OECD Poverty Report: Israel Worst, U.S. Fourth
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) released a report this week pertaining to poverty levels among member nations. According to the report, a few surprising nations ranked high on the list, with Israel at number one and the...
A Fleeting Recovery may be Dashed
The recovery of US shares and oil yesterday provided short-lived. Asian shares ended lower with the help of Chinese equities. The 3.5% fall in the Shanghai Composite today brings the year-to-date decline to a little more than 18%. Taiwan, which...
South Korea-Japan Reconciliation Setback
All eyes have been on North Korea since it made the announcement on 6 January that it possesses hydrogen bombs. The possibility of conflict with a nuclear North Korea means that it is more important than ever for Japan and...
Looking to the Great White North for a Rate Cut
Speculation is mounting that the Bank of Canada will be the first major central bank to cut rates this year. It meets on January 20. The combination of the drop in oil prices (40% since mid-October) and the erosion of...
Finding Your Market Sea Legs
Investors still have not found solid footing this year. Equity markets have continued to sink, even though China's equities advanced. Bond markets are mostly firmer, with the US 10-year yield seemingly being drawn back toward 2.0%. Oil prices are little...
Building a Bigger Budget Deficit
Christmas came early for Congress this year as politicians from both sides of the aisle came together to pass – by wide margins – a US$1.8 trillion package of tax cuts and new spending. At year-end, Washington seemed awash in...
A Plea for Macroeconomic Cooperation
It looks already as if 2016 will be a pivotal year for the world economy. RBS has advised investors to “sell everything except for high-quality bonds” as turmoil has returned to stock markets. The Dow Jones and S&P indices have...
OECD Report: China, Brazil Stabilizing Economically
For months, economists have worried about the state of the Chinese economy. As the world's second largest economy, a slowdown of the Chinese economy could drag down the economy of the entire world. Fortunately, China's economic slowdown may end later...
China’s Funky Trade Balance Math
Many of the capital markets are enjoying reversals today. Equity markets are mostly higher. The MSCI Emerging Market equity index is up more than 1%. Several key commodities, like oil and copper, are firmer. Bond markets, outside the US, are...
World Crises a Really Big S.H.O.E.
The weak growth, large output gap, low return on capital, and a host of other economic malaise are widely recognized. There seem to be two main schools. One is associated with Reinhart and Rogoff. They argue that "this time is...
German Migration Policy under Scrutiny in Wake of New Year’s Eve Attacks
Over 500 victims have reported allegations of sexual assault, groping, and theft taking place in Cologne, Germany, on New Year's Eve, forcing German Chancellor Angela Merkel to take a tougher stance on migration. Germany has welcomed more migrants and refugees...
Canadian Company Sues United States over Alleged NAFTA Violation
TransCanada, the Canadian company synonymous with the Keystone XL pipeline, announced its intention to sue the United States under the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). The case will be filed in both an international tribunal and a U.S. Federal...
Your City is Hosting the Olympics – Congratulations! Right?
The prospect of hosting any mega-event – especially the Olympic Games – is cause for serious consideration. At local, national, and international levels, the discussion takes shape around two key questions: is it worth it? And if so, for whom?...
Sentiment Remains Fragile
Chinese shares continued last week's plunge, with the Shanghai Composite off 5.3% and the Shenzhen Composite falling 6.6%. Both indices closed on their lows. With the apparent help of officials, the onshore yuan strengthened, though the real squeeze was in...
Last Week’s Market Mess Carryover
A tumultuous start of the year saw the US dollar turn in a mixed performance. Emerging market currencies and the dollar-bloc softened. Sterling was in this camp, losing about 1.2% against the dollar. On the other hand, the euro, Swiss...