As a major consumer of energy, Google’s recent efforts to go green are seen as a welcome step by the environmental advocates, who see the Internet giant as an important future player in the renewable energy industry. But can Google really capitalise on its momentum and become an influential figure in energy policy? Read more
With a traumatic implosion – economic, financial, political, and social – now taking place in Greece, we should expect heated debate about who is to blame for the country's deepening misery. There are four suspects – all of them involved in the spectacular boom that preceded what will prove to be an even more remarkable bust. Read more
With the advent of the Internet, major movie and record studios have been demanding extensions to copyright laws in order to preserve outdated business models. But copyright law can do little to protect them and they need to move with the times and embrace the new technologies. Read more
The pharmaceutical industry today is a broken intellectual-property regime, which holds back on the development and availability of cheap drugs for the sake of profit maximisation. But it doesn’t have to be this way. An international effort by the World Health Organisation may now represent a once-in-a-generation opportunity to remedy a long-standing and egregious inequity in health care. Read more
Greece’s exit from the eurozone appears to be inevitable. Still, like a doomed marriage, it is better to have rules for the impending divorce so as to make separation less costly to both sides. Read more
How would you like a job in Social Media? You'll get to use Facebook and Twitter every day. Instead of being blocked from the online world’s most popular leisure activity, you’ll be positively encouraged! Get paid to surf, socialize and evangelize. The perfect job for most post generation Y’ers. Position yourself at the forefront of an industry with explosive growth and rapidly solidifying long-term opportunities…
With François Hollande’s defeat of Nicolas Sarkozy, Merkel has virtually no support left in the eurozone. As the world looks for signs that Europe’s new power duo can overcome political difference and work together to save the euro, almost all European governments are counting on Hollande to change the balance of power. Will he succeed? Read more
Across the Middle East and South-East Asia, Islamic financial institutions hold aggregated assets estimated to be worth $50 billion. To some, this cash-rich sector represents a huge opportunity for growth and investment. But perhaps, what Islamic banks can really offer is a set of guiding principles that can enhance financial stability, four years after the crisis. Read more
The future of the global economy remains shrouded in mystery. Whether the crises in the United States and the eurozone will improve remains to be seen. While the latest economic data from China largely points to a soft landing, until the Chinese economy rebalances, it will not emerge from its own domestic crisis. In fact, China will be the last major economy to emerge from the global crisis. Read more
October 2011 saw significant changes in the global economy. In the U.S., the Occupy Wall Street movement was reaching its peak and was gradually inspiring similar movements across the world; while in Libya, former dictator Muammar Gaddafi had been caught and killed as he hid in a drain just outside his birthplace in Sirte. Meanwhile, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou stunned the world on October 31st when he called for a national referendum on the new European Union debt deal – a plan which was subsequently cancelled just days later and led to Papandreou’s resignation. EconomyWatch.com too had been in the process of change.
Greece may not be the basket case that the rest of Europe seems to believe it is. Against the bleak picture commonly propagated by the media, the Greek state actually possesses numerous positive factors in its economy, including: a massive amount of real estate, and huge savings that can be generated simply by shrinking its public sector. Read more
Ben Bernanke is a marked man. Ever since he was appointed as the Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve in 2006, Bernanke has been a constant target for criticism – with some progressive economists now blaming him for not doing enough for the economy. But while the man is not without flaw, Bernanke has actually gone further than any other central banker in recent times in attempting to stimulate the economy through monetary policy. Read more
Europe’s single-minded focus on austerity is a result of a misdiagnosis of its problems; and the fact that so many economies are vulnerable to natural disasters only makes the man-made disaster of austerity all the more tragic. Accordingly, the pain that Europe, especially its poor and young, is suffering as a result of its leaders’ willful ignorance of the lessons of the past is entirely unnecessary. Read more
François Hollande’s victory in the French presidential election is a fresh chance for Europe. It should spell the end of a policy oriented exclusively towards austerity, which has paralyzed our economies and divided the EU, and should not scare anyone – certainly not the financial markets. Read more
The advent of digital and social media has presented new opportunities for corporations in Asia. But in a region that possesses a diverse range in cultures, identities and languages, many companies have been struggling with a holistic approach for their digital strategy, which has ultimately led to corporate disaster. Read more
The Basel Accords were introduced to protect consumers from bad banking practices; yet somehow they managed to exacerbate the 2008 financial crisis even further – causing a sharp drop in drop in GDP and employment, while the sharp sell-off in assets ensured further declines. Why did the Basel accords fail so miserably and what can be done to ensure better regulation of the banking industry? Read more
Spain’s banking system is in a fragile state. Already, bad property loans are threatening to bring the system down like a house of cards, while international pressure means that the government has little manoeuvrability to support the system if further disruptions occur. Needless to say, the Spanish government is desperate to have the banking sector solve its own problems without a bailout from either the state or the EU. But will this be possible? Read more
Ultimately, there can be no strong Germany without a stable eurozone; no stable eurozone without a strong Germany; and no global economic stability without both. Germans might not like their choices, but refusing the responsibility of leadership is one option that Germany does not have. Read more
The United States fixation with the Renminbi has distracted the government from far more important economic issues in its relationship with China. Rather than vilifying China as the principal economic threat to America, this relationship should be recast as an opportunity – especially when the opportunities of market access far outweigh the currency threat. Read more
Local communities in the U.K. may still be against hydraulic fracturing, or “fracking”, but the government has once again proven that its interests are more closely aligned with investment bankers in the City of London than those forced to live with the consequences. Read more
Argentina’s decision to nationalise YPF – a subsidiary of Spanish energy company Repsol – has been met by international disapproval; though the Argentine government insists that the move had been necessary in order to meet its energy needs. Yet this may not turn out to be the case, particularly with investment in exploration greatly reduced. Read more
We are living in times of austerity: Economies all over the world are experiencing slower growth, and half of the eurozone economies are expected to shrink this year. In fact, not one major European country is expected to grow over 1 percent. Yet, the luxury market has managed to thrive despite all odds and it is showing no sign of slowing down. How can that be? Read more
The world’s biggest oil and gas companies are competing for the enormous reserves of natural gas and oil in the Arctic, but the ecological and economic consequences of a major oil spill would be catastrophic. Read more
The global economy is shifting from a unipolar world, led mainly by the US, to a truly multipolar world, in which the US, the EU, the BRICS, and some smaller powers carry substantial weight. But while this shift means that no single country or bloc can now dominate the others, the major powers have seemingly become unwilling to assume global leadership, especially its financial burdens. Rather, they all just want a free ride at the others’ expense. Read more
Scientists have discovered a vast reservoir of groundwater located within Africa, which is said to contain a hundred times the amount of water found on the continent’s surface. But while the news has already sparked excitement across the once water-scarce continent, this joy will be short-lived unless global leaders exercise moral and social responsibility.
From humble beginnings in the 1990’s, Islamic finance has become a trillion-dollar industry. And, despite scepticism regarding accommodation between Islamic and global finance, leading banks are buying Islamic bonds and forming subsidiaries specifically to conduct Islamic finance. Read more
High-frequency trading has been in existence since 1999; thought it only caught the public’s attention after the “Flash Crash” in 2010 – when high-frequency liquidity providers were found to have withdrawn from the market, resulting in increased volatility and inflated asset price bubbles. But does speed-trading, as it is sometimes called, deserve its bad reputation or does it really create a “mirage of liquidity”?
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The honeymoon for the ECB's new president Mario Draghi has turned out to be brief. The trouble is that the eurozone has an austerity strategy, but no growth strategy – and, without that, all it really has is a recession strategy that makes austerity self-defeating, because, if output continues to contract, deficit and debt ratios will continue to rise to unsustainable levels. Read more
Libertarian paternalism, or “soft paternalism”, is a political philosophy which states that government can nudge citizens into making decisions that are good for themselves, while offering complete freedom to individuals to make up their own minds. The problem is that the semblance of choice is an illusion, because individuals do not consciously think through their decision. Read more
What nerve the eurozone has. On one hand, it prides itself as a highly successful and integrated sovereign currency bloc that lives within its means. Yet, at the same time, eurozone members vehemently insist that the IMF is obliged to support debtor nations within the Union. European policymakers need to realize that they cannot have it both ways, and the eurozone needs to stop blackmailing the IMF, whose obligation lies with the wider international community. Read more
For years, the Indus River has brought water (and life) to both India and Pakistan. But today, the river now stands at the centre of a water conflict between the two South Asian neighbours, which threatens to escalate into violence. Is a water war between India and Pakistan imminent, and what is China’s role in the whole thing? Read more
China’s economy is grossly imbalanced, and for years many academics have been talking about an imminent rebalancing. For now, it is clear is that China’s rebalancing act will not be automatic. Rich as China may be, weaknesses in China’s economic model will constrain the options Beijing can take. But the bigger question is, does China have the political will to address this problem? Read more
Rumours suggest that the US is likely to insist on maintaining the perverse selection process in which it gets to pick the World Bank’s president. But while Jim Yong Kim may be a good candidate, no single country should effectively decide who gets the job. Should America continue to insist on controlling the selection process, it is the Bank itself that would suffer. Read more
The rise of emerging markets to prosperity and global influence will be short-lived unless the challenges to longer-term economic growth are addressed. But, a massive increase in the number of competent and motivated leaders and professionals will be needed in order to overcome these challenges head-on. A major transformation of tertiary education in emerging markets is thus a fundamental condition of sustainable growth. Read more
In order to be a bank that serves the world’s needs and addresses global challenges, the World Bank needs internal reforms congruous to a changing world order. To find relevance, the World Bank needs to be a truly global institution with a special responsibility vis-à-vis the world’s poorest countries and a commitment to helping middle-income countries face their own challenges. Read more
In recent years, Michel Barnier, the EU commissioner for the internal market and services, has tried to oversee regulatory reform for the financial sector towards serving the society. But, the biggest obstacle to his progress, according to Barnier himself, is financial lobbying that has a clear vested interest in the status quo and neutralising reforms. Read more
The global community will face two important decisions in Washington, DC this month; they must decide on how to proceed with the European debt crisis as well as on whom to pick as the next World Bank president. Yet, complacency, coupled with rigid practices, could very well mean that the best decisions will not be made, and the world will instead be forced to settle for second best. Read more
A Scottish vote in favour of independence in a referendum would end the country’s 307-year intermarriage with England. But it would also have huge economic, political and psychological repercussions for the whole of the UK. Read more
Egypt’s political transition has had deep economic consequences. Though the country is now free of a repressive and tyrannical regime, the economy has entered into a steep decline, which threatens the main goals of the revolution. What’s more, Egyptian politicians now favour populist rhetoric; and unless the upcoming presidential elections can lead to economic stabilization and revival, Egyptians’ hard-won political gains may well be lost. Read more
Until now, the United States had been given a kind of carte blanche to nominate anyone it wanted to the World Bank presidency. That is how the Bank ended up with several inappropriate leaders, including several bankers and political insiders who lacked the knowledge and interest to lead the fight against poverty. But the nomination now of Jim Yong Kim could be a breakthrough for the US, and most importantly, the World Bank. Read more
Student debt is growing at an alarming rate. At the end of 2011, total student loan debt crossed the $1 trillion mark, a level that is higher than the sum of all credit card debt in the United States. Already, this category of debt has been likened to the subprime crisis, raising worries that a potential delinquency crisis could find its way into the wider economy. Read more
Given centuries of turmoil in China, today’s leaders will do everything in their power to preserve political, social, and economic stability. That is why they removed Bo Xilai, the powerful Party Secretary of Chongqing, just before a major conference that attacked the economic model that he personified. Read more
Having reduced the risk of a relapse into recession, the US economy is now able to move on its own power, albeit gingerly. Consequently, the question on most people’s minds today is whether the US economy is ready not just to walk, but also to run and sprint. But the US faces a new problem: that the sense of relief now can – and probably will – be taken too far. Read more
Bailouts appear to be the medicine du jour prescribed across Europe for debt-stricken nations. Large-scale purchases of government bonds by the ECB also seem to be the only focus of creditors and political leaders. But the true key to resolving the eurozone crisis actually lies in properly structured reforms in the ailing countries. Read more
Neoclassical economics has led us into a cul-de-sac. Although alternatives do exist, neoclassical thought has been so deeply entrenched into our finance ministries, economics departments, banks and other financial institutions, until a widespread belief has now materialised: that fictions like “perfect markets” and “efficient market hypothesis” are real.
