Markets

23 October 2014

Market Sentiment Remains Fragile

Last week's drama was not the beginning of something as the pessimists and cynics would have it.  Our inclination that it was the end of something--that the pendulum had swung unreasonably far unreasonably quickly--is panning out    Last week's drama...

21 October 2014

Indonesia Fuel Subsidies’ Unintended Consequences

Despite having won the president and vice-president posts respectively, Joko Widodo and Jusuf Kalla will possess little control, if at all, on the formulation of the next Indonesian budget for fiscal year 2015–16. One particular issue that concerns the new...

21 October 2014

This Week in the Emerging Markets is Busy Again

Emerging market assets have started off the week mixed, with few clear signals to follow. The major currencies also appear directionless at the moment; though eurozone flash PMIs on Thursday could help put the spotlight back on weakness there.As long...

20 October 2014

Northeast Asian Stability and Japan’s Security Policy

On 1 July 2014, the Abe government made a cabinet decision to reinterpret the Article 9 peace clause of Japan’s constitution to recognise the exercise of collective self-defence under limited circumstances. While the scope of the proposed changes are an...

16 October 2014

An Update on the Emerging Markets

1) OPEC members have started a price war even as their oil output climbed to the highest level in over a year2) Recent inflation data out of India came as a much welcomed relief, and a fuel subsidy reduction is...

16 October 2014

U.S. Economic Suspicions are Proving Correct

The market is a fickle mistress.  At the end of September, and at the start of this month, we pushed against the hawkish read of the Fed’s dot-plots.  We resisted talk of a Fed hike in Q1 15.  We explained...

14 October 2014

Is the ASEAN Economic Community Making Enough Progress?

Launched as a political bloc and security pact in the aftermath of the Vietnam War, ASEAN has evolved to embrace an ambitious economic agenda. Its latest project is to establish the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) by 31 December 2015. But...