Economic Impact from China’s Flooding Grows
After weeks of torrential rain across central and southern China, the mainland has suffered from a series of devastating floods. As the total price tag has soared, the impact will be felt in economic growth. By mid-July, almost 240 people...
Is the U.S. Economic Recovery about to Speed Up?
This Great Graphic was tweeted by Alan Kruger (@Alan_Kruger). Drawing on official data and the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracker for Q2 GDP (2.4%), it shows the current business cycle in the context of a four earlier cycles. Until now, the...
Thailand not Quite Prepared for the King’s Passing
After some months of uncertainty, a representative from Thailand’s Democrats Party last week declared in a televised seminar that the party would not support the proposed draft constitution in the 7 August referendum. This follows an earlier declaration from the...
You Say You Want a Constitution (Change)
Following the 10 July upper house elections the Abe government now has the two-thirds majority in both houses of the Diet necessary to pass constitutional amendments. So what are the likely consequences? Four years ago, Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party...
India’s Rexit – RBI Governor Rajan Leaves
June suffered from an excess of exits. However, none of them lived up to forecasts of dire consequences, at least for India. For now, Indian markets have shrugged off both Brexit and Rexit — the exit of Governor Raghuram Rajan...
Emerging Markets Wait for FOMC Meeting
EM ended the week on a soft note, as the dollar reasserted broad-based strength against most currencies. The FOMC meeting this week could see the Fed push back against the market’s dovish take on policy, in which case EM would...
An Emerging Markets Status Update
The New York Times reported that the US is preparing to seize $1 bln in assets tied to 1MDB, S&P downgraded Turkey a notch to BB with a negative outlook, citing political uncertainty, Turkish President Erdogan declared a three-month state...
A New, Small Wave of Italian Migration to Australia is not Feeling Valued
Increasing numbers of young Italians are following in the footsteps of previous generations in migrating to Australia, but up to 40% report feeling exploited at work, and found it difficult to have their skills recognised, new research has found. Any...
Australia’s Productivity Commission Blasts ‘effects test’ as Unwarranted
The Productivity Commission has condemned government plans for an “effects test” that would make it easier to stop large businesses exploiting their market power against small businesses and farmers. It has also criticised the Coalition’s toughening of foreign investment rules for the...
We’re Japan, and We’re Here to Help
Foreign aid is a key instrument of international engagement in Japan’s foreign policy toolkit. Although Tokyo is no longer the world’s top aid donor that it once was in the 1990s, it still was the world’s number four aid donor...
Making Sure All Indians Participate in Economic Growth
India is set to become the world’s fastest-growing major economy this year. However, as the nation of 1.2 billion grapples with how to achieve rapid and sustainable economic growth, it must also ensure that such growth is inclusive — a...
If You’re ‘Just Managing’, it’s May to the Rescue
Theresa May has come into office talking about people who are “just managing”, but find life tough. Similarly, then Labour Party leader Ed Miliband talked about the squeezed middle in the build-up to last year’s general election. Theresa May...
Australian Poverty Drops, but Income Stagnates
Poverty in Australia has declined, welfare reliance has stabilised and long-term poverty is becoming rare - but overall economic wellbeing is no longer improving, and households’ wealth has remained static, despite rising property prices, according to Australia’s most respected longitudinal...
Notoriously Inaccurate African Data Requires a Second Look
In November 2010, Ghana Statistical Services announced new and revised gross domestic product (GDP) estimates. As a result, the estimated size of the economy was adjusted upward by more than 60%, suggesting that in previous GDP estimates economic activities worth about US$13...
RBA Rate Cut Risk Rises
The Australian dollar recorded a key downside reversal last Friday (July 15) and had seen follow through selling this week. It is off 1.25% over the past three sessions, which makes it the worst performing major currency behind the Japanese...