Will Europe’s Austerity Lead To Another Great Depression?: Dan Steinbock
Until recently, Brussels has supported primarily frontload austerity measures. When President Hoover tried similar policies in 1930s America, a severe recession morphed into a devastating Great Depression. Is Europe following in the footprints? On Monday (11 March), the President of...
High Oil Price’s Heavy Burden On Government Debt: Gail Tverberg
Recently, the growth of most types of US debt has stalled. The major exception however is governmental debt, which is still growing rapidly. In our current circumstances, the US is reaching its debt limit mainly because of a specific resource...
The Comedian Cometh: Why Beppe Grillo’s Success Is No Laughing Matter
On Sunday, Beppe Grillo's anti-establishment 5-Star Movement announced its intentions to lead Italy's next government, though it reiterated that it would not agree to any alliances. Throughout his campaign, Grillo has successfully articulated the angst of the well-educated, yet under-employed...
Will Europe’s Unemployment Crisis Spark A Return For Fascism? : George Friedman
Fascism had its roots in Europe, during the 1920s and 1930s, in massive economic failures in which the financial elites failed to recognize the political consequences of unemployment. While history may not repeat itself so neatly, the emergence of new...
Will the Transatlantic Free Trade Pact Materialise?: Mohamed El-Erian
The promise of freer transatlantic trade is potentially transformational and comes at a time when the West is increasingly dragged down by short-term disruptions and continued policy inertia. But its implementation prospects are far from promising - its challenges highlight...
Europe’s Austerity ‘Cure’ Will Never Work: Joseph Stiglitz
While Europe’s leaders shy away from the word, the reality is that much of the European Union is in depression. Indeed, it will now take a decade or more to recover from the losses incurred by misguided austerity policies –...
Monetary Missteps? – 10 Concerns About Quantitative Easing: Nouriel Roubini
Central banks worldwide today are utilising unconventional monetary policies, such as quantitative easing, to jump-start growth in their anemic economies. But if such policies remain in place for too long, their side effects could be severe – and the longer-term...
Asia’s New FDI Deal – Why China Isn’t Losing Its Investment Appeal: Dan Steinbock
Although the latest FDI figures by China’s Ministry of Commerce may appear disappointing, the truth is there has been an intensifying relocation of investments from China’s 1st and 2nd tier cities to other parts of China and across Southeast Asia....
Moody’s Blues – Why The UK Downgrade Was Meaningless: Marc Chandler
Last Friday, the U.K. lost its much-treasured AAA rating, after Moody’s downgraded its sovereign debt on the back of poor economic growth forecasts. But while the timing of the downgrade was surprising, the move itself was long anticipated – and...
12 Reasons Why Globalisation Is A Major Problem: Gail Tverberg
Globalization seems to be looked on as an unmitigated “good” by economists. Unfortunately, economists seem to be guided by their badly flawed models; they miss real-world problems. In particular, they miss the point that the world is finite. We don’t have...
The Return Of Fixed Exchange Rates: A Costly Response To ‘Currency Wars’?
The ongoing depreciation of currencies in advanced economies has forced several emerging countries to empty their foreign reserves in order to maintain exchange rates. Is this policy sustainable in the long-term; and why are countries willing to fix their exchange...
Housing Bubble 2.0? – Why The US Property Market Is Headed For Another Crash
U.S. house prices have risen for the past year, provoking calls that the market has stabilised; But American investment broker Peter Schiff – the famous ‘Dr Doom’ who accurately predicted the 2007 crisis – says the correction is temporary and...
G-20: Leading The Charge Against Immoral Corporate Tax Practices?
While media attention at the recent G-20 summit focused on the foreign exchange market and the possibility of ‘currency wars’, something far more important was developing in Moscow: The real news from the G-20 meeting is the formal beginning of...
Global Rebalancing for Sustainable Growth: Michael Pettis
In 2012, we saw the end of what some call the first stage of the global financial crisis. Most of the deepest problems have been identified and market reforms are underway to ensure that economic imbalances reverse themselves. But...
Limits To Growth – Do Higher Oil Prices Cause Lower Wages?: Gail Tverberg
As high oil prices continue to increase costs for businesses and governments worldwide, downward pressures may cause a reduction in jobs and wages. The result is a mismatch between what citizens can afford, and the cost to manufacture and transport...