Egypt supplies nearly 40 percent of Israel’s natural gas needs. Yet the cordial relationship, which both governments once enjoyed, has since broken down. To make matters worse, populist sentiments emanating from the Arab Spring are now calling for Cairo to revoke all sales of natural gas across their border. Read more
The Vatican Bank has been plagued by corruption and criminality ever since it was established in 1942. Yet this is hardly a surprise, given that no bona fide legal system is currently in place to ensure check and balances for the bank of God. Read more
The world is afraid. Increasing concerns about a military conflict between Israel and Iran has created a “Fear Premium”, which has seen the price of oil soar to nearly $125 per barrel – even as the global oil supply remains plentiful and demand appears to have lowered. Now, as the drums of war grow louder, oil prices could rise in a way that will most likely cause a US and global growth slowdown or, worst still, another outright recession. Read more
In the next 20 years, China will face serious economic challenges: Rising inequality, environmental degradation, external imbalances, as well as an aging society, all present major risks to China’s future. With the nation heading for an inevitable slowdown, can its government provide long-term solutions to its short-term problems? Read more
Zimbabwe consumes more energy than it can produce; and in order to meet this energy shortfall, the country has been importing energy from its neighbours. But what happens when Zimbabweans can no longer pay for their energy, and how did the country get into this situation in the first place? Read more
China’s woes do not stem directly from the fact that its local governments are struggling to repay its bank loans. After all, it has been correctly argued that the Chinese government can afford to, and will most likely allow the debt to ‘roll over’ to the country’s main balance sheet. But the key problem here is two-fold: China’s debt is rising and it will eventually blow up. Secondly, China needs to identify and ensure that its long-run engine of growth works, given the weak links that exist in China’s socio-economic model. Read more
The everyday inequality that most Americans face has deep pernicious effects, which go beyond the typical arguments discussed during the “1% versus 99%” debate. But while these effects are fairly unknown, they still play a role in our daily lives and can even affect policy decision-making. Read more
Political change in Myanmar has been numbingly slow for a half-century, but a new leadership is trying to embrace rapid transition from within. However, the country is now being held back by the international sanctions that were imposed before its leaders turned away from authoritarianism and isolation. Read more
One year ago, Japan was ravaged by an earthquake and tsunami disaster that not only destroyed homes and infrastructure, but also led a nuclear catastrophe at the Fukushima Daiichi power plant. Yet today, the country can take heart that so many of its people, children in particular, are alive because of its early-warning systems, safety drills, and a strong emphasis on disaster-risk reduction. Read more
There have been wildly different opinions about China's economic prospects in recent years. While plenty of investors remain very bullish about China, others express doubt about China’s economic future – with some even betting on a major financial catastrophe to happen anytime soon. Why are there two distinct camps on China’s economy and are there statistics to support either side? Read more
Having a good credit score is very important for your financial future, so if you find out that your credit score is poor, it’s time to make some changes. The key to improving credit is to start making sound financial choices, which means that frivolous spending with a credit card needs to stop. Read more
The eurozone crisis has exposed the deep disparities in competitiveness among European economies. Southern European countries, in particular, are lagging far behind other European nations such as Germany and France. But while Europe needs to address the two macroeconomic imbalances – external and fiscal –at the heart of that crisis, such a solution does not require a euro breakup or a major austerity-induced recession. Read more
Despite losing billions in 2011, bailed-out British banks, including Lloyds and RBS, continued to pay out millions in bonuses to its top executives. The government has also thus far refused to step in, while public pressure mounts on the executives and politicians. Why are big bonuses still a prevalent part of banking culture and is there really nothing we can do? Read more
With Europe on the brink of recession and recovery in the US finally getting some traction, the case for fiscal consolidation appears increasingly weak. But the case becomes stronger when one considers Asian countries' path from crisis in the late 1990's to astounding growth and prosperity today. Read more
The World Bank’s central mission, when it was established in 1944, was to reduce global poverty and ensure that global development was environmentally sound and socially inclusive. However, since then the Bank has only served as an extension of US foreign policy and commercial interests. Read more
After being in denial for years, India’s Department of Atomic Energy finally admitted last month that the deaths of some employees and their dependents at the Kalpakkam nuclear site were caused by multiple myeloma, a rare form of bone marrow cancer linked to nuclear radiation. Will this news put a damper on India’s plans to broaden their nuclear power capabilities? Read more
With Robert Zoellick departing in June as President of the World Bank, the Bank requires a new selection process that will enable it to choose the most qualified person, regardless of nationality. More importantly, it needs to identify the qualifications needed to run the Bank at a time when its role must be adapted to far-reaching global changes. Read more
While recent developments seem to suggest some positive news for the global economy, there are at least four downside risks that could materialize this year – undermining global growth and eventually negatively affecting investor confidence and market valuations of risky assets. Read more
In a democracy, the main source of a government’s political legitimacy should be the public – through elections and the nation’s constitution. But on 7th February 2012, Maldives’ first ever democratically elected president was overthrown in a coup; and while the present government insist that the political change was peaceful and legitimate, few Maldivians are convinced – particularly as government officials themselves remain uncertain over the circumstances surrounding the transfer of power. Read more
Corporations, today, are holding the largest amounts of cash, relative to assets and net worth, ever recorded. The velocity of money (the frequency at which money is spent, or GDP relative to base money) also continues to plunge to historic lows. But why are companies deciding to hoard cash, when more capital investment is needed to stir economic growth? Read more
Over the last two decades, European policy makers have imposed restrictive fiscal policies on member states. They have concentrated on the design of fiscal rules and the structure of budgetary processes but they have never thought of introducing a new tax system able to reduce unemployment and increase investments. Only one tax system could eliminate all the growth-related problems without generating side effects on domestic expenditure: a flat tax system. Read more
It is easy to blame politicians for our current economic woes, but do the public have to bear some of the blame as well? As Axel Weber would say, policymakers simply do not have the public mandate to get ahead of problems, especially novel ones that seem small initially, but, if unresolved, imply potentially large costs. What then should the public do to overcome this? Read more
Spiralling wages and transfer fees have submerged Europe’s football teams in billions off debt, and the sport’s governing body seems helpless to do anything about it.
