food cheaper than...

18 May 2015

A Preview of Emerging Market News and Events

EM assets start the week under some mild pressure. This comes after last week’s rally, which was fed by the positive combination of stabilizing commodity prices, continued dollar softness, and falling US yields. Those impulses are likely to continue this...

15 May 2015

Australia as an Energy Superpower, or Not

Economic modelling and its associated forecasts are always open to criticism, particularly when the results align with the predisposition of the modellers or their paymasters. Such criticism has been a feature of economic modelling on energy and climate change for...

15 May 2015

China as a Net Exporter of Capital

The governments and people of Southeast Asia must develop a strong sense of ownership and control over infrastructure projects as China increasingly directs its investments towards the region’s infrastructure. The governments and people of Southeast Asia must develop a strong...

15 May 2015

An Emerging Markets Status Update

1) China stimulus continues, 2) Stymied India reform efforts, 3) Brazil’s fiscal outlook has worsened after the lower house passed an amendment to boost pension payments, 4) Polish political risk is rising, 5) The Russian central bank bought USD for...