Europe / Middle East

29 December 2014

Greek Election Fallout and European Asset Values

The failure of Greek Prime Minister Samaras to secure sufficient votes in the third and final parliamentary attempt to select a new president has sparked a sell-off in European stocks and peripheral bonds.  Up until now, the contagion from Greece...

4 December 2014

Expectations Met by ECB Inaction

The ECB has not announced any new initiative.  It stands ready to do more next year, but there was no specific mention of sovereign bond purchases.  There was no tweaking of the second TLTRO which will launched next week.  ...

4 December 2014

Key EU Members’ View of the European Economic Crisis

Europe's economic crisis is slowly but steadily eroding the political systems of many countries on the Continent. New actors are emerging and threatening the supremacy of the traditional players. Alliances and events that seemed impossible only a few years ago...

25 November 2014

Expanding the ECB Balance Sheet Will Take Time

EC President Juncker is set to unveil a new investment program.  It sounds good:  a fiscal complement to the monetary policy stance of the ECB.  Expectations are running high that the ECB will move to more aggressively expand its balance...

5 November 2014

Draghi Operating a Divided ECB

Three companions enjoyed a midday meal.  The first says, “I’m satiated.  The food and drink have done the trick.  I'm ready to return to work."  The second says he still has room for a dessert to top off the wonderful...

14 October 2014

The Bad Economic Hits Keep Coming in Europe

The US dollar is trading broadly higher as the divergence thesis gains ground with the latest batch of disappointing euro area data. Soft UK BRC sales and price indices suggest that Britain is being pulled closer to the euro area...

2 October 2014

Draghi’s Comments End Up Rather Anti-Climactic

This seems to be the first time in several months that ECB President Draghi has been rather anti-climactic.   The disappointment or the "sell the rumor buy the fact" scenario we suggested is, in fact, unfolding, and the euro is...

1 October 2014

The ECB and its Options for Promoting Eurozone Growth

The European Central Bank meets tomorrow.   The focus is on the details of the asset-backed securities and covered bond plan that was announced last month. There are three key issues related to this new initiative:  What instruments will be purchased,...

12 November 2013

Eastern Europe’s Shattered Shale Dreams

  Shale projects in Eastern Europe are being challenged by delaying tactics of industry majors. Media coverage of shale gas development is positive; but in Lithuania and Poland, global oil & gas companies are one by one dropping bids to...

7 October 2013

The Erosion Of Foreign Investment In Europe

As advanced economies struggle with their debt crises, the typical drivers of growth – consumption, government, net exports – are ailing in many countries, particularly in Europe. As a result, many nations hope to rejuvenate their economies through investment. Last...