Greece may have reached a last-minute bailout deal with its debtors, but the country has been saddled with harsh austerity measures and debt conditions, which leaves serious doubt on their ability to recover and avoid default in the longer term. , In key respects, Greece is facing today what Argentina faced in August of 2001. Unless Europe reflects on Argentina's experience, the parallels with Greece may end up including financial meltdown, a deep output collapse, and social and political turmoil. Read more
The latest round of US sanctions on Iran has left many countries scrambling for new sources for oil. South Africa, who receives nearly 25 percent of its need from Iran, is no different. Yet for South Africa, the situation is further complicated due to its long ties with Iran. Additionally, as the only the nation in the world to have voluntarily surrendered its incipient nuclear weapons program, South Africa could be a crucial player in Iran’s nuclear talks. Read more
The world needs a new paradigm for sustainable development. With economies teetering, ecosystems under siege, and inequality soaring, the world needs to act now to ensure our sustainable development. But how do we begin to tackle the massive challenge of retooling our global economy, preserving the environment, and providing greater opportunity and equity, including gender equality, to all? Read more
On February 7th 2012, Mohamed Nasheed, Maldives’ first ever democratically elected president was deposed from his post after a coup led by his predecessor Maumon Abdul Gayoom forced him to resign at gunpoint. What are the implications of Nasheed’s resignations to the Maldives, as well as to democracy in general? Read more
In the last few years, the debate on socioeconomic inequality has received greater media attention and academic interest, especially after last year’s Occupy Movement. However, governments across the world have been slow to enact real changes to address the rising epidemic. Income disparities have the potential to upset social equilibriums, and when that happens, the economic recovery might inadvertently be stalled. Read more
Over the past few years, the development of RMB (Chinese Yuan) denominated bonds issued offshore (generally referred to as “Dim Sum bonds” in the capital markets) has seen exponential growth. We examine the drivers of this growth and how the market has developed and benefitted from regulatory influences and market participation. Read more
In part two of our feature on the Iraqi economy, we look at how the downfall of Saddam Hussein’s regime, and the subsequent introduction of the US, managed to shape Iraq’s oil industry and political scenario. Finally, we ask what the Iraqi government needs to do to ensure the nation’s future, particularly with the fate of its citizens at hand. Read more
The ECB's recent decision to lend unlimited funds to eurozone commercial banks at very low rates acknowledges the need to address a core drawback in the euro-architecture: the ECB itself. However the banks use the money, it is now clear that the eurozone’s future will be determined largely by the ECB. Read more
The modern “capitalist system” cannot be considered as true capitalism. Rather, this corrupted version is more akin to corporatism, which chokes off the dynamism that makes for engaging work, faster economic growth, and greater opportunity and inclusiveness. The time though could be right for capitalism to once again carry its true meaning, rather than the one attributed to it by corporatists seeking to hide behind it and socialists wanting to vilify it. Read more
Last month, the Bulgarian National Assembly voted to impose an indefinite ban on shale gas exploration and extraction in Bulgaria using hydraulic fracturing or other similar technology. But new evidence have emerged that may suggest some form of covert Russian influence in the matter. Read more
There are several explanations for the ECB’s insistence on a "voluntary" restructuring of Greece's sovereign debt, none of which speaks well for the institution. Indeed, as we have seen elsewhere, institutions that are not democratically accountable tend to be captured by special interests. Read more
The Iraqi economy has gone through a roller coaster of changes for the last sixty years. In the first part of our analysis, we explore how Iraq fundamentally changed from an agricultural-based economy to one that relied solely on oil. We also question how this reliance on oil shaped the aftermath of Iraq’s economy and society after the Iran-Iraq war as well as the first Gulf war. Read more
There is a new bank on UK's High Street. While Virgin Money has been around since 1995,the company only came into serious prominence when it finalised the deal to acquire troubled bank Northern Rock on the 1st of January this year. But will the deal to take over Northern Rock be a good result for the public who bailed out the bank during the financial crisis? And what impact will Virgin Money have on the UK's banking sector? Read more
Sustainable development means inclusive economic growth that protects the earth’s vital resources. Yet achieving it will be a matter not only of technology, market incentives, and appropriate regulations; we must embrace sustainable development as a common commitment to decency for all human beings, today and in the future. Read more
The pace of China’s Internet revolution has been breathtaking. Since 2006, the number of Internet users in China has more than tripled to 485 million, while the cost of connectivity is also expected to fall sharply as China’s Internet penetration rate continues to grow. But while it is always easy to get carried away with the numbers, the real change in China concerns the implications of connectivity, and not just its scale. Read more
Germany is caught in a dilemma. On the one hand, while the Germans cannot afford austerity in troubled states due to the resulting decline in demand for German goods, cannot simply tolerate Greek-style indifference to fiscal prudence as well. In dealing with other countries such as Spain or Italy, Germany must now show with Greece that there are consequences to not complying with the orderly handling of debt without default. Read more
In part two of our feature on Goldman Sachs, we look at Goldman’s networks of power in Europe and consider the ways in which Goldman is using the same dangerous financial products, which caused the 2007 crisis, to bet against Europe’s floundering economies whilst governing, or advising those countries. Finally, we ask what can be done to reduce Goldman’s power. Read more
The current economic crisis demands solutions. But while most government officials, central bankers, and Wall Street economists have subscribed to the standard Keynesian formula for recovery, the potential results from this step simply paper over much of the real problems to the economy and create an illusion of normalcy. (Attached Video: Raghuram Rajan on Risks to the Global Economy) Read more
The world faces a nasty credit problem. Far too often, companies and households with access to credit tend not to need it; while those who do, are not able to receive it. If this situation is left unattended, it might lead to a gradual, and then accelerated, renewed deleveraging of the economic system. How then can we unclog the global economy’s choked credit pipes? Read more
As the world continues to clamp down on untamed speculative finance, disagreements between nations, global banks and financial institutions are likely to intensify. At the same time, the financial sector, and its lobbyists, will be doing all they can to adulterate, block or water down any reforms. Can any of the reforms stick, or will they ultimately have the perverse effect of increasing, and not decreasing, financial instability? Read more
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China’s success story is one that would certainly go down the chapters of economic history. While the West firefights its debt crisis, many fail to realize that China too has her own fair share of debt. The overinvestment theory has gained greater attention from academics and politicians alike, and China is now looking to boost internal consumption as its engine of growth. However, unless Beijing has new tricks to cover its losses, her bad debt will put downward pressure on consumption growth. Read more
Goldman Sachs is the bank everyone loves to hate. In the first of our two-part investigation into the bank, we ask why they emerged as the biggest winners in the financial crisis. We also look at how they lobbied the US Government to reduce banking regulations, how they acquired massive fortunes by selling sub-prime mortgages, and how they deceived their clients by betting against the products they sold. Read more
Exactly one year ago, as the World Economic Forum convened in Davos, Egyptians took to the streets in a relatively peaceful protest to overthrow a regime that had ruled over them with an iron fist for 30 years. Today, their revolution is, unfortunately, incomplete and imperfect, but make no mistake: Egyptians will finish what they started. Read more
The Year of the Dragon could be a challenging time for Asian countries as uncertainties – from within and without the region – are growing rapidly. As such, a calm, sensible, and prudent approach is needed to ensure Asia’s steady economic and development transformation. Read more
Natural disasters are inevitable, but at every level we have the power to ensure that they do not become unnatural tragedies. According to a recent report released by the World Bank and the United Nations, an ounce of prevention in planning for disasters is worth a pound of cure. So prevention pays, if done right. And that means getting incentives right. Read more
While there remains much optimism in the potential of emerging markets, the truth is their economies are still largely dependent on the performance and health of developed markets. By most accounts, emerging markets are export-driven, and highly sensitive to currency movements and commodity prices. Given the weak slim chance of global recovery this year, what is the fate of emerging markets? Read more
Recent favourable macroeconomic data has suggested that the US economy could be back on track. But the recent uplift in the economy only hides more fundamental problems, and the US still remains in the early stages of a deleveraging cycle. Read more
The pragmatic commitment to growth that one sees in Asia and other emerging markets today stands in contrast to the West’s misguided policies, which, driven by ideology and vested interests, almost seem to reflect a commitment not to grow. As a result, global economic rebalancing is likely to accelerate, almost inevitably giving rise to political tensions. Read more
Pakistan faces a desperate need for more energy. As such, officials are now pinning their hopes on an underground coal gasification project that they hope will be able to power the country for the next 30 years. But will the country’s lack of knowledge and expertise, coupled with inept crony management, threaten to snuff out their latest efforts? Read more
There is a remarkably wide spread of views among professional oil analysts concerning oil prices in 2012. While some factors, such as shale gas, could potentially push prices down, the situation in Iran for instance threaten to send the price of oil soaring. Still, despite the uncertainty, there appears to be a consensus-anticipated range among analysts. Or at least for now it seems. Read more
Many of us are familiar with the basic services that banks provide. In simple, straightforward cases, banks keep our money and pay an interest on it, while providing the convenience of cash withdrawals along their network of ATMs. But are consumers benefitting from their banks, or are they really ripped off by hidden bank charges? Read more
1.3 billion tonnes of food is wasted globally every year. While carelessness is the main source of blame for food waste in the developed world, the annual food waste in developing countries often comes down to poor infrastructure development and post-harvest losses. Read more
As the 2008 financial crisis showed, a simple banking system based on collecting retail savings to fund the credit needs of borrowers has evolved into a highly complex – and global – supply chain. To restore trust and adapt to the growing needs of new markets, financial leaders must re-engineer it. Read more
In 2011, the total investments in renewable energy in Africa rose from $750 million in 2004 to $3.6 billion. By 2020, this sum is expected to grow to $57 billion – a staggering 1,583 percent increase in nine short years. Will Africa be able to do what it takes to ensure its energy future? Read more
Google has it. Microsoft, too, has it. Virgin, eBay and many other successful companies, they all have it. Corporate values, that is. While the term ‘corporate values’ has lost its buzzword status in recent years, it remains a key foundation of great businesses. Cliché or not, corporate values help businesses stay true to themselves, and more than anything else, it’s the vision of a great company. Read more
Tensions are high between the West and Iran. Over the weekend, United States President Barack Obama imposed new financial sanctions that would directly affect Iran’s oil export market. Very swiftly, the European Union announced that it will ban the import of all Iranian crude, a big blow to Iran since that represents almost 20 percent of its export market. How will Iran react, and what implications does this have for the oil market, and geopolitical security? Read more
Both China and India depend heavily on the broader economic global climate. The fear is that if China and India fall, Asia would be at risk, and it would be hard to avoid a global recession. Yet fears of hard landings for both economies are overblown, especially regarding China. Read more
The Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission is a major government initiative in India that aims to promote ecologically sustainable growth for the country, while addressing India’s energy security challenges. But, disputes between the private and public sectors threatens to cast a dark shadow over the project. Will India’s National Solar Mission get its chance in the limelight? Read more
In the wake of the Fukushima disaster, countries around the world have been re-evaluating their nuclear power facilities. Just like Fukushima, Taiwan’s nuclear power reactors are fairly old, with all six of its existing reactors built near fault lines. Will there be a turnaround in Taiwan’s commitment to nuclear energy? Read more
Since the eurozone debt crisis crisis erupted in Greece almost two years ago, EU leaders have failed to propose a solution that balances austerity and economic growth, without which confidence in the euro cannot be restored. Perhaps European policymakers should look to Argentina for the answer. Read more
An economy is simply an accumulation of transactions involving goods and services, mostly carried out by business enterprises. Their behaviour is what matters, and this can be adequately perceived only on the ground, where the behaviour occurs – where an economy is built, where it breaks, and where it must be fixed. Read more
The world has turned upside down. All of a sudden, “rich” countries were the ones running large deficits, while “poor” countries ran surpluses – accumulating large stocks of external assets, including financial claims on Western economies. At first glance, this could seem to reflect what advocates of a new international economic order had in mind. But appearances can be misleading, and, in this case, they are misleading in a significant way. Read more
The world’s major 3,000 corporations are responsible for a third of global environmental damage, but economists are divided in their views of how to stop them polluting. Some say government regulation, allied to promoting the business case, is the answer. But other experts say we need a new type of capitalism, which allows our economies to stop growing, or even to shrink. Read more
The world’s greatest shortage is not of oil, clean water, or food, but of moral leadership. With a commitment to truth – scientific, ethical, and personal – a society can overcome the many crises of poverty, disease, hunger, and instability that confront us. Yet power abhors truth, and battles it relentlessly. So let us pause to express gratitude to Václav Havel, who died this month, for enabling a generation to gain the chance to live in truth. Read more
The decade for emerging markets has come. It is not an understatement that there has been a major shift in global powers following the financial storm that started almost 5 years ago. Despite the storm, emerging markets have already captured 40 percent of world GDP. Looking ahead, a lesser-known revolution – theorised: disruptive innovation – will see to the exponential growth of emerging markets in the next decade. Read more
We’ve heard both sides of the debate of how China’s economy will land. Some have predicted a soft landing, others the contrary. At the same time, many others have said 2012 will be the year of the Europocalypse and the final mile for China’s economic boom. But what does the Chinese Central Bank feel about 2012, and what can we infer from the Bank’s recent reserve cut? Read more
Is the United States leaving Iraq for good, or are they leaving them in the lurch? As Iraqis celebrate the departure of the last American convoy, Iraq’s security and economy remains extremely vulnerable. President Obama has said that Iraq will grow faster than India and China, but can, and will Iraq warm up to economic cooperation with the United States? Read more
2012 will be a bumpy year for the global economy: recession in Europe, anemic growth at best in the United States, and a sharp slowdown in China and in most emerging-market economies. To paraphrase Bette Davis in All About Eve, “Fasten your seatbelts!” Read more
Russia appears to be playing a dangerous game in its relationships with the US and Central Europe. Moscow’s strategy involves using crises with the United States to create uncertainty in Central Europe and to make the Europeans uncomfortable over perceptions that the United States has forced Russia to act the way it is acting. But, if Moscow takes its aggressive moves too far, it could spark a backlash from both sides. Read more
Though more than 20 years have passed since Saddam Hussein led Iraq in invading Kuwait, eventually sparking the First Gulf War, conflicts over the two countries over the 10 oil fields that spread across the Iraqi-Kuwaiti frontier still remain. Once again, both countries are throwing accusations at each other, with Iraqis complaining that Kuwaitis have been “stealing” their oil, while Kuwait alleges that Iraqi companies are extracting oil from Kuwaiti oil reserves. Will there be a third Gulf War? Read more
The recently concluded European Union Summit only proved one thing: that Europe’s leaders were still in denial about the true causes of the eurozone’s problems, and thus were unable to resolve them. The proposed fiscal stability union may indeed prevent a collapse in the short run – though that is far from certain – but treaty negotiations outside the EU framework, and the ratification procedures that will follow, are a recipe for even more uncertainty when Europe needs it least. Read more
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According to a recent EIA report, Mexico is now sitting on very large natural gas fields that could allow it to end gas imports and could give it energy independence. But in order to unleash the natural gas, Mexico will have to utilize the process of hydraulic fracturing, or “fracking”, which has numerous environmental risks. What will the Mexican government do?
