Currencies

28 September 2015

Bitcoin Upends the Definition of Money

When you begin to delve into the question of what money really is, you must prepare for some metaphysics. Money, currencies, and other such media of exchange differ markedly in their backgrounds and means of operation, and have changed quite...

28 September 2015

Lingering Rate Hike Potential and Dollar Strength

The US dollar rose against all the major and emerging market currencies over the past week, save the Russian ruble, which gained about 1.5%.  Comments from several Fed officials, and most notably Yellen, drove home the message, which arguably was...

19 September 2015

Currency Movement after the Fed No-decision

The US dollar sold off in response to the Fed's lack of action, but it rebounded to close firmly before the weekend.  For the week as a whole, it was mixed.  The Australian and New Zealand dollars were the strongest...

10 September 2015

Interpreting the Renminbi Devaluation

The verdict on China’s recent currency devaluations differs depending on to whom you listen. To some, the devaluations are either a positive and responsible step in the direction of a more market-determined exchange rate and a liberalised financial system. To...

10 September 2015

Which Yuan Do We Watch?

When China engineered a mini-devaluation of the yuan in August, it succeeded in closing the prior gap between the fix (central reference rate) and the spot onshore yuan.  One of the prices of doing so, however, was the widening of...

9 September 2015

Where Currencies Stand (and Fall)

There are three key developments today. After seemingly spending recent months pursuing a controversial political agenda, Japan's Abe has returned his attention to the economy to propose corporate tax cuts. This lifted the Nikkei a stunning 7.7%.  The UK industrial...

7 September 2015

Going Global with the Yuan

According to Dan Steinbock, the internationalisation of the renminbi is accelerating. The inclusion of the yuan in the IMF basket of reserves is now a matter of time. On August 11, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) adjusted the exchange rate...

29 August 2015

The Divergent Monetary Policy Theme and the Dollar

The US dollar has been on a roller coaster ride. Many have lost confidence in the underlying trend.  An important prop for the dollar, namely the prospects for the Fed's lift-off, extends again, this time ostensibly due to the heightened...

24 August 2015

One Step Backwards could be Two Steps Forward for the Yuan

The redback’s managers excel in catching the currency markets off-guard. In January 1994, China unified its dual exchange rate system by aligning the official rate to the market rate and pegging the yuan to the dollar tightly thereafter. Since 85...

15 August 2015

Digital Currency Rules and Bitcoin’s Future

The tax treatment of digital currencies is a challenge for governments around the world, as it is for other aspects of the “disruptive” digital economy. In October 2014, the Commonwealth Senate Economics Committee launched an inquiry into digital currencies. The...

13 August 2015

The Market Reaction to the Yuan Subsides

It is understandable.  China's move on Tuesday caught the market off-guard.  After seemingly re-pegging the yuan to the dollar, it pushed it reset the yuan to the lower end of its 2% band and announced a new mechanism that seems...

10 August 2015

Major Currency Dollar-Orbits Appear to be Changing

The US dollar posted gains against all the major currencies last week save the Australian and New Zealand dollars. The Reserve Bank of Australia appears to have moved to a more neutral stance on rates, relying on the currency to...