Markets

25 July 2016

An Emerging Markets Status Update

The New York Times reported that the US is preparing to seize $1 bln in assets tied to 1MDB, S&P downgraded Turkey a notch to BB with a negative outlook, citing political uncertainty, Turkish President Erdogan declared a three-month state...

21 July 2016

We’re Japan, and We’re Here to Help

Foreign aid is a key instrument of international engagement in Japan’s foreign policy toolkit. Although Tokyo is no longer the world’s top aid donor that it once was in the 1990s, it still was the world’s number four aid donor...

21 July 2016

Making Sure All Indians Participate in Economic Growth

India is set to become the world’s fastest-growing major economy this year. However, as the nation of 1.2 billion grapples with how to achieve rapid and sustainable economic growth, it must also ensure that such growth is inclusive — a...

20 July 2016

If You’re ‘Just Managing’, it’s May to the Rescue

  Theresa May has come into office talking about people who are “just managing”, but find life tough. Similarly, then Labour Party leader Ed Miliband talked about the squeezed middle in the build-up to last year’s general election.   Theresa May...

20 July 2016

Australian Poverty Drops, but Income Stagnates

Poverty in Australia has declined, welfare reliance has stabilised and long-term poverty is becoming rare - but overall economic wellbeing is no longer improving, and households’ wealth has remained static, despite rising property prices, according to Australia’s most respected longitudinal...

20 July 2016

Notoriously Inaccurate African Data Requires a Second Look

In November 2010, Ghana Statistical Services announced new and revised gross domestic product (GDP) estimates. As a result, the estimated size of the economy was adjusted upward by more than 60%, suggesting that in previous GDP estimates economic activities worth about US$13...

20 July 2016

RBA Rate Cut Risk Rises

The Australian dollar recorded a key downside reversal last Friday (July 15) and had seen follow through selling this week.  It is off 1.25% over the past three sessions, which makes it the worst performing major currency behind the Japanese...

19 July 2016

Italian PM Renzi’s Banking Challenge

The European Court of Justice upheld the principle of making creditors bear the burden for investment in banks that sour before government funds could be used.  Italian banks are particularly sensitive to the ruling, which cannot be appealed because the...

18 July 2016

Japan’s Military ‘Gender Perspective’

On 4 November 2014, Lieutenant-Colonel Chizu Kurita of the Japan Ground Self-Defense Force became the first Japanese military officer to be attached to North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) headquarters in Brussels. As advisor to the NATO Special Representative for Women,...

18 July 2016

South Korea’s Social Demands Outpace Social Spending

South Korea’s economic rise since the 1960s could be attributed to many factors: its geographic position, a homogenous and hard-working population, sound economic governance exercised by authoritarian governments, and a conducive geopolitical environment. It has economically matured, having raised its...

18 July 2016

How Turkey Looks Post-Coup

After last Friday’s failed coup attempt in Turkey, a measure of calm has returned to global markets.  We did not think Turkish developments have wide-reaching implications for EM assets, but we do remain very negative on Turkish assets in the...