The UK’s financial regulatory bodies have shown a surprising "hear no evil" attitude to criminality in its banking and financial sector. At times, the financial regulators almost seemed to want to pretend that criminality and fraud didn't, or couldn't exist in the domain they are supposed to police. Unless this issue is addressed, London risks losing its mantle as a world leading financial centre. Read more
As the indebted eurozone countries scramble to find ways to raise liquidity or risk default, contagion threatens to spread across the continent and the globe – an unfortunate reality of globalization and the interdependency of economic and financial markets. However, the pain is for citizens across Europe to bear, for they will inherit a national debt. Read more
Powerful and unpredictable synthetic drugs that mimic the effects of marijuana, cocaine, and other illegal substances, are leaving a trail of paranoia, hallucinations and death across the US. Read more
Australia, like all modern economies, needs an assured supply of energy to function effectively. Presently, coal generates about 80 percent of Australia's electrical energy output; but as external sources of fossil fuels continue to decline, a shift to renewable energy sources is needed. But the costs for such a move, particularly to solar power, are high. What are Australia’s alternatives? Read more
It is increasingly evident that Europe’s political leaders, for all their commitment to the euro’s survival, do not have a good grasp of what is required to make the single currency work. Public-sector cutbacks today do not solve the problem of yesterday’s profligacy; they simply push economies into deeper recessions. Read more
Europe, it seems, is determined to resolve its problems using other people’s money. But there are at least three reasons why the IMF should resist this pressure, and abstain from increasing its (already extremely high) exposure to Europe. Read more
Since China opened up its doors to the world a few decades ago, we’ve witnessed what has been a remarkable Chinese growth spurt. Today, China has the second largest economy in the world, the largest bank by market capitalization, and also the largest population of 1.34 billion in the world. As its economy continues to run full steam ahead, it is unsurprising that China is grappling to contain a massive influx of foreigners, both skilled and unskilled, who want a slice of its growing economic pie. Read more
Even if China replaces the US as the world’s largest economy within a decade, a global anchor currency can be more resilient than the economic and geopolitical dominance of its country of origin. That is why the dollar will most likely remain the dominant global currency long after the US has been surpassed. Read more
The US’s and Europe’s woes should be ringing alarm bells across Asia. Although many believe that the region can shrug off almost anything that the rest of the world dishes out, the crises in both regions have intensified Asia’s vulnerability to external shocks. This is Asia’s second wake-up call in three years, and this time the region needs to take the warning seriously. Read more
The re-regulation of derivatives has been a subject of enormous debate. After the US government completely deregulated over-the-counter derivatives back in 1999-2000, many critics argued that the complexity and lack of transparency in the market amplified the problems of the 2008 financial crisis. However, proponents say that the flexibility of OTC derivatives provide for financial innovation and user customization. As such, should the “wild beast of finance” be tamed, and more importantly, can it even be tamed in the first place. Read more
The costs of services need no longer be linked to the cost of goods. A sharp decline in the costs of health care, education, and other services is now possible, thanks to the ongoing revolution in information and communications technology. Consequently, the world’s economies, both rich and poor alike, have much to gain from accelerated innovation in the information age. Read more
In 2011, Kazakhstan's oil exports ran at 1.74 million barrels per day. The total value of the nation’s oil exports have also risen by 112 times in the last 20 years, with the nation now exporting over $54.086 billion worth of oil in this year. But despite being one of the world’s rising oil exporters, Kazakhstan has also begun diversifying its energy exports to nuclear resources as well, with the nation now becoming the world’s largest producer of mined uranium. Read more
The European Union project is facing its biggest test. Regardless of whether the next immediate European crisis is focused on Spain or Italy, it follows that by mid-decade, Europe’s political landscape will have shifted dramatically, with new parties, personalities and values emerging. As such, the real question, therefore, is not how the financial crisis works out. It is whether the European project will survive. Read more
Back in 1992, Standard and Poor’s downgraded Canada’s triple A credit rating to AA+ amid concerns over its fiscal health. But in just six years, the budget was balanced and Canada won its prized AAA rating back within a decade. How did they do it, and what can the United States, Italy, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Hungary and many other indebted nations learn from Canada? Read more
Over the last 25 years, the share of poor people in developing countries has been cut by half, while impressive development successes have been witnessed in countries once thought beyond help, thanks to effective developmental aid. But, while these results are promising, much remains to be done. Read more
Since the collapse of the USSR in 1991, the nations that border the Caspian Sea – namely Russia, Iran, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan – have quarrelled over how to properly divide its waters. With as much as 250 billion barrels of recoverable oil, 200 billion barrels of potential reserves and 9.2 trillion cubic meters of recoverable natural gas, at stake, tensions have risen over recent moves by Russia to develop its offshore resources. Read more
Poverty rates are on the rise in the Western world, as recession, rising fuel costs and austerity cuts to social welfare benefits, take their toll on the most vulnerable people. But rather than trying to alleviate the problem, most continue to perpetuate the cycle even further. Read more
As the US readies itself for a complete withdrawal from Iraq by the end of the year, the rest of the Middle East have also been preparing for this eventuality. The dynamics between Iran, Iraq, Syria and Israel could determine the future of the region as Washington’s influence becomes increasingly distant and irrelevant. Read more
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On November 10 2011, Cuba’s Communist Party implemented free market-like reforms to the nation’s property market, by finally allowing Cubans to buy and sell property on their own. These reforms have been met by both optimism and scepticism from within the Cuban and international community, as doubts remain over their long-term future. How will these reforms affect Cuba, and how should the rest of the world react? Read more
The mounting problems that continue to plague the US and the eurozone has left many people worried. These problems have also led to numerous paradigm shifts that could potentially alter the face of the entire global economy. With uncertain times ahead, what we can do is to monitor developments, learn from them, and ultimately adapt. Read more
The latest report from the IEA is not going to please environmentalists. Accordingly, the IEA admonishes governments for not fully embracing renewable energies – including nuclear energy. But to be fair, there is a desperate need to focus on nuclear power if we are to meet growing energy demand. The only question then that remains is whether governments have the cash and political will to consider embracing nuclear. Read more
The year 2011 has been a roller coaster ride of sorts.It began with the Tunisians toppling their authoritarian regime, which we soon realized was a catalyst for what many have labelled the “Arab Spring.” What we then saw was unprecedented – the power of collective action inspiring a suppressed generation across the Arab nations. Egypt disposed of their dictator Hosni Mubarak. Libya experienced a hostile armed struggle for months, before Muammar el-Qaddafi was eventually captured by rebels.
The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a multilateral free trade agreement that aims to further liberalise the economies of the Asia-Pacific region. While the economics of the TPP is important, the strategic component is even more so. This is the second leg of America’s new “Pacific offensive,” aimed at offering nations in the region an alternative to excessive and rapidly growing dependence on a rising China. Read more
In just one month, both Greece and Italy have made dramatic changes to their governments. The technocrats are now in charge, with the governments from both nations seeing fit to appoint un-elected officials into power in a desperate attempt to deal with their respective crises. But are we heading down a slippery slope towards a “banker’s coup” in the heart of Europe? Read more
Germany and the ECB have less power over the eurozone's peripheral countries than they seem to believe. If they continue to insist on concentrating all the pain of economic adjustment in the periphery, the monetary union’s slow-developing train wreck will accelerate as peripheral countries default and revert to national currencies. Read more
Hydraulic fracturing, or “fracking” as it is otherwise known, is the process by which pressurized water is used to fracture rock layers thus releasing petroleum, natural gas, or other substances so that they can be extracted. While oil and gas companies have taken out very expensive media campaigns to promote the benefits of the technology, genuine concerns have emerged over its environmental and ecological impact. Read more
Reading some economists, it might seem that the answer to all current problems is to tax the richest 1 percent and redistribute to everyone else. But if governments tax their rich more, they should do it with the aim of improving access and opportunity for all, rather than as a punitive measure to rectify some imagined wrong. Read more
The US does not need an experiment with a flat tax. A careful study of countries that have embraced a flat tax system demonstrated three main pre-conditions that required a flat tax; none of which the US has. Adopting a flat tax would only confirm what many suspect but hope is not true: that America is broke, desperate for inward investment, incompetently governed, and increasingly ruled by a self-regarding oligarchic elite. Read more
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The fallout from the Fukushima nuclear disaster left the entire world running scared. Germany, for instance, announced that they would be shutting down all of its 18 nuclear power plants by 2022, choosing to rely on renewable energy sources and traditional coal-fired plants in the future instead. But the cost of utilising renewable energy sources will be great. Apart from having to actually invest into the technology, Germany could also face opportunity losses that would harm its long-term economic planning. Read more
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The European Union was formed by high-minded elites who believed that closer economic integration and interdependence between nations would result in fewer military conflicts that stemmed from nationalism. However, the financial crisis that has engulfed the continent has since revealed the fault lines to the EU’s system – one that replaces military conflicts with economic ones. As such the ongoing crisis in Europe should not be seen as a crisis about the euro, or even a crisis about economics. Rather, it is actually a crisis about nationalism. Read more
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If the Keystone XL pipeline, which would run from Alberta, Canada to the Texas coast, goes forward, it would spell disaster for efforts to combat climate change. But defenders of the pipeline are using dirty tactics to promote dirty oil. If these tactics succeed, the very future of our planet could be at stake. Read more
Barclays Chief Executive Bob Diamond surprised many this month when he admitted on a lecture broadcast on BBC Radio 4 Today that banks had done a “poor job” of explaining how they contribute to society and that many people had failed to notice how the banks had changed since the 2008 financial crisis. But while Diamond’s statements appear reconciliatory, much of what he said was cosmetic, window-dressing, and lacking in real substance. Has “the most dangerous man in Britain” changed his spots or has this been all one grand charade? Read more
Across the world, protestors are agitating for change. On one level, the protesters are asking for little: a chance to use their skills, the right to decent work at decent pay, a fairer economy and society. Their hope is evolutionary, not revolutionary. But, on another level, they are asking for a great deal: a democracy where people, not dollars, matter, and a market economy that delivers on what it is supposed to do. Read more
Wind power may currently only contribute to less than 1 percent of Egypt’s energy output, but most experts believe that it has the potential to meet the nation’s energy needs. The largest bottleneck thus far to expanding Egypt’s wind power facilities, though, has been in securing funding for the development. But with the overthrow of the Mubarak government coupled with newer, and more ambitious plans for the industry, there is renewed optimism for a wind-powered revival in the country.
