Markets

29 July 2015

Outside the Box Reforms for China’s SOEs

SOEs contribute to 23.4 percent of industrial revenue and 21.6 percent of profits — a significant drop from more than 80 percent of both industrial revenue and profits at the start of the reform and opening up in the late...

28 July 2015

The Implications of Defining China as a Market Economy

There is a potential mega-battle brewing over trade rules and the provision of market economy status for China that could reach the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2016. Whether particular countries grant China market economy status has important implications for...

28 July 2015

Cooperating with China on Their Terms

In late October 2013, the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee held a conference of Diplomatic Work with Neighbouring Countries in Beijing, where it unveiled new priorities under its New Neighbourhood Diplomacy guidelines. The new approach makes China’s neighbourhood, covering both...

27 July 2015

A Preview of the Emerging Markets

EM assets start the week on a softer footing.  The China situation remains unsettled, with stocks on Monday posting their biggest one-day loss in eight years.  More support measures seem likely if the rout continues.  The calm in China equity...

26 July 2015

Recent Inroads for Women in India’s Parliament

The parliament of a representative democracy is essentially a mirror of the democracy’s society. Naturally, societies still entrenched in patriarchal constructs have male-dominated legislatures. While there is still a global underrepresentation by women in decision-making roles, the Indian Parliament in...

26 July 2015

How The Philippines’ Education System Makes the Grade

While the Philippines has had robust economic growth since 2010, even despite a weak global economy, it has had little progress in reducing income poverty. Recognising that growth processes leave out some segments of society, the Philippine government has made...

24 July 2015

An Emerging Markets Status Update

1) Brazil’s government cut the primary surplus target for 2015 to 0.15% of GDP, 2) The situation in Turkey is becoming even more complicated, reinforcing our view that the tail risks are increasing, 3) It appears as if Ukraine has...

24 July 2015

China Presses Vietnam with Oilrig Redeployment

The redeployment of a Chinese oilrig in the South China Sea (SCS) shows an inconsistency in the rhetoric and practice of China’s policy in the disputed waters. Together with its mass land reclamation activities, these actions are part and parcel...

23 July 2015

Analyzing China’s Cloaked Currency Reserves

China has amassed one of the largest pools of capital.  It was in the form of central bank reserves.  At its peak, it was around $4 trillion.  The composition of these reserves is a closely guarded secret. However, if the...

22 July 2015

The Debt-Deflation Trap Facing China

At a time of slowing economic growth and massive corporate debts, a deflationary spiral would be China’s worst nightmare. In addition, the risk is mounting. The producer price index (PPI) has been in negative territory for 39 consecutive months, since...