Unsustainable Debt vs. Sustainable Development Goals
Key to the implementation of the ambitious 17-point Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is the question of how the estimated cost of between U$614 billion and $638 billion that will be required annually will be financed. Key to the implementation of the ambitious 17-point Sustainable...
Regional Cooperation not on Zimbabwe’s To Do List
Zimbabwe’s recent ban on imports from South Africa suggests that the country has taken action that undermines the Southern African Development Community (SADC) regional integration project. This is because trade is an important element of regional integration. It promotes cross-border and...
Can Erdogan Allay Kurdish Concerns?
Turkey’s failed military coup last month rocked the foundations of its political system, yet in some ways the country has emerged stronger and more resilient. In addition, that’s precisely what Turkey needs to deal with one of its biggest and oldest challenges:...
Sri Lankan Government Economic Missteps Need Correcting
Eighteen months ago, a new president and government came to power in Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka has had a national-unity government since August 2015. So what has changed? The political atmosphere is freer, ethnic tensions are much lower, and foreign...
China’s Economic Growth Falls to the Policymakers
The pattern of growth that drove the Chinese economic miracle has broadly run its course. China’s future prosperity now rests on the shoulders of its policymakers. Will they be able to steer the Chinese economy to prosperity, or will China...
Young South Koreans Losing Interest in the North
It is not easy being a young person in globalised South Korea. The intense competition that defines South Korea’s education system and the irregular employment market that awaits graduates has led to rising inequality, falling birth rates, insecure employment and...
Japan’s GDP Disappoints
The US dollar closed the pre-weekend session well off its lows that were seen in response to the disappointing retail sales report. It has been unable to sustain the upside momentum, and as North American dealers prepare to return to...
Emerging Markets Officials Express Exchange Rates Concerns
EM FX ended the week on a soft note, despite the weaker than expected US retail sales report. Official concern about strong exchange rates is beginning to emerge. First, it was Korea, and then on Friday it was Brazil as...
Australian Treasurer Morrison is Blocking Chinese Investment
China’s state-owned enterprises are becoming increasingly privatised, as government involvement shifts from full control to economic guidance. This means these firms should be treated like any other foreign investor when it comes to buying Australian assets. China’s state-owned enterprises are...
Korea Gets a Credit Upgrade and Thailand’s Constitution Referendum Passes
S&P upgraded Korea a notch to AA with a stable outlook, Voters passed the constitutional referendum in Thailand by a wide margin, The IMF and Egypt have reached a staff-level agreement on a 3-year $12 bln loan program, Argentina’s central...
Is Britain in Danger of being Left Out of Globalization?
There remains great uncertainty in the aftermath of the UK vote to leave the European Union. Few seem to have a plan for what Brexit will look like and how the UK’s relationship with the outside world will take shape....
Is South Korea Facing ‘Lost Decades’?
In recent years, the South Korean economy has slowed significantly. South Korea’s average annual growth rate has fallen from a high of 9.8 percent in the 1980s to an average of just 2.7 percent over the last five years. Many...
Emerging Markets Boosted by Lower Rates
Scratch an investor, and you will find two models. One is a fair value model, perhaps based on free-cash-flow or earnings expectations, or breakup value. The other is based on liquidity. We suspect that the latter is overwhelming the former...
South Korea’s High Growth Model has its Shortcomings
Just a few decades ago, South Korea was seen as a model for achieving both growth and equity. In the past half-century, South Korea has gone from being one of the poorest societies in the world to an advanced industrialised...
Vietnam’s Regional Defense Integration Part of its Economic Future
The United States’ complete lifting of the decade-long embargo on arms sales to Vietnam marked a historic milestone in US–Vietnam relations, paving the way for a strategic partnership between the two former foes. So what will this mean for Vietnamese...