The US is a nation of vidiots – idiots raised through an unhealthy diet of television and mass propaganda. Ever since America’s love affair with the television set began in the early 1960s, there has been a slow but gradual atomisation of the American society, thanks to the propagation of corporate and political propaganda. Read more
If Russia has its way, a Eurasian Union (EuU) will be formed by 2015 – comprising of Russia and many of its former territories under the old Soviet Union regime. The EuU, while not a recreation of the Soviet Union, is a representation of a new Russian empire that will serve the nation’s strategic and economic needs; even at the expense of a new confrontation with the US. Read more
Eurozone’s outsized banks are highly leveraged and dependent on large quantities of wholesale debt. According to Barclays Capital, the 15 largest banks increased their returns on equity by 58 percent between 1998 and 2007, with 90 percent of the gain coming from higher leverage. However, returns have since collapsed. While this collapse will not result in a Lehman Brothers-scenario, the collapse does reflect an obsolescence in the banks’ business models, which could eventually result in further misfortune. Read more
Several nations are contesting the South China Sea’s offshore resources. China has stepped out to warn that it is not to be provoked, while countries like the Philippines and Vietnam are hoping that international law would provide some backing for its claim to oil. But no one is raising any eyebrows; after all billions in oil profits are at stake here.
For a few years now, the banking industry has shouldered much of the blame for the massive financial crisis that is threatening the health of the global economy, while many others have been quick to point out the glaring lack of financial regulation. But, interestingly, there is now a growing awareness of what is known as the “shadow banking system” and findings have shown that they may have been the ones who caused the crisis after all. Read more
Many believe that science is about innovation that can improve the living conditions of humanity. For decades, the study of economics was conceived and taught as a “moral science,” until the fateful day Cambridge University decided to categorize economics under the school of “social science.” One of this year's Nobel Prize winner for economics is a keen advocate of efficient markets, a school of thought that has contributed much to the current financial meltdown. In light of the current economic crisis, we wonder: What has economic science done for humanity?
Systems analysts have shown that a “super entity” of interconnected transnationals dominate the world economy. Their political power is such that even politicians fear the consequences of breaking their monopoly. But unless something can be done, the whole system is a ‘house of cards’ that could collapse at any moment. Read more
In April this year, the IMF published a preliminary set of guidelines for capital controls that would impose a “code of conduct” for governments that wished to regulate the flow of capital in and out of their capital accounts. It was hoped that these regulations would ensure that nations involved in currency intervention would not go out of hand. But while the IMF’s proposed code was a step in the right direction, much of it has eventually been proven to be a misguided effort. Read more
China-bashing in the US has now reached unprecedented levels. While China does account for 42 percent of America’s trade deficit, few realise that the US actually also runs deficits with 87 other countries. At the same time, most of the US problems stem from within the country. Blaming China for all of the US problems will only serve to deflect attention away from those truly responsible for perpetuating the greatest saving shortfall in history. Read more
As a consequence of the global recession that began in 2008, prices for photovoltaic solar panels worldwide have receded. The failure of the US federally subsidized company Solyndra, for instance, has also put a damper on the solar power industry as governments start to question their support for alternative energy companies. How has this affected Israel, where energy imports remain a major topic of concern to the government? Read more
The Financial Stability Board (FSB) was formed in the midst of the global financial crisis in order to coordinate urgent international regulatory-reform efforts and ensure greater financial stability and global consistency of rules. Yet today, the FSB continues to be criticised as simply a product of a political statement, lacking the legal standing to enforce or implement any of its mandates. What more can be done to strengthen the role of the FSB? Read more
We, as a collective society, have to shoulder some of the blame for financial crisis as we essentially allowed Wall Street and our policymakers to run the global economy into the ground while we slumbered in blissful ignorance of their misdeeds. But while we have stirred from our slumber, as evident through protests such as Occupy Wall Street, our true awakening will only come when we acquire the knowledge required to fully comprehend the issues. Read more
Modern capitalism, as we know it, is a sick and distorted perversion of its true origins. Since the 1980s, the form of capitalism that has dominated western economies has been one where large corporations and most financial institutions are able to privatize their gains whilst socializing their losses. The recent Occupy Wall Street movement, as such, isn’t so much as a retaliation against capitalism, but rather against its modern incarnation. Read more
Stall speed is a terrifying risk for an economy like that of the US, which desperately needs to grow robustly. However, The private sector alone cannot and will not counter the risk of stall speed. What is desperately needed is better policymaking. But US policymakers are at an impasse, and unless they can break this impasse, the greater the risk for the US economy. Read more
At last month's UN General Assembly, Bhutan's Prime Minister denounced what he called a “monster of a consumerist market economy” that “enslaves humanity and thrives on the insatiable nature of our greed,” urging instead for an alternative form of economic governance that shies away from the indulgent emphasis on GDP. EconomyWatch spoke to Bhutan’s Chief Planning Officer, Mr. Karma Galay, and found out exactly what the nation sees as a viable and sustainable form of alternative development. Read more
Despite the need for strong and sustained fiscal stimulus in many countries, today's political leaders seem to be held hostage by financial interests and associated media, ideologists, and oligarchs. As a result, the main threat that now confronts us is not public debt or inflation but rather a downward economic spiral. Read more
Nearly all research into GM foods is funded by Monsanto, or other bio-tech companies, meaning truly independent data is rare. Some scientists claim only GM foods can feed the world’s booming burgeoning, but others say we are only using people as “human guinea pigs”. Read more
If Moody’s, Fitch and Standard & Poor’s had a decent public relations consultant he/she would advise a calm period of low profile, or, in other words, the exact opposite strategy to the headline-chasing frenzy that appears to have gripped all three agencies. It is as if they are desperate to get the message across that hey, they’re not afraid of downgrading anything any more. But simply firing out downgrades cannot undo the damage they did to themselves prior to the financial crisis when they were happily dishing out AAA ratings to rubbish securitized packages of mortgages. Read more
Any economic model that doesn’t properly address inequality will eventually face a crisis of legitimacy, as today's global protests are now demonstrating. Unless the relative economic roles of the market and the state are rebalanced, the protests of 2011 will become more severe, eventually harming long-term economic growth and welfare. Read more
The Libyan Investment Authority, the sovereign wealth fund in which Muammar el-Qaddafi’s regime allegedly stashed and misused Libya’s oil wealth, has cast a dark shadow on SWFs all across the world. While no one should infer from the Libyan case that other SWFs are riddled with corruption and conflicts of interest, there are critical issues that are applicable to global corporations and funds.
The eurozone crisis is now a global crisis. If the crisis cannot be resolved quickly, the entire world will suffer. Despite the global implications, the eurozone continues to try and rely on itself to solve its woes. This is a recipe for trouble. The eurozone should suppress any wounded pride, acknowledge that it needs help, and provide quickly what it has already promised. Read more
Hosni Mubarak’s three-decade long reign in Egypt has had frightening consequences on its economy. Especially in the wake of the European debt crisis, the extent and impact of Egypt’s public debt has become impossible to ignore. Here, Ammous makes a compelling case about public debt servicing costs and liability on behalf of a people experiencing severe economic, political and social problems.
China is under pressure to bailout European countries facing debt crises. It is in the interest of China to save the eurozone, but China so far seems reluctant to extend a helping hand. As governor of the Chinese central bank, Zhou XiaoChuan told the IMF, it is still too early for China to intervene – which is probably code for “If you think we are buying euros or even euro bonds on any kind of scale while you are in this mess, think again.”
The sectarian rioting that broke out in Cairo October 9 is a painful reminder of the obstacles in the way ahead of elections that are scheduled to begin in November. Reva Bhalla provides an eyewitness account of the violence that unfolded and discusses the new phase in a post-Mubarak Egypt.
To cure the economy, we need to understand exactly what ails it. An accurate diagnosis is just as important as a proper prescription. As Stiglitz argues, the economic problem we have is more severe than most people realize and the shocker is this: Austerity will not cure it. Read more
In 2008, France, Belgium and Luxembourg jointly stepped in with €150 billion of guarantees to tide over Dexia after it ran into financing difficulties. Today, the three nations are once again bailing out the embattled Dexia, with the Belgian state buying Dexia’s local unit for €4 billion. Read more
The economic crisis in the eurozone is, without doubt, mammoth. On a more optimistic note, central bankers and governing authorities seem to have reached a consensus on how to tackle the economic problems: by giving banks and countries money, defaults can be avoided. But this does not address the fundamental dilemma of Europe, nor does it show a concerted understanding of Europe’s underlying political complexities. Read more
6 October 2011. In the course of the past few days, three leading figures attempted to redirect the attention of the markets by giving positive speeches about economic plans for their country/region. Yet all three failed miserably as the markets responded worse than ever. The big lesson from the three speeches is clear. The markets are no longer in the mood to tolerate political pap. They want substance, or else! Read more
5 October 2011. Too much has been said about the state of the Chinese economy. While it has largely powered through the thick of the global financial crisis – China’s economic strength in fact buoyed much of the world’s economy during the meltdown – many doubts have also been raised about the outlook for the world’s second largest economy.
