Markets

3 April 2015

The Dollar’s Kryptonite in the Form of a Jobs Report

The US March employment report makes for dismal reading.  Job growth collapsed to 126k, the least monthly total since December 2013. Adding insult to injury, there was a 69k downward revision to this year's job growth. The average workweek slipped...

31 March 2015

Where is Greece on Germany’s Priority List?

After several months of tense and often antagonistic negotiations, Greece and its creditors appear to be at a stalemate. In order to receive a further bail-out funds, the Syriza government has proposed a set of reforms that in the view...

30 March 2015

Lee Kuan Yew Transformed Singapore

Lee Kuan Yew was quite simply, and unquestionably, one of the outstanding national leaders of the last hundred years. He worked on a small canvas, but what he achieved in tiny Singapore not only transformed the lives of his own...

30 March 2015

ASEAN Would Benefit from Indonesia’s Leadership

ASEAN would benefit from stronger leadership however, Indonesia, the country best placed to take up that role, appears unwilling.  Indonesia could be the leader that ASEAN needs, but it intentionally refrains from asserting its influence over the association. This is...

30 March 2015

Correlation Shifts Between Currencies and Equity Indices

The divergence meme that had the US well ahead in the global business cycle produced a virtuous cycle.  The dollar and US stocks rallied together.   However, with the dollar's appreciation spurring concern about US corporate earnings, and the negative interest...

30 March 2015

A Look at the Week in the Emerging Markets

EM currencies are starting the week under pressure again from a broad based dollar recovery. While expectations for a Fed lift-off remain in flux, the recent rebound in the dollar suggests that on a relative basis, the US economic and...

27 March 2015

Could a Slowing Chinese Economy Lead to Regional Divergences?

Despite China’s history of experimenting with new policies and the economic liberalisation since the late 1980s, China is still only a partially integrated economy. This has caused regional divergence and inequality. Now, as the Chinese economy begins to slow down,...