The American Dream From Modi’s View
Before his election to India’s prime ministership, Narendra Modi was persona non grata in the United States because of his alleged complicity in the ethnic violence in Gujarat of 2002 in which 790 Muslims and 254 Hindus died, 2500 people...
Can India’s Manufacturing Sector Grow Under the Current Government?
Increasing the GDP growth rate will be a major task for India’s new government. GDP growth will be critical for eradicating poverty and improving the living standards of India’s population. The economy also faces the daunting challenge of providing employment...
Markets Digest PMI Readings from China and the Eurozone
The US dollar remains in a consolidative mode as participants await fresh incentives. The bulls have been denied fresh excuses to push the trend that has carried the US Dollar Index higher for an unprecedented ten consecutive weeks. The US...
Is Australia’s housing bubble about to pop?
If Australia’s property bubble bursts, the consequences would be disastrous for an economy dominated by oversized banks. But Government policies aimed at propping up the market are simply making the bubble bigger. And bigger. If Australia’s property bubble bursts, the...
Modi’s financial inclusion means a bank account for every Indian citizen
On Independence Day 2014, India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi launched his financial inclusion plan to provide a bank account to every Indian household. His ‘Jan-Dhan Yojana’ (Scheme for People’s Wealth) — which, in typical Modi vernacular, plays on rhyming words...
Some Additional Insight on the Federal Reserve and ECB
The launch of the new 4-year lending facility by the European Central Bank was disappointing. Participation was light. Some 255 banks (of 382 eligible institutions, which represent more than 1300 entities) borrowed a total of 82.6 bln euros. The consensus...
The FOMC Decision, Scottish Independence, ECB and Other News
The Scotland vote today is the main event, and as important as a "yes" vote would be, it is not the only event today. And there is not much more to add to the discussion. While the polls remain a...
Has China’s Appetite for Coal Finally Peaked?
A recent report from Greenpeace found that China's coal consumption declined in the first half of this year and new Chinese government data suggests that the country's coal imports have dropped. Estimates indicate that by the end of the year,...
Surprisingly Optimistic Japanese Youth Face a Bleak Future
The youth of Japan appear to face a bleak future — a catastrophic budget deficit, ageing population and collapsing social security system. Despite this, according to data released last year, Japan’s youth are astonishingly positive in their outlook. In the...
FOMC meeting, Scotland’s referendum headline this week’s events
The week's key events kick-off today as the FOMC starts its two-day meeting. Thursday features Scotland's referendum, the ECB's TLTRO and the SNB's meeting. Consolidative trading continues to be the dominant theme. The dollar has been largely confined to...
Will trade help defeat India’s terribly high food price inflation?
Indian economic data in July on industrial growth and inflation was disappointing. Industrial sector growth slowed to 3.4 per cent in June 2014 with the manufacturing sector, the largest component, growing at an anemic 1.8 per cent. But the more...
The strategic relationship between China and India is carrying more weight
The visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping to India this week, so early in the term of India’s new Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, underlines the growing strategic weight of the relationship between the two countries. Modi’s prime ministership, with its...
BRICS creation of the New Development Bank called a landmark achievement
The creation of the BRICS New Development Bank (NDB) to finance infrastructure and sustainable development projects in emerging economies is a landmark achievement. Developing nations have lost faith in the current system with its strict conditions on development finance and...
The case for coordinated monetary policies helping to curb global financial market volatility
Since the onset of the North Atlantic financial crisis (NAFC) in 2008, central banks in the US and the other major advanced economies have pursued highly accommodative monetary policy, including through unconventional policy actions. Policy rates have been near zero...
Scottish independence hangs on to a narrow lead heading to referendum day
The Yes vote has taken a narrow lead, but the vote is too close to call ahead of September 18’s vote on Scottish independence. Increasingly, however, many Scots are saying ‘what have we got to lose by separating from a...