4 October 2011. Europe’s increasingly vocal and powerful Far Right parties have swapped a racist agenda for an Islamophobic one, moving them closer to the mainstream, where anti-Muslim views are commonplace among conservative commentators and politicians. Read more
3 October 2011. Economic globalization has, of course, produced some large benefits for the world, though it has also created major problems that need to be addressed. These problems demand a similar global response, which must first be built from individual governments. For years, the world’s government has got it wrong: in order for governments to operate effectively, the role of government needs to be modernized, in line with the specific challenges posed by an interconnected world economy. Read more
30 September 2011. There have been many rogue traders in the course of financial history. Bernard “Bernie” Madoff operated the world’s largest Ponzi scheme and was sentenced to 150 years behind bars in June 2009. One would imagine that a recent precedent in Madoff would deter financial fraudsters from striking again, at least for a while. Apparently not. Read more
29 September 2011. He who laughs last laughs best. For decades, European countries were the colonial masters of Africa, dividing the continent at their own whim and exploiting the abundant resources available for their own purposes. Yet today, there has been a paradigm shift where African nations are now leading the world in economic growth and can more hold their own against their ex-colonial masters. Read more
Despite being contrarian to Islamic beliefs, opium production is one of the biggest industries for the war-torn country. Afghanistan alone is responsible for supplying more than 90 percent of the world’s opium, the raw material for manufacturing heroin to drug addicts all across the globe. Myanmar, trails in second place. Read more
27 September 2011. A crisis of confidence envelops the global economy today. Too much debt is denting confidence – in turn holding back spending, investment and job creation. In these circumstances, we need collective action for global recovery along four main policy lines: repair, reform, rebalancing, and rebuilding. Read more
26 September 2011. The massive contagion spreading across euro zone countries have morphed into an urgent problem for policy makers. Some claim the euro is too big to fail, others assert that it is too big to bail. The pros and cons of proposed solutions have been debated endlessly without gaining much headway. But one thing is clear: Something must be done to help the stricken economies.
23 September 2011. Sir John Vickers recently unveiled the Independent Banking Commission’s proposed reforms for the United Kingdom’s bloated and dysfunctional banking sector. In the 358-page article, neither the words “ethics” nor “ethical” are mentioned once. Is it any wonder that many have lambasted the report as a “total waste of time”?
Earlier this month, the former CEO of Yahoo! was unceremoniously removed by the company board, via a telephone call. Many have questioned and wondered if it had anything to do with the fact that Carol Bartz is a woman; if the termination could have been better handled if Bartz were a male. Read more
21 September 2011. Human trafficking is a global industry worth $32 billion and places millions of vulnerable people from poor countries in servitude, but the number of successful prosecutions is still pitifully small. Read more
20 September 2011. Global markets are in unchartered territory. A series of austerity measures have been announced, but the news coming out from Europe and the United States continue to bear the same consistent note of pessimism. The risks ahead are not a double-dip recession, but a severe contraction that could lead to Great Depression II. But can it be prevented?
19 September 2011. Unemployment in the US has remained above 9 percent for 22 of the last 24 months. While some are supporting additional stimulus, others are calling for UK-style austerity. With Nobel-prize winning economists on either side of the debate, the public is rightly confused. But would either of these approaches really reduce unemployment effectively? Read more
16 September 2011. In 2008, the Bank of America (BoA) purchased Countrywide Financial for US$4 billion. However, in the aftermath of the housing bubble bust, the purchase of Countrywide has already brought losses in excess of US$30 billion to BoA – forcing BoA’s CEO, Brian Moynihan to sell an equivalent amount of assets in an attempt to right the ship. But, this was not an isolated incident. The wreckage of such deals has littered banking history in recent years. Read more
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15 September 2011. The banking sector faces a continuous trade-off between competition and stability. Too much competition increases instability and the risk of systemic failure, but too little competition will also have dire consequences for consumers and investors. What is the balancing point? Read more
14 September 2011. The obvious solutions to economic stagnation have been tried and have failed. Clearly, more innovative ideas are needed to reinvigorate the economy. The latest proposed solution making its round have been to use a sharp, contained bout of inflation as a way to reduce debt. While it may seem like an attractive solution at first glance, there is cause for concern. Read more
13 September 2011. The Norwegian economy has thus far shown remarkable resilience to the global financial crisis. The Norwegian krone is seen as a reliable currency, while many investors consider Norway as a “safe haven” to park their cash. Yet, the surge in the value of krone may lead to economic problems in the future. Will Norway’s “safe haven” status negatively impact its economic health? Read more
12 September 2011. The G-20 lost it way after 2009 when its member states abandoned efforts to coordinate global economic policies for national solutions. Going alone though has reached its limits. The way forward to sustained growth and employment is not through a flurry of one-off national initiatives, but rather through global policy coordination. Read more
9 September 2011. The events of September 11 2001 forever altered the course of human history. Till today, Americans continue to bear the bulk of the cost for the tragedy – both economically and socially. However in the aftermath of 9/11, it has been disheartening to note that a large portion of the cost could have been avoided. Read more
Goldman Sachs recently released a report, State of the Markets – Long and Short Risk Strategies, that is currently making its way around the Internet. Originally intended as a private report for its institutional clients, Goldman makes suggestions on how to profit from a downturn. More importantly, is the euro really bound for a crash? Read more
7 September 2011. Belgium has not had a government in over 15 months. Yet their economy somehow managed to outperform those of the UK, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, The Netherlands, Finland, and Switzerland in the last quarter of this year. Are government worthless or is this just another abnormality? Read more
6 September 2011. Iraq’s economy is recovering fast. Despite ever-present threats to its political, social and economic stability, the IMF still expects its GDP to grow by 12.5 percent in 2011 – largely on the back of increased oil exports, and high energy prices – after growth of just 1 percent last year. So, is this the right time to invest in Iraq? Read more
5 September 2011. The scale of the earthquake and tsunami that struck Japan in March was far greater than even the authorities’ worst nightmare scenarios foresaw. Now, nearly half a year after the crisis, Japan has a rare opportunity to undertake the comprehensive reforms that have been postponed for too long. Read more
2 September 2011. The mad pursuit of corporate profits is threatening us all. To be sure, we should support economic growth and development, but only in a broader context: one that promotes environmental sustainability and the values of compassion and honesty that are required for social trust. Read more
Companies like Google and Apple are holding on to nearly US$2 trillion on their balance sheets. Yet, financial institutions need to address the need to balance liquidity requirements and the pursuit of revenue growth. So why are companies holding on to such large amounts of cash? Read more
31 August 2011. The future of energy in Europe is trapped in a political quagmire. As a result of the political bickering among opposing views in European parliaments, little is being done to address the energy problems for the future. Will a compromise be reached? Read more
30 August 2011. The US economy – and the global economy – cannot get back on its feet without the American consumer. But never before in the post-World War II era has the American consumer been so weak for so long. One number, in particular, highlights the problem. Read more
29 August 2011. As the remnants of the Gadhafi regimes is slowly washed away, the National Transitional Council (NTC) now faces tough decisions and challenges in order to rebuild the country from scratch. While it is too early to predict the future of Libya, the NTC must address fault lines that have already emerged. Read more
26 August 2011. In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, many expected Western banks to abandon their foreign interests and refocus on their domestic markets. Yet today, the presence of foreign banks in local markets is much greater overall than it was a few years ago. According to a new report by Deutsche Bank Research, banks’ cross-border business – direct or via branches or subsidiaries – has now broadly stabilized. As such, the outlook for cross-border banking is positive. Read more
Evidently, the medium is the message. The act of self-immolation by 26 year-old Mohamed Bouazizi in Tunisia was the catalyst that brought about what is today known and referred to as the Arab Spring. Despots and autocratic rules who had held on to power for decades have been unceremoniously ousted after mass demonstrations and violent protests. Over in India, one man by the man of Anna Hazare is starting a non-violent process of change. Read more
24 August 2011. The Arab world is changing. The fall of the autocratic regimes – particularly in Tunisia, Egypt and Libya – has led many political analysts to label the Arab Spring as the start of a new fourth wave of democracy. However, political change need not necessarily mean democratic change. As such, talks of a fourth wave may be premature. Read more
23 August 2011. Karl Marx was right, it seems, in arguing that globalization, financial intermediation run amok, and redistribution of income and wealth from labor to capital could lead capitalism to self-destruct. However, socialism is clearly not the answer as well. With the world seemingly destined for another economic crisis, what can be done to prevent a Great Depression 2.0? Read more
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Some say that the best expression of excess capacity and overdevelopment in China is its real estate market. With nominal interest rates going at a pittance, stringent capital controls and volatility in China’s equity markets, there seems to be no real alternative outlets for the nation of savers (China saved 50% of its GDP in 2010) and it is therefore no huge wonder that investors have turned to real estate as investment options. Read more
19 August 2011. Socio-economic factors, including poverty and high unemployment rates, were major factors behind this month’s rioting across England, but politicians and many journalists persist in branding the rioters “thugs” and “wild beasts” Read more
18 August 2011. Time is running out for the eurozone. Unless a euro-bond regime of one kind or another can be reached, the euro will break down. As the EU’s largest and best-rated economy, Germany has a critical role to play in Europe’s future. But the Germans are not willing to accept any level of responsibility. Till the day they do, Europe is headed towards a breakdown of the euro that will precipitate a banking crisis beyond the control of global financial authorities. Read more
17 August 2011. Politics and economics are intrinsically linked. For classical economists, it was impossible to understand politics without economics or economics without politics. Accordingly, the current global economic crisis can also be best understood as a crisis of political economy. The evolution of the crisis across the US, Europe and China has one overriding theme: the relationship between the political order and economic life. Read more
16 August 2011. There has been much concern about financial contagion between Europe and America. But the real problem stems from another form of contagion: bad ideas move easily across borders, and misguided economic notions on both sides of the Atlantic have been reinforcing each other. Read more
15 August 2011. Once more, famine stalks the Horn of Africa, where more than ten million people are fighting for survival, mainly pastoralist communities in the hyper-arid regions of Somalia, Ethiopia, and northern Kenya. But the current crisis could yet mark the start of regional recovery and development. Read more
