Economics

13 September 2015

It’s On: Central Bank Meetings vs. Economic Data Reports

A flood of data comes in the week ahead.  The US reports consumer prices, retail sales and industrial output figures. The Eurozone reports industrial production and the final August CPI.  Germany releases the ZEW.  The UK reports consumer prices, the...

11 September 2015

BRICS Building

What started, as a pompous affair of five nations coming together in support of one another’s infrastructural needs, now appears to be more of a promotional event. What started, as a pompous affair of five nations coming together in support...

11 September 2015

That Long Shadow is the FOMC

The global capital markets are subdued as the week draws to a close.  Asian stocks, while European bourses are heavier.  Bonds are firm.  The dollar itself is little changed against the major currencies.  The global capital markets are subdued as...

10 September 2015

Economic Data Pours in as the Week Nears its End

The RBNZ cut rates 25 bp to 2.75%.  It was already discounted, but what punished the kiwi was the intimation by Wheeler of scope for additional rate cuts.  Another cut looks likely by the end of the year.  The New Zealand...

9 September 2015

The View of a Global Recession from Down Under

Recession. Recession. Recession. In Canada, Belgium, Czech Republic, Italy, Japan, Portugal, Taiwan, Slovenia, the Netherlands, Brazil and Russia. They’ve all either had recent recessions, are in deep danger, or have one now. Who’s next? Not us. We hope. Australia has...

9 September 2015

From Baby Boom to Economic Boom

A baby boom is a sustained increase and then decrease in the birth rate. The United States, the UK and other industrialized economies have experienced only one such baby boom since 1900 – the one that occurred after World War...

8 September 2015

U.S. Candidates Ratchet Up the Hyperbole ahead of Xi Visit

Another year of presidential campaigns, another round of China bashing. In the wake of China’s stock market crash in August 2015, Republican presidential candidates have turned their attention towards China. Citing China’s ‘active manipulation’ of its economy as contributing to...

8 September 2015

Eurozone Growth Improves as Refugee Tensions Mount

Eurozone economies saw a modest resurgence of growth in the second quarter, but mounting tensions over migrant inflows are steering political focus away from growth. Exports and consumer spending helped drive European growth higher, according to new statistics from Eurostat,...

8 September 2015

Japan PM Abe’s Political Future Appears Certain

In December 2014, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) returned to government after a snap election. At that time, Abe positioned himself to continue as prime minister for another four years until the end of 2018, giving...

8 September 2015

What You May Have Missed

1.  China's reserves fell by almost $94 bln in August.   This was a little more than the Bloomberg consensus but not as large as the $200 bln some had suggested.  Valuation considerations, often ignored in discussions of Chinese reserves, did...

7 September 2015

Consumer Protection as a Byproduct of Trade

Significant legislative and practical challenges in enhancing consumer product safety law remain in many parts of Southeast Asia. But liberalising trade within ASEAN and with its outside trading partners has led to major progress in consumer protection standards. Significant legislative...