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Analysis of economics, politics and public policy in East Asia and the Pacific.
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China’s nine-dash line Interpretation Heats Up with US Study
The US State Department’s analysis of China’s nine-dash line, which it released in advance of China’s Position Paper on the South China Sea arbitration case with the Philippines, is...
Interpret Singapore’s Healthy Economy with Caution
On the usual measures of economic prosperity, Singapore went from strength to macroeconomic strength in 2014. Real economic growth was between 2.5 and 3.5 percent for the year. The...
External Forces are Creating Mongolian Economic Headwinds
The economy expects to grow by 7 percent in 2014. This is a healthy pace. But the majority of this growth has come from the mining sector, which experienced...
State Control of Grameen Bank Would Set Back Bangladeshi Gender Equality
Increasing state control over Grameen Bank will not serve Bangladesh’s best interests. And it will be detrimental to the nation’s progress on gender equality. Increasing state control over Grameen...
Challenges Mount for Malaysia’s Government in 2015
After a year of solid achievement on the economic front, Malaysia’s leaders will face difficult circumstances as they implement reform in 2015.One of the more impressive achievements of the...
Vietnam is on a Roll that Should Continue in 2015
For Vietnam’s leadership, 2014 was another year of growing into a role as an increasingly active international player, both diplomatically and economically. Two events — the Haiyang 981 oilrig...
Pakistanis May Deserve a Better 2015, but it’s Unlikely it Will Happen
Pakistan is in a state of discord. Its civilian governance structure is becoming corrupt and oligarchic. Its façade of democratic order belies a more tawdry reality characterised by money,...
Komeito’s Rise Signals a Japanese Political Shift to the Center
The emphatic victory of Shinzo Abe and his Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in the December 2014 lower house election masks a quiet power shift toward liberal-centre forces, away from...
Mongolia’s 2014 Was Supposed to be Relatively Quiet
It was meant to be a relatively quiet year for Mongolia. There were no parliamentary or presidential elections and most observers expected that some of the economic troubles Mongolia...
Vietnam’s Political Landscape in 2015
Vietnam will begin 2015 on a fairly sound economic footing. The national economy has largely recovered from Hanoi’s ill-advised efforts to mitigate the impact of the 2009 Great Recession....