Markets

31 January 2015

Measuring the AEC Successes

Regardless of whether or not the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) will be successfully concluded by its deadline of 31 December 2015, we should not be solely obsessing about its ability to deliver its ‘single market’ objective on time: the AEC...

30 January 2015

An Emerging Markets Status Update

Over the last week, Qatar (+3.1%), Czech Republic (+1.8%), and Poland (+1.5%) have outperformed in the EM equity space as measured by MSCI, while Russia (-10.9%), Brazil (-6.4%), and UAE (-5.8%) have underperformed. To put this in better context, MSCI...

29 January 2015

Is Europe Stuck with the EMU?

A jacket or shirt may be reversible.  Time is unidirectional, we are taught and some things simply cannot be reversed, like a hard-boiled egg.However, science has once again pulled the rug out beneath our feet.  Earlier this week, ABC reported...

29 January 2015

Maintaining the Philippines Economic Momentum

The Philippines never had it so good. But with a slowing global economy and an election coming up in 2016, what can it expect from the future? The Philippines never had it so good. But with a slowing global economy...

29 January 2015

Is a Hindu Nationalist Agenda Slowing Modi’s Agenda?

Entering 2015 with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in power at the federal level in India, there appears to have been a metamorphosis in India’s social, political and economic environment. The BJP and its coalition was voted into power in...

28 January 2015

China’s Financial Reforms Include Internet-Only Banking

State-owned banks have long dominated banking in China, but China wants to do things differently now. The Chinese government wants improve its financial sector by creating more confidence and responsiveness towards private customers. Lately, China has seen a lot of...

28 January 2015

Sri Lanka’s Opportunity to Open Up its Economy is Now

The recent election of President Maithripala Sirisena heralds a golden opportunity for Sri Lanka to heal old wounds and to open up its economy — and for the West, India and even East Asian countries to re-engage.In November 2014 the...

26 January 2015

Well-healed Meet and Discuss Well-being in Davos

Last week, the 0.1% met at World Economic Forum annual gathering in the Swiss mountain resort of Davos. While the official excuse to go there is to discuss and shape the global agenda – the theme dominating this year being...

26 January 2015

Chinese SOE Reform has Attracted a lot of Attention

The further reform of China’s state-owned enterprises has attracted a lot of attention and triggered debate since it was discussed last year at the third plenary session of the Chinese Communist Party’s 18th Central Committee (the Third Plenum). Three areas...

26 January 2015

Japan’s Allies Have Big Bets on Shinzo Abe’s Success

After a decisive election victory on 14 December, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe would seem to be in an extremely sweet spot to deliver on both his main domestic and international policy agendas. After a decisive election victory on 14...

26 January 2015

A Preview of the Emerging Markets

Emerging markets seem to be on a slightly better footing after a few turbulent weeks. Many EM currencies were able to appreciate against the dollar in the wake of the ECB’s QE announcement, despite most major currencies depreciating. Meanwhile, EM...

23 January 2015

Emerging Markets Status Update: Central Bank Surprises

Over the last week, Hungary (+8.8%), Russia (+7.2%), and Chile (+5.7%) have outperformed in the EM equity space as measured by MSCI, while the Philippines (-0.9%), Czech Republic (-0.6%), and UAE (-0.1%) have underperformed.  To put this in better context,...