Markets

8 January 2015

Vietnam is on a Roll that Should Continue in 2015

For Vietnam’s leadership, 2014 was another year of growing into a role as an increasingly active international player, both diplomatically and economically. Two events — the Haiyang 981 oilrig incident and TPP accession negotiations — gave Vietnam a place in...

7 January 2015

Are Euro Area Deflation Fears Well-Founded?

Oil prices have continued to slide.  Brent briefly traded below $50.  WTI is below $48.  Both have fallen about 10% this week.  Prices are stabilizing in late morning in Europe.  However, unlike yesterday, the fall in oil prices is not...

7 January 2015

The Potential for a ‘Grexit’ – or Not?

After Greek elections, Brussels and Berlin can no longer shun the issue of debt relief. Before the New Year, the Hellenic parliament rejected the nominee of Prime Minister Antonis Samaras for president. In accordance with the Greek constitution, a general election...

6 January 2015

Vietnam’s Political Landscape in 2015

Vietnam will begin 2015 on a fairly sound economic footing. The national economy has largely recovered from Hanoi’s ill-advised efforts to mitigate the impact of the 2009 Great Recession. That sobering experience exposed structural weaknesses which, left unfixed, could condemn...

6 January 2015

A Preview of What May Come in 2015

2015 might be a very important year for many economies across the globe. Last quarter of 2014, saw many fluctuations in the economic indicators of different countries. While US ended 2014 with a good performance, Russia faced double trouble with...

6 January 2015

Low Oil Prices, for too Long, May be a Bad Thing

Oil prices are tumbling with Brent approaching $51 and WTI near $48.5.  This follows yesterday's announcement by Saudi Arabia of deeper discounts next month for the US and Europe.  This was a further confirmation that it adheres to its market...

5 January 2015

A Preview of the Emerging Markets

EM has started the year by extending many of the trends present towards the end of last year. The ruble is on the defensive along with Brazilian assets, while the Shanghai Composite continues to rally. The continued fall in oil...

5 January 2015

‘Xiism’ May be China’s New Ideology

It became clear in 2014 that Xi Jinping was the dominant leader of China. Even President Obama recognised this at the end of the year, stating that no recent Chinese leader had consolidated power as quickly as Xi since Deng...

5 January 2015

Sri Lanka’s Snap Election and Economic Reform

Sri Lanka’s president, Mahinda Rajapaksa, has called a snap mid-term election on 8 January 2015, two years ahead of schedule, in a bid to win a third term in office. What was largely expected to be a one-horse race has...

5 January 2015

Is the Falling Euro Merkel and Draghi’s Fault?

In very early Asian markets, participants responded to Draghi's sovereign bond buying hints, and Merkel's seeming willingness to let Greece leave EMU by sending the euro to a low of $1.1865, according to Bloomberg.  The thin conditions exacerbated the move,...