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Analysis of economics, politics and public policy in East Asia and the Pacific.
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How Long Can China’s ‘Catch-Up’ Growth Rate Persist?
Those in the business of long-run GDP projections expect Asia, and particularly China, to keep growing above world trend rates for some years. The most optimistic — such as...
Is a Global Financial Transaction Tax a Sound Solution?
The Brisbane G20 Summit offered civil society groups an opportunity to renew demands for a financial transaction tax (FTT). But in the end it proved a missed opportunity to...
Maintaining South Korea’s Middle-Power Status
Are South Korea’s relations with China and Japan warming? Are South Korea’s relations with China and Japan warming?During the ASEAN Plus Three Summit in Myanmar in November, South Korea’s...
China-Philippine South China Sea Dispute Approaches a Critical Point
The ongoing disputes between the Philippines and China in the South China Sea are about to reach a critical point. In January 2013 the Philippines activated procedures under Article...
Agriculture Reforms Unlikely to Come from Japan’s LDP
Only one party contesting this week’s Japanese election is advocating agricultural reform and it is not the LDP. Only one party contesting this week’s Japanese election is advocating agricultural...
China’s Ambition versus Reality in the Digital Age
In February 2014, Chinese President Xi Jinping was appointed Chair of the Central Cybersecurity and Informatization Leading Group, an agency which coordinates China’s cybersecurity and ‘informatisation’ policies. The move...
Calls for Abe to Raise Japan’s Consumption Tax
Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe dissolved the lower house of the Diet on 21 November and called a snap general election on 14 December. At the same time, Abe...
Joko Widodo’s Great Opportunity for Indonesian Economic Policy Reform
Economic performance in post-Suharto Indonesia has been inferior to that achieved during the previous three decades, with economic growth slower and income inequality increasing. With the recent election of...
Will Japan Seize a Demographic Opportunity?
Japan is ageing; shrinking population will cause serious problems for the country throughout the 21st century. Although the fertility rate has recovered to 1.39, this is still very low...
U.S. Policy Supports Freedom of Navigation in the South China Sea
The South China Sea is not the central strategic element in the overall US–China relationship. It was clearly not a centrepiece of the November 2014 Obama–Xi summit in Beijing....