Markets

28 October 2015

More Ammunition for an Australian Monetary Policy Change

It was a close call.  After Australia's leading banks lifted the variable rate mortgage rates recently, many observers expected the Reserve Bank of Australia to offset the tightening with a rate cut in early November.  Others emphasized that the variable...

26 October 2015

Africa’s Dependence on China is Disconcerting

Africa’s prosperity increasingly depends on China. Given recent signs of a slowdown in the world’s largest economy, Africa’s short- and long-term outlooks seem precarious.  The latest sign arrived on October 23 when China cut two benchmark interest rates to spur...

26 October 2015

Keeping the Commitment after the Apology

On 14 August, the day before the 70th anniversary of the end of the Pacific War, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe issued a long-awaited statement on Japanese memory of the war and his vision for the future. In it, he...

26 October 2015

Electing a Visionary Leader and Keeping the Vision

Every nation deserves a visionary leader, from whom its citizens can expect real results. India has had its share of visionary leaders. Mahatma Gandhi and Jawaharlal Nehru, to name two, held views on the economy that were not only diametrically...

26 October 2015

Emerging Market Idiosyncratic Risk Remains in Place

EM starts the week off on a mixed footing.  On the one hand, hints of ECB stimulus and actual PBOC stimulus last week suggest a more supportive global liquidity backdrop for EM and risk.  On the other hand, they are...

26 October 2015

India’s FDI is Booming, but the Economy Needs More

India has pulled ahead of China and United States as the most favoured destination for foreign direct investment (FDI). According to the Financial Times (FT), India received US$31 billion in FDI in 2015, which is US$3 and US$4 billion more...

23 October 2015

We’re Raising Your Rent to ‘Out of Reach’

We just learned America’s rental affordability crisis is as bad as it has ever been. Unfortunately, it is about to get a whole lot worse.  The American Community Survey for 2014, released a few weeks ago, found that the number...

23 October 2015

Shedding Light on Japanese Governance Reforms

The burst of Japan’s massive financial bubble in 1990 caused the value of stocks, land and other assets to plummet. Japanese banks had financed their asset purchases using them as collateral. Many banks failed due to a combination of the...

22 October 2015

Singapore’s Relationship with Indonesia is Lost in the Haze

The haze enveloping Singapore since June 2015 highlights the significance of its bilateral relationship with Indonesia. Just as Singaporeans cannot escape the devastating health impact of ‘slash-and-burn’ deforestation in Sumatra, emerging trends in Indonesia will have an impact on Singapore....

21 October 2015

The Over/Under on China’s Economic Growth

The UK has rolled out the red carpet for Chinese president Xi Jinping on his five-day official visit. He gets the royal treatment, including a stay at Buckingham Palace, a ride in a state carriage along The Mall and several...

21 October 2015

Japanese Manufacturing in China may be Down, but not Sales

In early 2015, Japanese companies, Panasonic and Toshiba, announced that they would stop producing television sets in China. As Japan continues to decrease its investment in China, the two multinational corporations’ partial exit seemed to underscore an overall trend of...