U.S. Jobs Paradox: Shouldn’t Pay Rise as Unemployment Falls?


Unemployment rates have fallen to near full-employment levels, but American workers are not getting a boost to their paychecks. Additionally, American workers are finding they have continually less bargaining power across the United States. Employers, thanks to at will employment laws and an increasing supply of educated labor, are finding it easier to fire “troublemakers” who demand raises, better working conditions, or other incentives to stay happy and productive.

India Manages to Strengthen Ties with ASEAN


The India–ASEAN relationship received a shot in the arm with the conclusion of the 8th Delhi Dialogue on 17–19 February 2016. Since 1991, India has been aggressively pursuing increased trade and strategic relations with Southeast Asian Countries as a part of its ‘Look East’ policy. Now, ASEAN has grown to be India’s fourth largest trading partner after China, the European Union and the United States.

Published
Categorized as India

China’s Reserve Ratio Cut and South America’s Woes Top EM News


1) China’s central bank announced a 0.5% cut in the required reserve ratio, 2) Moody’s cut the outlook on China’s Aa3 rating to negative from stable, 3) Argentina and the main holdouts agreed to a debt restructuring deal, 4) Brazilian press reported that a senator implicated both Rousseff and Lula in the corruption probe as part of a plea bargain, 5) Chile is cutting back government spending this year in response to low copper prices

The Week in Review: U.S. Economic Data Turns Sour


A substantial number of economic indicators suggest greater weakness in the American economy, as Americans struggle with rising prices, lower demand, and higher default rates.  Jobless claims rose to 278,000, above expectations of 270,000 claims, reaching their highest point in a month, and services demand fell to contraction for the first time since 2013. At 49.7, the services PMI fell to its lowest level since 2010, below expectations of expansionary demand.

UK Indicators Point to Decline, Pound Suffers


A growing number of economic indicators are pointing to worsening economic conditions in the UK, causing the British pound to fall further in value.  The services Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to 52.7 in February, according to Markit Economics. The decline follows consistent weakness in services demand throughout the country, and is far below expectations of a 55.1 reading. In January, the PMI reading was called “disappointing” by Markit and several economists, although it was far above current levels at 55.6.

Japan Faces the Long-Term Consequences of the Tsunami


The stillness is most overwhelming. The rubble has been cleared away. The grass has grown back. However, along much of the coastal strip devastated by the tsunami that struck Japan on 11 March 2011, a silence remains.

Published
Categorized as Japan

Global Deflation Signals Persist, Signaling Economic Slowdown


More signs of a deflationary environment are appearing in Europe and Asia, leading many economists to give up on hopes of stronger growth in the near future.

In Japan, the government sold bonds at negative yields for the first time, while ten-year Japanese government bonds fell to negative yields. Despite the fact that bond buyers are now paying Japan for the privilege of lending the government money, the auction had a high turnout and issues were able to sell to cash-rich institutions looking for a place to park capital.

We All Live in an Expensive Submarine


Australia’s future submarine program is the largest and most complex defence procurement in the nation’s history. While technical issues to establish the ‘best’ submarine remain important, strategic, political and economic factors are key to Australia’s decision. The deal could have a significant impact on Australia’s regional relations and its ability to act independently within the region.

Published
Categorized as Australia

Optimism Vanishes on Softening Europe, Weak U.S. Production


Despite strong GDP growth at the end of 2015, recent data indicates a softening in global growth that is worrying economists.

In Europe, the European Central Bank announced that it would revisit its stimulus program this month after Eurozone inflation fell to -0.2% for the Consumer Price Index, a sharp reversal from a 0.3% increase in January. Inflation in the CPI has continued to grow weaker throughout 2014 and 2015, despite a broad bond-buying program by the ECB that was designed to cause inflation to rise.

IS in Indonesia Could Create Economic Chaos


Those behind the attacks in Jakarta on 14 January desperately hoped to emulate the 13 November attacks in Paris. This time they fell far short. The attackers, contrary to initial impressions, were entirely locally organised and failed at almost every level. Four innocent lives were lost but they had clearly hoped to take many more.

Published
Categorized as Indonesia