Markets

24 June 2016

Do You Want to Run India’s Central Bank?

This week’s long-speculated departure of Indian central bank Governor Raghuram Rajan reflected the Indian government’s view that he was no longer welcome at the helm. However, it also reflects the challenges all central bankers face in driving an economy. Post the news,...

24 June 2016

Brexit Explainer: An Expert Weighs In

The result of the U.K. referendum on European Union membership has been a surprise and massive shock to so-called “expert” opinion. In addition, not just to academic opinion: The betting markets, which are supposed to be inhabited by experts at setting odds, were...

24 June 2016

Brexit Reaction was Swift

The United Kingdom has voted by a close margin to leave the European Union. Here, experts from around the world react to the news which has sent shockwaves around the world and what it means for their country. This article will update....

23 June 2016

India’s Domestic Demand is Highest in the EM Space

According to current IMF projections, India is now the fastest growing major economy in the world. In 2016, it is expected to grow over a full percentage point faster than China. This is a remarkable turnaround by any standard and...

23 June 2016

Turkey’s Turn at the EU Plate

In the vitriolic debate over the UK's membership of the EU, Turkey's potential membership became one of the talking points.  Prime Minister Cameron, who has advocated Turkey's eventual membership, is likely correct in his assessment that this that if it...

23 June 2016

The Markets Watch and Wait

The UK's referendum is underway.  The capital markets are continuing the move that began last week with the murder of UK MP Cox.  The tragedy seemed to mark a shift in investor sentiment.  Sterling bottomed on June 17 just ahead...

22 June 2016

The Potentially (No Longer) United Kingdom

British voters head to the polls this week to decide whether to “remain” in the European Union or “leave” it. The most recent surveys suggest the outcome is too close to call, with those favoring an exit holding a slight lead and...

22 June 2016

India’s Federalism Works, but there is Room for Improvment

In economic terms, the federal system was created with the intention of maximising economies of scale, while still providing public services to cater to people’s divergent preferences. However, there is more to federalism than just the economics. In political terms,...

22 June 2016

Indonesia Mired in Religious and Gender Conflicts

Religious identity and gender relations are integral to women’s experiences of citizenship in Indonesia. While around 88 percent of Indonesia’s population is Muslim, it is emphatically not an Islamic state, in which state law and Islamic law are coterminous. So...

21 June 2016

The Brexit’s Known Unknowns

The UK’s EU referendum is too tight to call, which will virtually ensure protracted economic uncertainty, market volatility and political risk. The worst has already happened. The UK’s EU referendum is too tight to call, which will virtually ensure protracted...

21 June 2016

Is India Getting in its Own Way and Hampering Growth?

Despite historical misadventures with socialism and recent positive experiences with liberalisation, India continues to regularly fight the market. The most recent example is the Delhi government’s move to ban Uber’s surge pricing, a regulation that can only result in a...

21 June 2016

Young and Old Weigh in on the Brexit

The betting and events markets have shifted more decisively than the polls in favor of the UK to remain in the EU.  Sterling extended its rally from $1.4010 last Thursday to nearly $1.4785 today, as the market participants adjust positions. ...