Economics

26 May 2016

Oil Price Recovery and Brexit Insurance

The US dollar is trading with a softer bias today after the momentum stalled yesterday.  The pullback is shallow but could be extended a bit more in the North American session.  The US reports weekly jobless claims, durable goods orders...

25 May 2016

Fitting that the G7 Meets in Japan

The big economic issue on the agenda at the G7 is the continued sluggish growth of the global economy. While the group of seven major advanced countries does not include rising powers such as India and China, it still accounts for...

25 May 2016

Capital Market Stability is Relative

The US dollar is little changed against the major currencies as yesterday's moves are consolidated and traders wait for fresh developments.  Global equities were higher after Wall Street's advance yesterday.  Asia-Pacific bond yields were firm, following the US lead, but...

24 May 2016

Obama in Japan; Economic Relations March On

‘As President of the United States of America, I express my profound apologies for the sufferings inflicted on the people of Hiroshima and Nagasaki by the atomic bombings’. These, of course, are the words that we are not going to...

24 May 2016

Does it Matter When the Fed Raises Rates?

The US dollar lost momentum yesterday but has regained it today.  The euro has been pushed through last week's lows near $1.1180.  The next immediate target is $1.1145, which corresponds to the lower Bollinger Band today, though the intraday technical...

23 May 2016

Whose Summit are You Attending?

Despite occasional reasons to be optimistic, relations between China and Japan have been consistently poor over recent years. Despite occasional reasons to be optimistic, relations between China and Japan have been consistently poor over recent years. This is in part fuelled by...

23 May 2016

Smaller ASEAN Countries Stand Up to China

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s whirlwind tour of Brunei, Cambodia and Laos during 22–24 April 2016 courted support for his country’s territorial claims in the South China Sea. However, the issue of China’s policy in the South China Sea has...

23 May 2016

The G7, Japan’s Economy and a Big Chemical Merger

The capital markets are off to a mixed start to start the last week of the month.  Asian shares were mostly higher, though the Nikkei shed 0.5%.  European shares are also higher, extending the three-week high seen last week. The...

23 May 2016

Interest Rate Differentials Widen and the Dollar Benefits

The US dollar’s weakness in recent months, despite negative interest rates in Europe and Japan likely had many contributing factors.  These factors include shifting views of Fed policy, weaker US growth, the recovery in commodity prices, including oil, gold and...

22 May 2016

Closer to Normal and the U.S. Dollar Moves Up

The combination of stronger US economic data and signals from the Federal Reserve that it is looking to continue the normalization process helped the dollar extended its recovery.  The dollar posted a significant technical reversal against many of the major...

20 May 2016

Not So Plain Packaging

The new normal. EPA/Lukas Coch Tobacco kills nearly half of all long-term smokers and in the UK alone accounts for the deaths of 100,000 people annually, according to the public health charity ASH. This is the harsh reality behind plain packaging for...