Markets

18 December 2015

South and Central America Lead Emerging Markets Headlines

1) Argentina eliminated capital controls and allowed the peso to float, 2) Argentina also eliminated export taxes on agricultural goods that include beef, wheat, and corn, 3) Fitch joined S&P in cutting Brazil to sub-investment grade BB+ with a negative...

18 December 2015

Thailand’s Democracy, We Hardly Knew Ye

This year was a year of stillness in Thailand, at least in the political realm. The military staged a coup that ousted Yingluck Shinawatra’s elected government in May 2014. Throughout 2015, the military regime of General Prayuth Chan-ocha — Thailand’s...

16 December 2015

Are Chinese Monopolies Merging to be Competitive?

China’s state monopolies survive alongside a cutthroat private sector. China’s state monopolies survive alongside a cutthroat private sector. The recent announcement of China Minmetals merger with MCG and this year’s mergers of China North Rail with China South Rail have...

15 December 2015

Why is U.K. Productivity Lower Than Its Peers?

We all know by now that Britain has a productivity problem. The average British worker simply doesn’t make as much stuff as those from other major countries and for all the agreement that something must be done, there is little...

15 December 2015

Managing Abenomics’ Expectations

There is still optimism that the Japanese economy will prevail. Projections are that the economy is rebounding and Japan will achieve reasonably good growth for the next several years. Some progress has been achieved in the three years of Abenomics,...

14 December 2015

Indonesia’s Reform Bar is Set Very High

As 2015 draws to a close, the Indonesian government is trying to convince the jury on two counts — first, that it has turned the corner towards more constructive economic policy, and second, that it has the political leadership and...

11 December 2015

Australia Pro-Competition Laws Miss the Mark

How can two words create so much confusion? The government has released its options paper on Australia’s misuse of market power laws. However, all the options miss the key point. The law is section 46 of the Competition and Consumer...

11 December 2015

Indonesia’s Jokowi Tackles Extractive Sector Reform

Investment in Indonesia’s extractive sectors has languished for years, hurt by regulatory confusion, low commodity prices and endemic corruption. With hydrocarbon and mineral industries, constituting over 40 percent of Indonesia’s exports, and energy consumption rising at home, reform is important...

10 December 2015

Australia’s MYEFO Could be Ugly

With the Turnbull government’s innovation package now out of the way, we will soon get the official update on the government’s budget position, the so-called Mid-year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO). And it is unlikely to be pretty. The budget...