Holiday-Shortened Week in U.S. not Short on News
The US dollar has begun the holiday-shortened week on a firm note, but the stronger than expected German IFO report helped steady the euro near $1.2400. Although the Japanese markets closed earlier today, the dollar rebounded toward JPY118.40, as participants...
Eurozone Divergences, Weak Commodities and China Slows Down
There is plenty of data out today and it is generally reinforcing our three main thematic points: divergence, weak commodities, especially energy, and the slowing of the Chinese economy. This is helping the US dollar and global bonds, but weighing...
Thoughts on the Fed, Economic Data and Currency Action
The FOMC minutes were not very surprising. The FOMC is not in any hurry to raise interest rates before the middle of next year at the earliest. The FOMC statement did not drop the "considerable period" phraseology to describe the...
International Data Moved Foreign Currencies This Week
The main theme this week has been the heavy tone of both sterling and the yen. The yen's weakness stems from the aggressive easing by the BOJ and the stepped up buying of foreign assets by Japanese investors. The story...
U.S. Jobs Data and the Dollar Reaction
US jobs data was largely in line with expectations, and the key take away is the divergence between the US on one hand and Europe and Japan on the other. Non-farm payrolls rose 214k and the back two months were revised...
Can the Price of a Big Mac in Denmark Explain the Living Wage?
Bob Trebilock, editor of the Supply Chain Management Review, sent me an interesting email today that poses an interesting set of questions.Bob writes:“A friend sent me an email today with a link to a column by Peter Morici, a well-known...
Is There a Better Economic Growth Measure than GDP?
[quote] The day is not far off when the economic problem will take the back seat where it belongs, and the arena of the heart and the head will be occupied or reoccupied, by our real problems – the problems...
Dollar Strength Persists in the Wake of Weak Eurozone and Japanese Data
Ahead of the ECB's meeting on Thursday where details of the ABS/covered bond purchase scheme are expected to be delivered, the market is particularly sensitive to developments that could spur a strong policy response. Today's preliminary September CPI figures were...
Yes, the Strong Dollar Hurts Earnings, but so does Weak Demand
How much of a headwind is international exposure causing US-based companies? Factset did a study earlier this month, drawing on a combination of companies that had already reported Q3 earnings and used estimated results for those who had not reported. ...
The Problem with ‘Static’ Development Models: by Michael Pettis
With a shift in economic strategy comes a radical change in the relationship between underlying growth variables and their impacts on growth. Instead of making predictions and estimations extrapolated from previous forecasts – the problem with most development and growth...
Economic Environment
The economic environment is an amalgamation of various economic factors, such as total employment, productivity, income, wealth, inflation and interest rates. These factors influence the spending patterns of individuals and firms.Components of the Economic EnvironmentThe economic environment comprises of:Income and...
John Nash Game Theory
The John Nash Game Theory is a specific part of the Game Theory involving the equilibrium proposed by John Nash. The Nash Equilibrium is a solution concept applied in the Game Theory in which two or more players are involved....
Supply Theory
The Supply Theory is one of the fundamental theories of economics. It is also a foundation on which many other theories are based. The supply theory generates lots of other models that are equally important to economics. Supply directly influences...
Money Supply Theory
Money Supply Theory in macroeconomics refers to the study of the quantity of money available at the hands of people within the economy to buy goods, services and securities. The interest rate is the value of money over time, that...
Process of Globalization
The process of Globalization originated as early as the 15th century with the evolution of capitalism, and subsequently spread itself to different countries across the world. In fact, the subjugation and exploitation of Third World countries like Latin America, Asia,...