Indonesia’s Jokowi Could be Plagued by the Red and White Coalition
Many commentators assumed following Indonesia’s 9 July presidential election that members of defeated candidate Prabowo Subianto’s six-party ‘Red and White’ coalition would not want to be locked out of government and would seek to realign themselves with president-elect Joko Widodo...
The Bad Economic Hits Keep Coming in Europe
The US dollar is trading broadly higher as the divergence thesis gains ground with the latest batch of disappointing euro area data. Soft UK BRC sales and price indices suggest that Britain is being pulled closer to the euro area...
Economic News from the Emerging Markets in the Coming Week
A better mood in equity markets and a softer dollar at the start of the week gives us some hope for a bounce in EM assets, even if short lived. While the focus remains on major markets for now, several...
More about ‘Abenomics’ in Japan and it’s Potential
After two decades of stagnant growth and the Fukushima triple disaster, Japan appears more confident both domestically and internationally. The economy has been inflated, much-needed social change is being discussed with some progress being made, and international diplomacy is once...
Lessons from Japan’s ‘Abenomics’
One of the striking things about the past few decades of Japan’s economic history has been the fact that textbook macroeconomics could have predicted most of it. Back in the late 1990s, this was a controversial point of view. Many...
Attracting Foreign Talent Means Overcoming the Japanese Language Barrier
In May 2014, the Japanese government announced its plan to attract ‘foreign talent’ as part of a campaign to further economic growth. The plan consists of three key points.First is a review of the Technical Intern Training System. This will...
India Needs to Pursue Meaningful Free Trade Agreements
When India began negotiations with ASEAN in 2004 for a free trade agreement (FTA) covering the goods sector, it marked a major step in the evolution of the country’s engagement with the global economy. When India began negotiations with ASEAN...
Competition in the Oil Market and the Dollar Confound the Markets
The dollar retains a firm undertone after yesterday's recovery in the North American session from the week's lows. For the first time in months, the dollar has lost ground against all the major currencies this week. The Japanese yen is...
Emerging Markets Over the Last Week
(1) The second round of the Brazilian elections is off to an exciting start(2) The situation in Turkey is becoming tenser as ISIS advances on Kurdish towns in Syria near border(3) The ruble continues to push through all-time highs(4) The...
Hong Kong’s Pro-Democracy Protests Unlikely to Reappear in Singapore
On 27 September, hundreds of people staged a ‘Return Our Central Provident Fund’ (CPF) protest rally at Hong Lim Park, Singapore. Simultaneously in Hong Kong, the Occupy Central movement, combined with student-led classroom boycotts, morphed into a bigger and broader...
Can China and the U.S. reach a climate-change deal?
For many years China and the United States have faced off over climate change. Now, climate change action is one of the few things the two powers can agree on. A new view on the benefits of climate action goes...
The Latest on Uridashi Bond Issuance
Weekly MOF data shows that Japanese investors have remained net buyers of foreign bonds in recent months. After a weak start to the year that saw Japan investors shed nearly $58 bln of foreign bonds in the 16 weeks through...
Will Australia Chair a G20 Summit with a Meaningful Outcome?
The genesis of the G20 is a tale of two crises. The first — the Asian financial crisis — led to the creation of the G20 as a meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors from 19 of the...
A Preview of this Week’s Events Among the Emerging Markets
EM assets are starting the week on the front foot under the favorable constellation of a weaker dollar, stronger stocks and the unexpected result of the presidential elections in Brazil. In addition, after nearly a month of losses (MSCI EM...
India’s path to a low-carbon economy includes raising the coal tax
India’s 2014–15 budget doubled the rate of tax on coal from 50 rupees (US$0.82) to 100 rupees (US$1.64) per metric tonne. Though the additional revenue could accelerate the deployment of renewable energy technologies in India, the increase in coal tax...