Markets

16 August 2016

Unsustainable Debt vs. Sustainable Development Goals

Key to the implementation of the ambitious 17-point Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is the question of how the estimated cost of between U$614 billion and $638 billion that will be required annually will be financed. Key to the implementation of the ambitious 17-point Sustainable...

16 August 2016

Regional Cooperation not on Zimbabwe’s To Do List

Zimbabwe’s recent ban on imports from South Africa suggests that the country has taken action that undermines the Southern African Development Community (SADC) regional integration project. This is because trade is an important element of regional integration. It promotes cross-border and...

16 August 2016

Can Erdogan Allay Kurdish Concerns?

Turkey’s failed military coup last month rocked the foundations of its political system, yet in some ways the country has emerged stronger and more resilient. In addition, that’s precisely what Turkey needs to deal with one of its biggest and oldest challenges:...

16 August 2016

Sri Lankan Government Economic Missteps Need Correcting

Eighteen months ago, a new president and government came to power in Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka has had a national-unity government since August 2015. So what has changed? The political atmosphere is freer, ethnic tensions are much lower, and foreign...

16 August 2016

China’s Economic Growth Falls to the Policymakers

The pattern of growth that drove the Chinese economic miracle has broadly run its course. China’s future prosperity now rests on the shoulders of its policymakers. Will they be able to steer the Chinese economy to prosperity, or will China...

15 August 2016

Young South Koreans Losing Interest in the North

It is not easy being a young person in globalised South Korea. The intense competition that defines South Korea’s education system and the irregular employment market that awaits graduates has led to rising inequality, falling birth rates, insecure employment and...

15 August 2016

Japan’s GDP Disappoints

The US dollar closed the pre-weekend session well off its lows that were seen in response to the disappointing retail sales report.  It has been unable to sustain the upside momentum, and as North American dealers prepare to return to...

12 August 2016

Australian Treasurer Morrison is Blocking Chinese Investment

China’s state-owned enterprises are becoming increasingly privatised, as government involvement shifts from full control to economic guidance. This means these firms should be treated like any other foreign investor when it comes to buying Australian assets. China’s state-owned enterprises are...

11 August 2016

Is South Korea Facing ‘Lost Decades’?

In recent years, the South Korean economy has slowed significantly. South Korea’s average annual growth rate has fallen from a high of 9.8 percent in the 1980s to an average of just 2.7 percent over the last five years. Many...

10 August 2016

Emerging Markets Boosted by Lower Rates

Scratch an investor, and you will find two models.  One is a fair value model, perhaps based on free-cash-flow or earnings expectations, or breakup value.  The other is based on liquidity.  We suspect that the latter is overwhelming the former...