12 August 2011. The electric car industry is experiencing a revival. Electric vehicles, such as the Chevy Volt, Nissan Leaf and Tesla Roadster, are returning to production after being scrapped just a few years ago. Today, the Nissan’s Leaf has sold out while General Motor’s Volt has been back-ordered for six months. What has sparked the renewed interest in the electric car, and what does the future hold for the industry? Read more
Last week, credit ratings agency Standard and Poor’s (S&P) downgraded U.S. debt from a stellar AAA rating by a notch to AA+. The move sent financial markets in panic mode as investors grappled and tried to comprehend the severity and extent of the United States’ ability to finance its bills. China, who holds a massive amount of U.S. Treasuries, wasted no time in letting known their impatience and displeasure, criticizing Washington's “addiction to debts” and inability to “live within its means”. Read more
10 August 2011. During the 1970s, Former Citibank Chief Executive Walter Wriston famously declared that countries would never go bust or bankrupt. Governments also started to borrow large sums of money in order to fuel their spending, while lenders continued to provide these governments with a seemingly endless source of funds. Eventually, government debts grew to such insurmountable proportions that countries today are now faced with the distinct possibility of a default or even bankruptcy. How can we address the structural issues that threaten to consume the global economy? Read more
9 August 2011. The US media are full of ordinary Americans venting their rage these days at the incompetence and immaturity of their politicians. But the last-minute agreement to raise the debt ceiling is proof that the politicians did what they were sent to Washington to do: represent their constituencies and compromise in the interests of the country as a whole. Read more
A recurrent characteristic of Europe’s debt-crisis debate is a Latin American precedent. But, while many highly indebted Latin American countries conducted debt buybacks in the late 1980’s the most relevant experience with debt buybacks is a more recent and far less studied case: Ecuador in 2008. What lessons Greece can learn from these debt buybacks and what can they expect if they go down the same route? Read more
5 August 2011. The painfully negotiated US budget legislation that Barack Obama signed on August 2 has three major flaws. One offsets the other, and the third threatens what America needs most in the coming years: economic growth. Read more
4 August 2011. The Chinese admire America’s economic dynamism, but they have lost confidence in the US government and its dysfunctional economic stewardship. The debate over the debt ceiling and the budget deficit is the last straw, and China's own shift away from export-led growth implies an end to its limitless demand for US government securities. Read more
What does everyone need to know about the debt crisis and how can you beat the bad economy? FOX Business Network stocks editor and reporter Elizabeth MacDonald has been closely monitoring the debt crisis currently enveloping the United States. It’s an issue that extends beyond the US and one with many complexities, MacDonald takes time to weigh in and break it down in this exclusive interview. Read more
With all the debate in the United States over raising its debt ceiling, politicians and lawmakers are once again fighting over national spending. Democrats are sore that the US$2.4 trillion in savings will not include any mandated tax increases, while the Republicans are worried about the US$350 billion cut in the defense budget. Why is the United States perpetually policing the world at the expense of the American people and global markets? Read more
1 August 2011. One out of 6 people in the world live in India. But just how big is India? And how can we think about the country and its economy when its population and GDP varies so vastly from state to state? One way would be to look at the size of each state, in relation to its GDP and population. But what would the numbers really mean? Another way would be to compare each state to a country, revealing India's fundamental problems. Read more
29 July 2011. Who really got us into this mess? In Wall Street, in the City, in the corridors of Whitehall and Washington DC, and in the Berlaymont Building, it's quite common for the general public to be blamed. The Nobel prize-winning economist Paul Krugman has written a New York Times column that does a great job of puncturing such nonsense. Read what he has to say about the real causes of the financial crisis. Read more
28 July 2011. On paper at least, few would consider Greece to be a systemically significant economy. Yet today, the country is at the centre of a crisis that threatens to engulf the entire European Union. But the case of Greece is not unique. In 1997, another relatively small economy, Thailand, was at the epicentre of the Asian Financial Crisis. How can small economies cause such big problems? By Kemal Derviş. Read more
27 July 2011. The fate of the eurozone is ominous. As the debt crisis in Greece continues to spread and infect other eurozone nations such as Italy and Portugal, the euro-zone appears to be teetering on the brink of collapse. This is its last stand, says Nouriel Roubini, chairman of Roubini Global Economics and professor of economics at New York University's Stern School of Business. According to Roubini, “the status quo is no longer sustainable. Only a comprehensive strategy can rescue the eurozone now.”
Last week, Chinese officials uncovered five fake Apple stores in the southwestern city of Kunming, and suspended two of the faux outfits. When in China, equity markets are not spared from allegations of false accounting practices and fraud either. Sino-Forest Corporation was the latest company from China to characterize what is fast becoming a truism: for Chinese companies listed abroad short selling through reverse takeovers can prove to be immensely profitable. The key question then is can, or should investors believe the numbers from Chinese companies? Read more
25 July 2011. The phone-hacking scandal which has engulfed Rupert Murdoch’s News International has changed the rules of the game for politicians, police and media, and may yet impact the Government’s relations with the UK’s powerful financial sector. Ongoing investigations by London’s Metropolitan Police have revealed at least 3,700 cases of phone hacking by journalists at the 168-year-old tabloid News of the World newspaper. But that’s only half the story. Read more
A study by American Express and Harrison Group shows that global spending on luxury goods is set to increase by nearly 8 per cent to US$359 billion in 2011. Rich shoppers are driving an increase in consumer spending and according to Moody’s Analytics, 5 per cent of the richest households account for 37 per cent of consumer spending. For nearly two years, households clamped down through the economic slump, exercising utmost restraint and discernment in their purchases. However, that is all changing in 2011. Find out how the rich are spending today. Read more
21 July 2011. Now let's get this right: Singapore is a great place to do business. It's the gateway to Asian economies and where businesses big and small base themselves to trade with the rest of South East Asia - and the world. But as much as Singapore prides itself in being the best place for business in Asia, underneath the sparkling facade of its Central Business District and well-dressed, well-spoken and good-looking frontline representatives lies fundamental practices - that just aren't right. So what is wrong with Singaporean businesses? Read more
20 July 2011. The 2008 global financial crisis was meant to be a wakeup call for policymakers around the world. Yet, in the aftermath of one of the worst financial crises ever, policymakers continue to adopt failed policies and weak strategies that threaten to curtail recovery efforts. Joseph E. Stiglitz writes about how the US and Europe – considered to be the bastions of western capitalism – are bound for economic failure if they choose to undertake “another costly experiment with ideas that have failed repeatedly.” Read more
19 July 2011. When Deutsche Boerse wanted to merge with the London Stock Exchange in 2004 there was an outcry. When the LSE wanted to merge with TMX the Canadians got into a knot. When NASDAQ and ICE (the Intercontinental Exchange) decided, in April this year, to launch a hostile counter bid for the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) Euronext in the teeth of an agreed Deutsche Boerse bid. At the time of writing, the London Stock Exchange’s bid for the Toronto Exchange TMX, which most people, including the LSE and TMX, thought was a done deal, had just collapsed. Why are exchanges all round the world looking to partner up, even if the partner is a continent away? Read more
18 July 2011. On 1 November 1993, the European Union was formally established with the Maastricht Treaty – a culmination of a vision that began over 50 years ago when a small group of European politicians recognised the need for greater European integration to combat the wave of extreme nationalism that devastated the continent during World War II. Yet today in the face of a deepening debt crisis, Europe stands divided. George Soros, chairman of Soros Fund Management, warns that unless a Plan B is adopted, Europe faces “incalculable consequences.” Read more
15 July 2011. Organizations today can both create and manage risk on a global scale. Their capacities to manage risk however, vary enormously. Risk regulation is often a crisis response and focus on macroeconomic stability, fair competition and consumer protection – but how much regulation is too much and when does it eliminate more important activities? Read more
14 July 2011. Thailand is about to inaugurate its first female Prime Minister. Yingluck Shinawatra led her Pheu Thai party to victory in July's general election winning 265 seats, and giving her party a majority vote in the 500 member parliament. Ms Yingluck prepares herself to lead Thailand out of its political standstill that began in 2006 when her brother, Thaksin was ousted in a military coup. However she's widely considered by many as Thaksin's proxy and expected rule the nation with her brother's motivations. So do her proposed policies resemble to her brother's during his 2001 – 2006 administration? Read more
Politicians from advanced economies today face a conundrum on whether to restrict or welcome migrants and foreign workers. While an influx of foreign workers may provide economic benefits to a country, there have been societal concerns over the possibility of an increase in social problems, a lack of social integration, and also the threat that foreign workers bring to local employment. But according to Ian Goldin and Geoffrey Cameron, migration is in everyone’s interest. The long term benefits associated with global migration and human mobility are simply too large to ignore and should not be left in the hands of politicians. Read more
Last week, Beijing released its June inflation and national trade account figures, with data suggesting that the government’s current measures to cool down its economy may be inadequate. In a bid to cool surging inflation, the Chinese central bank raised key interest rates for a third time this year. Benchmark rates for one-year loans were raised by 25 basis points to 6.56 per cent. So, is China necessary showing signs of an economic slowdown? Read more
11 July 2011. To most regular observers, the appointment of Christine Lagarde as IMF’s Managing Director came as no surprise. Lagarde had been seen as the overwhelming favourite to replace Dominique Strauss-Kahn and was duly elected despite calls for a candidate from an emerging economy. However, the challenges for Lagarde are great. While Lagarde may undoubtedly have the credentials to run one of the world’s most influential financial organisations, doubts will remain over her actual ability until she proves herself worthy of the role. Former IMF Chief Economist Raghuram Rajan believes that Lagarde arrives at a pivotal, but extremely challenging, period for the IMF wherein her success, or failure, may have a deep impact for the world economy. Read more
8 July 2011. On 9th July 2011, the nation of South Sudan will finally become a State. Having been part of the Republic of Sudan for more than five decades, the South Sudanese population will now have the opportunity to govern and fend for themselves – albeit in a region mired in conflict and uncertainty.Though immeasurable challenges lie ahead, the people are optimistic.
7 July 2011. Over the past decades the UK has shadowed the US in seeing growing inequalities of income, declining social mobility and rises in mental illness. But the UK is still demonstrably better off on most measures of social cohesion and social capital. Read more
6 July 2011. Joseph J. DioGuardi, a CPA and former Congressman who represented Westchester County, New York, for two terms (1985-1989), is a public advocate for fiscal responsibility as the leader of Truth In Government. He speaks exclusively to EconomyWatch about the what is not working in the US monetary system and the potential risks the US and rest of the world faces if something doesn't change. Read more
Wall Street hit its biggest four-day rally last week amid optimism that Greece will avoid default. The Dow Jones Industrial average was up 153 points, S&P’s 500 Index went up 13 points – even our Consumer Confidence Index registered optimistic activity in the US after a long period of pessimism. But is the US celebrating too soon?
