Looking Beyond the Economic Impact of a Greece-less EMU
The discussion about Greece and its future in the monetary union, or like Greenspan opined, the lack thereof, has focused on economic issues to the near-exclusion of all else. This is myopic. There are important geostrategic interests at stake.Historians continue...
The Week Ahead: U.S. Labor Data, European Production
After the Federal Reserve releases its labor market conditions index today at 10am EST, a number of key economic indicators will be released that will measure economic developments in the United States and in Europe.European lawmakers have recently disagreed on...
The ECB’s Decision and U.S. Jobs…Meanwhile, at the SNB
The ECB's decision yesterday to no longer accept Greek government bonds or state-guaranteed paper, but approving Emergency Lending Assistance (ELA) by the national central bank remains a key talking point today. The timing of the decision, following the meeting between...
The Week in Review: Trade Deficit Climbs, Employment Gains
The U.S. has a larger trade deficit with the rest of the world, but employment gains indicate strength in services is supporting the broader economy.The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced Thursday that the United States has a trade deficit of...
Destroying Capital with Negative Interest Rates
The Great Financial Crisis lingers. That the world economy continues to grow does not change that fact. There are different lenses from which one can view the crisis and seek to understand its implications. We are drawn to a lens that...
Employment, Services Rise with Higher Mortgage Applications
Three separate reports indicate that U.S. income and spending in the consumer services and financial sector are on the rise, helping job growth and business income.The Institute for Supply Management reported Wednesday that the non-manufacturing sector rose more than expected,...
Strong U.S. Housing Data Offsets Sharp Fall in Factory Orders
Residential real estate continues to recover at a strong pace in the United States, but U.S. factories are beginning to see a fall in demand.A new report by CoreLogic shows that home prices rose 5% on a year-over-year basis in...
Economic Data, Mostly from Europe, is Today’s Focus
The powerful bout of long dollar liquidation, spurred by optimism that the new Greek government had moved away from its posturing about debt forgiveness, has largely faded today. The ECB is reportedly rejecting Greece's request to expand its T-bill offering...
The UK’s Green Party Shares Anti-austerity Sentiment with the Greeks
Syriza’s surge to power with a campaign against austerity has forced politicians across Europe to justify their economic policies. The UK chancellor was hot-off-the-mark to assure everyone that the Greek election result should not be interpreted as a rejection of...
Can the Ebola Crisis Force a Change in Economic Growth Metrics?
If ever we wanted a reminder of how global capitalism has got things wrong, the Ebola outbreak in West Africa serves the purpose well. Our assumption that economic growth is essential is not only a feature of markets and politics,...
Promises of High-Level Talks on Korean Reunification
Disasters and political scandals dominated South Korean politics in 2014. And hopes for progress on North–South relations on the Korean peninsula were left unfulfilled. Disasters and political scandals dominated South Korean politics in 2014. And hopes for progress on North–South...
Obama Budget Harnesses Cheap Multiplier Effect
Obama’s $4 trillion budget depends on lower inflation, as the president hopes more spending on the middle class will stimulate demand and growth throughout the economy.The new budget includes a number of initiatives that drive spending slightly higher than the...
Another Central Bank Eases and Grexit Talk Subsides
The Reserve Bank of Australia joined the chorus of central banks to ease policy. The 25 bp rate cut was not a major surprise but it did catch many a bit off-guard as recent data and the pace of the...
Testing Central Bank Balance Sheet Limits
When the Swiss National Bank lifted its cap on the franc, many thought they understood the message. It had reached the end of its rope. Some suggested the ownership structure of the SNB (owned by the Swiss cantons and individuals...
A Full Slate of Economic Data and Currency Movement Start the Week
The US dollar is mixed. It has recovered from an early spike to JPY116.65 in early Asia to test the JPY117.80 area. The euro briefly dipped below $1.1300 before Spanish and Italian PMIs surprised on the upside. Sterling bounced on...