Markets

18 November 2014

International Forces Leave the Dollar Mixed

The overall theme today appears to be one of consolidation, encouraged by European data, which included a slightly higher than expected UK CPI and a considerably better German ZEW survey.  Japan's Prime Minister Abe has not disappointed the market, delaying...

17 November 2014

The Successes of the G20 Summit

Overall, the economies of Asia are a bull element in global recovery and long-term development. The advanced countries, although less so now the United States, remain a drag on the world economy with no sign that Europe is likely to...

17 November 2014

2014 has been a Big Year for APEC

The APEC summit has only just ended, but like the return of hazy skies over Beijing, clouds of uncertainty surrounding the regional forum have again drifted overhead. This is familiar weather for APEC, a grouping that has faced questions about...

17 November 2014

Even More Economic News and Currency Reaction

The US dollar is mostly higher to start the week, with two exceptions. The first is the yen. The unexpected contraction in Q3 GDP triggered a stock market slide (Nikkei off 3%, giving back around 40% of this year’s gains)...

14 November 2014

India Looking Beyond the end of QE in the U.S.

India was one of the hardest hit of the emerging markets after the US Federal Reserve first hinted it would cut back its quantitative easing program in May 2013. There were three reasons for this. First, global markets over-reacted. Second,...

13 November 2014

The Latest in the Emerging Markets

1) Hong Kong indicated it would lift the CNY20k limit for daily currency limit for Hong Kong residents 2) Moody's upgraded the outlook on Hungary’s Ba1 rating from negative to stable 3) South African politics are heating up 4) Moody's downgraded South Africa...

12 November 2014

Defining the Asian ‘region’ a Challenge at APEC

With considerable pomp and circumstance – and at considerable expense – it fell to China to host the annual APEC summit this year. If it lives long in the memory at all, the meeting will probably be remembered for a...

12 November 2014

India’s Restrictive Labor Laws Challenge Investors

Investors find labour laws in India restrictive. Although progress has been made since reforms began in 1991, the labour market is still subjected to around 250 labour rules at the central and state level. India, a democracy, has found it...

11 November 2014

G20 Summit 2014 – A Preview and History Lesson

To understand this week’s G20 Summit being held in Brisbane, Australia, and measure its success, requires a sense of the history of economic crisis and change. Recurring crises have shaped global institutions across the interwar gold standard, the Bretton Woods...

11 November 2014

The Challenge of the Intra-ASEAN Thai-Cambodia Conflict

The Thai–Cambodia dispute over the Preah Vihear temple (called Phra Viharn in Thailand) is one of the worst intra-ASEAN conflicts on record. At least 34 people were killed during intermittent hostilities over the three years. 11 November 2014 marks the...

11 November 2014

China’s Growth Rate Slowed, But Not Dramatically

The global economy breathed a sigh of relief last month with the release of China’s third quarter growth numbers. The result of 7.3 percent was down from 7.5 percent in the previous quarter but came in a touch above consensus...