4 July 2011. China is one of the top fastest growing economies in the world, and some economists believe China will overtake the US with a larger GDP in a matter of a few years. Last year, the number of millionaires in China grew 12 percent, and while the US still has the most millionaires – they’re 15 years younger in China. But with life expectancies high in China and an already aged population, economists are asking: Will China get old before it gets rich? Read more
1 July 2011. Recently, the International Energy Agency (IEA) announced its intentions to release nearly 2 million barrels of oil per day into the market over the next month so as to boost supply and drive down prices. Naturally, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) didn’t take too kindly with that decision. President Mohammad Aliabadi declared, “the market is under normal conditions. Supply and demand are desirable. There is no additional need for supply in the market." Although the IEA’s decision appears to be justified, particularly with the loss of Libyan and Yemeni oil, oil prices have been barely affected and still remain fairly high. Read more
30 June 2011. Everyone knows Fifa is corrupt, but the world football’s governing body is a Papal institution, with the power to excommunicate any opponent. This threat is one of several reasons why Fifa’s power is untouchable, and it remains unaccountable. IT seems as long as Blatter is bringing in money for Fifa – and they have a $1.2 billion surplus – there’s not that much concern in most countries about the corruption. Read more
29 June 2011. Rising food prices affect everyone. Some demographic groups – namely the poor – are affected more than others. As food prices continue to be highly volatile, Jeffrey Frankel asks; can food prices can be stabilized? And asserts that speculators could potentially act as “detectors of change” or “stabilizing forces”. Read more
28 June 2011. The Euro-zone is faltering. Bogged down by the ails of the PIIGS, the Euro-zone is fragile and susceptible to a potential economic meltdown.With Greece heading towards an inevitable default, despite the recent announcement of a second bailout in just over a year, the word on the street is not about whether the other Euro-zone countries would once again leap to Greece's rescue when this happens but rather on whether Greece would eventually be kicked out of the Euro-zone – a potential precursor to a dissolution of the Euro-zone. Read more
27 June 2011. Chief Financial Officers across the US are responding to greener solutions to combat the problem of the rising cost of fuel, with over half increasing their telecommuting and teleconferencing, a recent survey has found. The findings reflect a clear need for CFOs to react and adapt to the changing environment. Read more
It’s already June. Where has the year gone? For some who’ve made personal finance and investment goals to grow rich this year or increase your company profits by tenfold your New Year resolution for 2011 – you might start to hear that countdown clock to 2012 ticking already. Forget those passé get-rich-quick schemes of the 90’s. If you’re stuck in a mid-year rut, here’s some money advice from the world’s filthy rich to inspire. Read more
23 June 2011. The IMF recently updated its economic forecasts for the global economy – predicting a two-speed recovery process whereby emerging economies would experience strong economic growth whereas most advanced economies face an uphill battle to stimulate growth and avoid stagnation. As the world proceeds on a path of recovery, Olivier Blanchard, José Viñals, and Carlo Cottarelli of the IMF explains why this path is fraught with difficulties and what needs to be done in order to ensure a smoother global recovery. Read more
22 June 2011. Illegal gambling exists everywhere, but in Asia its present on a different scale compared to anywhere else. Asian gangs not only corrupt their own leagues, but have infiltrated every major football tournament, and several international cricket teams. David Smith investigates the secret world of illegal sports gambling and match fixing in this week’s expose. Read more
21 June 2011. EconomyWatch speaks to Reza Behnam, former Managing Director of Yahoo South East Asia and founder of ADZ - an online advertising marketplace - about his vision for ADZ as well as the technology scene in Asia. Besides getting backing from the Singapore government, Reza has also secured a star investor: Eduardo Saverin, the co-founder of Facebook. We discover Asia is on the precipice of a new digital age - with entrepreneurs such as Reza and investors such as Eduardo paving the way forward. Read more
20 June 2011. In his latest article – The Eurozone Heads For Break Up – published in the Financial Times, Roubini expresses his belief that current policies adopted by European nations has not and will not resolve the Eurozone’s fundamental problems of competitive and economic divergence. The Eurozone, in its present form, is thus on a path to separation. By Nouriel Roubini Read more
17 June 2011.Casinos are glamourized, popularized and highly addictive. In America alone, problem gambling affects more than 15 million people. And the economics of it all? Well according to PriceWaterHouse Coopers, the global casino industry is predicted to be worth $120 billion in 2011, up from $100 billion in 2007.And the Asia Pacific region is leading the growth, growing at a rate of 15 percent per year, compared to 2 percent growth in Europe and 7 percent in the US. Follow the money in this report on world casino revenues.
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16 June 2011. It has become rather cliché to describe India as a land of contrasts. After all, in a land of more than 1.2 billion people, with hundreds of languages, and a history that dates to over five thousand years, there are bound to be contrasts that have emerged along the way. Still, India is often characterised by the degree of contrasts that exist within the country. In fact, the government and the people of India have come to accept, and even embrace this profile. As one Indian netizen puts it, India is a country with unity in diversity…all are undoubtedly united by one sole feeling of ‘being an Indian'. Read more
15 June 2011. Shareholder profits have risen steeply in the US at the same time as wages have spiralled downwards. So many Americans are now out of work, or only able to find part-time work, that the business-owners are calling all the shots. Weak employment protection laws and low trade union membership complete a bleak picture for the American worker. Read more
14 June 2011. Ackermann emerged from the panic of 2008 after pledging 8.5 billion Euros to bailout a big German bank on the brink of collapse. He is at the centre of more power circles than any other banker in the Continent. And he’s helping shape Europe’s economic and financial future. From advising politicians and policy makers on the Greek debt crisis to economic relations in Europe and the ECB’s future. Make no mistake, Ackermann’s allegiances lie with the banks. More bailout money and more austerity on the other hand means: buying time without hope of recovery. Read more
13 June 2011. Bitcoins have been described as “the digital currency of the future” – a new global phenomenon that threatens to challenge all preconceived notions of currency and currency exchange. Worldwide interest in Bitcoins has started to grow almost exponentially in the past few of months. But can a virtual currency work and more importantly, how? Read more
10 June 2011. Since the second half of last year, global wheat prices have more than doubled according to the World Bank, and prices of corn, sugar and oil have skyrocketed. The Cereal Price Index soared a shocking 69 percent from May 2010 to May 2011. On average, the Food Price Index averaged 232 points in May 2011, 37 points higher than May 2010. So who's going to go hungry? Read more
9 June 2011. The first results are in, and they will not be great news for everyone. Simply put, it is not a good time to be an American. Last week we launched our crowdsourcing economic indicators experiment, the world's first real-time Consumer Confidence Index from your friendly local global economists at EconomyWatch.com. 48 Americans have given the US a rating of 562 (out of 1,000), broadly meaning that they expect the economy to stay the same. This is down from a confident 756 Mid May. In fact, responses in the last week have been on overage below 500, meaning that most people in the US now believe things will get worse. Read more
8 June 2011. Billions of dollars of illicitly-earned money is laundered every year, often through reputable banking systems. One of the most shocking cases involved the Miami-based Wachovia Bank, which admitted responsibility in 2009 for moving $420 billion for account holders thought likely to be involved in the laundering of drug proceeds. Yet the measures taken to control these crimes don’t appear to be working. David Smith looks at the scale of the problem and assesses the far-reaching consequences of money laundering crimes.
7 June 2011. Debt is making us poor. As a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) and former Member of Congress, I say that every citizen has the right to know the real cost of government. I want to make the point, loud and clear, that we are living on borrowed money and on borrowed time. U.S. taxpayers collectively owed $4.5 trillion at the end of 1996 and that each taxpayer owed $45,433. Incredibly, the national debt, subject to the statutory debt ceiling, has since skyrocketed to $14.3 trillion, and so today each taxpayer owes $143,000. Hon. Joseph J. DioGuardi gives us the real picture of US national debt. Read more
6 June 2011. Calling the G-8 or the G-20 'irrelevant institutions' is like calling the US economy 'flawed'.
The whole world knows it - and has been saying it for years. However, what really makes the G-8 or the G-20 stand out as a lightning beam for criticism is the exclusivity of their respective summits as well as the reserved statuses for the core members of the group. The organisations have also generally justified their rigid stance in membership by stating the need for “effectiveness and continuity of its activity”. Is ensuring continuity really more important than staying relevant or being more representative of the global economy? Read more
3 June 2011. House prices in the US are crashing again. With 18 million households across the country on the verge of defaulting on their mortgage, how will the fall in house prices affect your mortgage? Refinancing can be a great way to save money, if you do it right. But a bad refinance can put you in a situation where the only person benefiting is the loan officer. Read more
2 June 2011. The impact of regulation and cloud technology dominated talks at the recent Financial Services Technology Summit in Germany – but BBVA’s channel integration efforts stole the show. Delivering tailored, geo-localised services to account holders will be an essential element in retail banking during this decade, and BBVA demonstrated how it has embraced this strategy, underpinned by robust analytics tools and a CRM system capable of delivering significant business value. “It needs to be about giving the customer the right information, at the right time, in the right format,” explained Luis Uguina, BBVA’s Chief Mobility Officer. Read more
1 June 2011. The Rothschilds are the most famous banking family in history. In the 19th century they lent money to Kings and Governments and funded both sides in the Napoleonic wars. They once saved the Bank of England from collapse with their own money. But how did they come to be so fabulously wealthy? In this two-part feature we first look at their rise from the ghettoes of Frankfurt, and then in part two we ask why they have been accused of everything from deliberately starting wars, to assassinating presidents and controlling the entire global financial system. Read more
31 May 2011. The threat of serving a jail sentence doesn’t seem to deter corrupt officials anymore according to activists in New Delhi. After all, he can enjoy the ill-gotten gains after his sentence. Now, a drafting committee agreed to confiscate and liquidate assets obtained through corruption under the proposed Lokpal bill. So will seizing India’s corrupt assets deter corruption - or if corruption continues in India, could it affect the countries’ growth and continued success? Read more
30 May 2011. It was the 26th September, 2008. Hank Paulson, then US Treasury Secretary, had got down on one knee to Nancy Pelosi, then Speaker of the House, and begged her to support his Bailout of the Too-Big-To-Fail Banks. At that moment we knew that consumer and business confidence around the world would plummet. We already knew that, almost as one, our clients' confidence would tumble. Projects would be put on hold, downsized or cancelled. It was a matter of business survival for us to understand just how bad it would be, but the data was painfully slow in coming. I kept asking myself, what is the point of having a forward indicator when it takes so long to get the data?
Now we are taking a small step to fix that problem, by introducing the Global, Real-Time Consumer Confidence Index.