The BJP’s Declining Political Fortune
The tale of the recent February Delhi assembly elections shows how quickly political fortunes can decline. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) recorded a landslide victory at the 2014 national elections and won a majority of seats in...
Can Modi’s Plan for India Survive Past the Post-Election Honeymoon Period?
When India opted for constitutional democracy in 1947, few gave it much of a chance. India’s diversity was overwhelming and it was home to some of the world’s poorest. But India’s democracy has succeeded beyond the expectations of even the...
Japan’s Inward FDI is Extremely Low Among Developed Nations
Japan’s inward foreign direct investment (FDI) is extremely low in comparison with that of other developed countries and even its Asian neighbours. Japan’s inward foreign direct investment (FDI) is extremely low in comparison with that of other developed countries and...
Does Australia Have to Choose Between China and the U.S.?
Will it be China or the US? One is Australia’s largest trading partner, the other its traditional security ally. But what happens if Australia is forced to choose between them — will economics or history win out?Malcolm Fraser, the former...
Indonesia’s Poverty Reduction Strides During Decentralization were Offset by Rising Inequality
How effective was Indonesia in addressing poverty and inequality in the decentralisation period?In the first decade of the decentralisation period, from 2001–10, Indonesia’s GDP grew at an average annual rate of only 5.4 percent. This was significantly slower than during...
A Heavy Economic Data Week in the Emerging Markets
With some of the big near-term uncertainties gradually being cleared up (Greece and Ukraine), we think EM assets could get some traction this week. That said, EM FX will remain vulnerable and liable to selloffs should the dollar bullish-trend resume...
Jokowi’s High Risk, High Reward Strategy for Indonesia
No more ‘business-as-usual’ is the Jokowi government’s message in the 2015 budget. Cut fuel subsidies, ramped up infrastructure spending, and rising revenues. These three steps deliver a 1.9 percent fiscal deficit, down from 2.2 percent in 2014. This leaves space...
Asian Pop Culture Captures Vietnam’s Heart
An endless line of water that starts from a shallow stream, grows into a big river, and then flows into the ocean. That’s how Vietnam’s former deputy prime minister, Vu Khoan, described the progress made by Vietnam and South Korea...
Will India’s Interest Rate Cut Get It Ahead of the Economic Curve?
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has eased its policy stance, cutting interest rates before it was expected to do so. This generated unnecessary controversy from the media and market analysts, who alleged political pressure lowered policy rates. But the...
Checking in on ASEAN and the AEC
A pressing policy question facing Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) leaders at their summit in April 2015 and beyond is whether the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) can be sustained without more effective institutions. This article explores the link between...
China Still Seeing Growth in Small Businesses
After decades of the fastest economic growth in the world, China’s economy has started to slow down. This is perhaps inevitable, given an average annual growth rate of around 10% was sustained for almost thirty years following the economic reforms...
Singapore’s Temasek Celebrates 40 Years of Development
This year marks the 40th anniversary of Temasek, one of Singapore’s two sovereign wealth funds (SWFs), along with the Government Investment Corporation (GIC). Set up in 1974 as part of the newly independent city-state’s nation- building effort, Temasek has evolved...
Good Governance as Part of the Answer to Improving India’s Economic Reforms
India’s new government faces challenges for economic revival, but it also has a golden opportunity to build consensus for strong structural and fiscal reform.Restoring growth is paramount. In the last two years, growth has slipped below 5 percent, the lowest...
Sweden, the U.K., Germany and Australia Provide News that’s not Greek
The US dollar is mixed. It is mostly softer against the euro and sterling, paring yesterday's late gains. It is firmer against the yen and Swiss franc amid cross rate developments. The US dollar is mixed. It is mostly softer...
Preserving the EU through Compromise with Greece
As the hard talks on Greece’s bailout start again, there is no time to lose. A compromise is possible. Before the weekend, Euro group president Jeroen Djisselbloem said that “Greece wants a lot but has very little money to do that....