Economics

9 February 2015

Looking Beyond the Economic Impact of a Greece-less EMU

The discussion about Greece and its future in the monetary union, or like Greenspan opined, the lack thereof, has focused on economic issues to the near-exclusion of all else.  This is myopic.  There are important geostrategic interests at stake.Historians continue...

9 February 2015

The Week Ahead: U.S. Labor Data, European Production

After the Federal Reserve releases its labor market conditions index today at 10am EST, a number of key economic indicators will be released that will measure economic developments in the United States and in Europe.European lawmakers have recently disagreed on...

6 February 2015

The ECB’s Decision and U.S. Jobs…Meanwhile, at the SNB

The ECB's decision yesterday to no longer accept Greek government bonds or state-guaranteed paper, but approving Emergency Lending Assistance (ELA) by the national central bank remains a key talking point today. The timing of the decision, following the meeting between...

6 February 2015

The Week in Review: Trade Deficit Climbs, Employment Gains

The U.S. has a larger trade deficit with the rest of the world, but employment gains indicate strength in services is supporting the broader economy.The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced Thursday that the United States has a trade deficit of...

5 February 2015

Destroying Capital with Negative Interest Rates

The Great Financial Crisis lingers.  That the world economy continues to grow does not change that fact.  There are different lenses from which one can view the crisis and seek to understand its implications. We are drawn to a lens that...

5 February 2015

Employment, Services Rise with Higher Mortgage Applications

Three separate reports indicate that U.S. income and spending in the consumer services and financial sector are on the rise, helping job growth and business income.The Institute for Supply Management reported Wednesday that the non-manufacturing sector rose more than expected,...

4 February 2015

Economic Data, Mostly from Europe, is Today’s Focus

The powerful bout of long dollar liquidation, spurred by optimism that the new Greek government had moved away from its posturing about debt forgiveness, has largely faded today. The ECB is reportedly rejecting Greece's request to expand its T-bill offering...

3 February 2015

Promises of High-Level Talks on Korean Reunification

Disasters and political scandals dominated South Korean politics in 2014. And hopes for progress on North–South relations on the Korean peninsula were left unfulfilled. Disasters and political scandals dominated South Korean politics in 2014. And hopes for progress on North–South...

3 February 2015

Obama Budget Harnesses Cheap Multiplier Effect

Obama’s $4 trillion budget depends on lower inflation, as the president hopes more spending on the middle class will stimulate demand and growth throughout the economy.The new budget includes a number of initiatives that drive spending slightly higher than the...

2 February 2015

Testing Central Bank Balance Sheet Limits

When the Swiss National Bank lifted its cap on the franc, many thought they understood the message.  It had reached the end of its rope.  Some suggested the ownership structure of the SNB (owned by the Swiss cantons and individuals...