Economics

10 April 2015

Are OPEC’s Days Numbered?

OPEC has been the most talked about international organization among investors, analysts and international political lobbies in the last few months.  OPEC has been the most talked about international organization among investors, analysts and international political lobbies in the last...

10 April 2015

Eurozone Economic Data is Providing Positive Surprises

The market shrugged off Last week's soft US employment data as a one-off disappointment.  The JOLTS report and new cyclical lows in weekly initial jobless claims provide evidence of the continued improvement in the labor market.  The ECB's bond purchases...

8 April 2015

The U.S.’s Problem with the AIIB is the U.S.

China’s growing economic clout is complicating US efforts to maintain its grip on the world’s leading multilateral economic institutions – as it has done since the end of World War II. The creation of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB),...

8 April 2015

A Breakdown of the ECB Asset Buying Spree

The ECB is a month into what it has signaled will be at least an eighteen-month asset purchase program.  It had begun buying asset-backed securities and covered bonds earlier, but starting last month began buying sovereign and supranational bonds.  As...

8 April 2015

How Low Oil Prices Negatively Affect Recycling

Over the last several decades, recycling has grown into an extremely prominent industry, not just in the United States, but also around the world. However, economics realities impact "feel good" green industries just as much as the worst polluting companies....

7 April 2015

Japan’s Security Reforms and the ‘Chameleon Policy’

On 21 January 2015, the Japanese government received a threat from the Islamic State (IS) that it would behead two Japanese hostages unless Japan paid a US$200 million ransom. The message from IS pointed to Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s...

6 April 2015

Understanding the Far-reaching Effects of the Islamic State

For decades, and especially since 11 September 2001, many academics, policymakers and activists have struggled against what they consider unacceptable attacks on Muslims and Islam itself. Over a decade before President Obama used the same words, President Bush said of...

5 April 2015

Can U.S. Consumers Reverse the Q1 Economic Slowdown?

The disappointing US employment data reinforces our expectation that after a strong advance in Q1 the US dollar will correct lower in Q2.  The euro's performance is also broadly consistent with the US experience in which the dollar sold off...

3 April 2015

ASEAN Members Need to Look Past the Blame Game

Accusations against Cambodia made following the controversial 2012 ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Meeting in Phnom Penh fail to acknowledge the challenges that each member state faces with the rise of China. Accusations against Cambodia made following the controversial 2012 ASEAN Foreign...