Markets

26 January 2015

A Preview of the Emerging Markets

Emerging markets seem to be on a slightly better footing after a few turbulent weeks. Many EM currencies were able to appreciate against the dollar in the wake of the ECB’s QE announcement, despite most major currencies depreciating. Meanwhile, EM...

23 January 2015

Emerging Markets Status Update: Central Bank Surprises

Over the last week, Hungary (+8.8%), Russia (+7.2%), and Chile (+5.7%) have outperformed in the EM equity space as measured by MSCI, while the Philippines (-0.9%), Czech Republic (-0.6%), and UAE (-0.1%) have underperformed.  To put this in better context,...

22 January 2015

The Dynamics of a Slower Growth China

The Chinese economy is widely perceived to have entered a ‘new normal’ — annual GDP growth has slowed to between 7 percent and 7.5 percent from the double-digit levels of previous years. This was something that policymakers expected: an inevitable...

21 January 2015

Are Vietnam’s Diplomatic Successes Overshadowed by China?

US–Vietnam military relations have improved remarkably in recent years but talk of an enhanced alliance between Washington and Hanoi overlooks important geopolitical and historic nuances. Defence relations between the two countries turned a page in the early 2000s, when both...

21 January 2015

Is Maithripala Sirisena’s Win Good News for Sri Lanka?

Two months before the Sri Lankan presidential elections, few thought that President Mahinda Rajapaksa would lose. There was no formidable opponent from the opposition to challenge him, and, since his re-election after the war victory in 2009 for a second...

20 January 2015

Shanghai FTZ Reforms Moving Toward Targets

Since the release of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone blueprint in September 2013, plans for similar reforms in the rest of China have emerged — and are to be implemented within the next three years. Since the release of the...

19 January 2015

Why are Chinese Officials Accelerating Financial Market Reforms?

In late 2013 the Chinese authorities put together a reform agenda for the financial sector, focusing on reducing entry barriers, liberalising market mechanisms and improving financial regulation. This could be the final frontier of China’s financial reform, which — according...

16 January 2015

Could Vietnam Become a Proxy for Others in Maritime Disputes?

Vietnam’s diplomacy saw many successes in 2014, but also faced many challenges. Vietnam’s diplomacy saw many successes in 2014, but also faced many challenges.In early May, the country saw the worst maritime tension with China since their 1988 naval clashes...

16 January 2015

China Takes Steps to Separate City and Farmland

China recently announced strict controls to stop big cities expanding on to neighbouring farmland. The Minister for Land and Resources Jiang Daming justified these controls by claiming that good farmland has been ‘eaten by steel and cement’. To safeguard food...

15 January 2015

An Emerging Markets Status Update

Over the last week, Egypt (+6.4%), UAE (+3.4%), and Hong Kong (+3.2%) have outperformed in the EM equity space as measured by MSCI, while Peru (-6.3%), Russia (-4.8%), and Colombia (-4.4%) have underperformed.  To put this in better context, MSCI...

14 January 2015

The Power of Malaysia’s Government-Linked Companies

Malaysia’s government-linked companies (GLCs) are, relatively speaking, among the most extensive and powerful in the world in terms of capitalisation, market presence and socio-political mandate. Malaysia’s government-linked companies (GLCs) are, relatively speaking, among the most extensive and powerful in the...